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PT Sinergi Inti Plastindo Tbk (ESIP) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 144B IDR

PS PT Sinergi Inti Plastindo Tbk ESIP · JK
Price128.00 IDR
Fair Value22.03 IDR
Upside-82.8%
Quality60/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: High Range 16.52 IDR – 27.54 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +1.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 83% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (27.54 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

220.00 IDR 15.93 IDR Fair Value 22.03 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 15.93 IDR – 220.00 IDR · fair‑value band 16.52 IDR – 27.54 IDR · the 128.00 IDR price screens above the 22.03 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Sinergi Inti Plastindo Tbk (ESIP) currently trades at 128.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 22.03 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 82.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Sinergi Inti Plastindo Tbk generated revenue of 58.5B IDR at a net margin of 4.5%. Revenue grew 4.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 4.3B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 16.52 IDR (bear case) to 27.54 IDR (bull case); at 128.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 395% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -83%, ESIP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (5.89 IDR to 59.22 IDR). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 40.80 IDR 52.96 IDR 73.67 IDR 80
Residual Income 61.27 IDR 57.59 IDR 43.64 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 24.53 IDR 30.72 IDR 38.69 IDR 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 39.47 IDR 51.99 IDR 75.00 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 37.93 IDR 49.88 IDR 71.86 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 24.53 IDR 30.03 IDR 37.83 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 33.10 IDR 44.67 IDR 59.69 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 26.82 IDR 33.95 IDR 42.34 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 29.67 IDR 35.35 IDR 41.49 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 35.25 IDR 45.05 IDR 56.02 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 31.39 IDR 37.95 IDR 44.49 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 8.81 IDR 15.46 IDR 18.98 IDR 54
EPV 15.76 IDR 17.56 IDR 19.14 IDR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 4.59 IDR 5.89 IDR 7.22 IDR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 4.59 IDR 6.23 IDR 8.22 IDR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 16.52 IDR 22.03 IDR 27.54 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 16.52 IDR 22.03 IDR 27.54 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 16.52 IDR 22.03 IDR 27.54 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 18.19 IDR 22.60 IDR 27.01 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 33.09 IDR 42.47 IDR 51.84 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 16.43 IDR 21.34 IDR 26.25 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 44.19 IDR 59.22 IDR 88.39 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 40.80 IDR 52.96 IDR 73.67 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 24.53 IDR 30.72 IDR 38.69 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 61.27 IDR 57.59 IDR 43.64 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 15.76 IDR 17.56 IDR 19.14 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 11.77 IDR 16.82 IDR 21.86 IDR 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (59.22 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (5.89 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 58.5B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.0%
Net margin 4.5%
Return on equity 2.7%
Free cash flow 3.8B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 30.8
More key figures
Operating margin 13.8%
EPS (TTM) 2.99 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +241%
Net cash 4.3B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 69
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 66
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Sinergi Inti Plastindo Tbk produces and distributes plastic packaging products in Indonesia. It offers high density polyethylene; low density polyethylene / low linear density polyethylene, including plastic and courier bags; PVC cling wrap; and degradable sealed bags. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Sinergi Inti Plastindo Tbk reported revenue of 58.0B IDR in FY2025 versus 53.9B IDR in FY2021, a compound +1.8%/yr. Reported net income was 1.4B IDR in FY2025, compounding +23.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
58.0B IDR
Latest YoY
−5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.7%
Revenue +1.8%/yr
FY21 53.9B IDR
FY22 65.2B IDR
FY23 62.1B IDR
FY24 61.2B IDR
FY25 58.0B IDR
Net income +23.8%/yr
FY21 611M IDR
FY22 917M IDR
FY23 878M IDR
FY24 880M IDR
FY25 1.4B IDR

ESIP screens 83% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →

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PT Sinergi Inti Plastindo Tbk · Fair Value
22.03 IDR −83%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Sinergi Inti Plastindo Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ESIP

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −83% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 43.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.47× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.47× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 28.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 20 · sector 0
PAST 11 · sector 21
HEALTH 100 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 101.90 kr 126.39 +24%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥29.10 ¥20.88 -28%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 29.00 THB 16.12 THB -44%
AblePrint Technology Co 7734 2,850 TWD 661.69 TWD -77%
PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,194 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 132.50 TWD 127.06 TWD -4%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 15.15 TWD 23.17 TWD +53%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 19,330 KRW 31,473 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Sinergi Inti Plastindo Tbk (ESIP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 22.03 IDR versus a price of 128.00 IDR, about −83% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ESIP?
Our model-based fair value for PT Sinergi Inti Plastindo Tbk is 22.03 IDR (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 128.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of ESIP?
PT Sinergi Inti Plastindo Tbk has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Sinergi Inti Plastindo Tbk (ESIP)?
PT Sinergi Inti Plastindo Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 58.5B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ESIP?
The net profit margin of PT Sinergi Inti Plastindo Tbk is about 4.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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