Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Sinergi Inti Plastindo IDR 30, price IDR 112, upside -73.4%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 15.86 IDR – 219.13 IDR · fair‑value band 21.36 IDR – 29.77 IDR · the 112.00 IDR price screens above the 29.77 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Sinergi Inti Plastindo Tbk produces and distributes plastic packaging products in Indonesia. It offers high density polyethylene; low density polyethylene / low linear density polyethylene, including plastic and courier bags; PVC cling wrap; and degradable sealed bags. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP) currently trades at 112.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 29.77 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 276.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 59.22 IDR per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the 112.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 5.57 IDR, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 21.36 IDR (bear) to 29.77 IDR (bull), the price of 112.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Sinergi Inti Plastindo reported revenue of 58.0B IDR in FY2025 versus 53.9B IDR in FY2021, a compound +1.8%/yr. Reported net income was 1.4B IDR in FY2025, compounding +23.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 125B IDR (≈ $7.0M) · P/E ratio 37.5 · P/S ratio 0.93 · EPS (TTM) 2.99 IDR · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 2.5% · Return on equity 2.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 97% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −73%, ESIP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 21.36 IDRFair Value 29.77 IDRBull 29.77 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.20 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ −26.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−26.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−11% vs −16%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 32.0%/yr over ~7Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 64% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+29.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +26.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−73% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)37.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.27× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)2.08× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA25.4× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)42· sector 3
PAST (return on equity)10· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)8· sector 47
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sinergi Inti Plastindo Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ESIP
Frequently asked questions
Is Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 29.77 IDR versus a price of 112.00 IDR, about −73% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ESIP?
Our model-based fair value for Sinergi Inti Plastindo is 29.77 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 112.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of ESIP?
Sinergi Inti Plastindo has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 29.77 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 21.36 IDR, optimistic scenario 29.77 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sinergi Inti Plastindo stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 29.77 IDR, about −73% upside versus a price of 112.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 21.36 IDR, optimistic scenario 29.77 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP)?
Sinergi Inti Plastindo reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 59.8B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Sinergi Inti Plastindo pay a dividend?
Sinergi Inti Plastindo currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.42% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sinergi Inti Plastindo would have to grow free cash flow by +29.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ESIP use?
Our models discount Sinergi Inti Plastindo at 14.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 2.00, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sinergi Inti Plastindo that is +29.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sinergi Inti Plastindo grew +4.1 % a year. The price currently implies +29.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sinergi Inti Plastindo (+29.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.03 %: that much free cash flow Sinergi Inti Plastindo produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sinergi Inti Plastindo it is 29.77 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 112.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sinergi Inti Plastindo stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ESIP trades above its calculated fair value: price 112.00 IDR, fair value 29.77 IDR, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ESIP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (112.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (29.77 IDR). For Sinergi Inti Plastindo the two are 82.23 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sinergi Inti Plastindo worth?
The market values Sinergi Inti Plastindo at about 125B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 112.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 29.77 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ESIP?
Our models span a range for Sinergi Inti Plastindo: cautious scenario 21.36 IDR, base 29.77 IDR, optimistic 29.77 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 112.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ESIP?
Sinergi Inti Plastindo trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 29.77 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 2.1, EV/EBITDA 25.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sinergi Inti Plastindo (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.4%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ESIP from its 52-week high?
Sinergi Inti Plastindo trades at 112.00 IDR, about 49% below its 52-week high of 219.13 IDR and 97% above the low of 56.78 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 29.77 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sinergi Inti Plastindo?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sinergi Inti Plastindo stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 112.00 IDR, calculated fair value 29.77 IDR (−73%), Quality Score 62/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ESIP calculated?
We run Sinergi Inti Plastindo through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 29.77 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Sinergi Inti Plastindo itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 112.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 29.77 IDR, about −73% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sinergi Inti Plastindo right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (29.77 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Sinergi Inti Plastindo
How large is the market capitalisation of Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP)?
The market capitalisation of Sinergi Inti Plastindo is 125B IDR (≈ $7.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sinergi Inti Plastindo is 0.93 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP)?
Earnings per share at Sinergi Inti Plastindo are 2.99 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP)?
The dividend yield of Sinergi Inti Plastindo is 0.4% (payout 15.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP)?
The net margin of Sinergi Inti Plastindo is 2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sinergi Inti Plastindo is 2.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sinergi Inti Plastindo is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP)?
The operating margin of Sinergi Inti Plastindo is 0.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP)?
Revenue at Sinergi Inti Plastindo is growing +8.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP)?
Earnings per share at Sinergi Inti Plastindo are growing −73.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Sinergi Inti Plastindo (ESIP) hold?
Sinergi Inti Plastindo holds more cash than debt, 4.3B IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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