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PT Esta Multi Usaha Tbk primarily (ESTA) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 427B IDR

PE PT Esta Multi Usaha Tbk primarily ESTA · JK
Price182.00 IDR
Fair Value26.91 IDR
Upside-85.2%
Quality22/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -14.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 16/100
Evidence: Low Range 5.38 IDR – 48.45 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −0.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 85% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (48.45 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (5.38 IDR to 48.45 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

515.00 IDR 31.22 IDR Fair Value 26.91 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 31.22 IDR – 515.00 IDR · fair‑value band 5.38 IDR – 48.45 IDR · the 182.00 IDR price screens above the 26.91 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

PT Esta Multi Usaha Tbk primarily (ESTA) currently trades at 182.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 26.91 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 85.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Esta Multi Usaha Tbk primarily generated revenue of 51.0B IDR at a net margin of -14.9%. Revenue grew 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.2%. Net debt stands at 144B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 5.38 IDR (bear case) to 48.45 IDR (bull case); at 182.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 214% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -85%, ESTA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA 28.94 IDR 50.49 IDR 72.03 IDR 54
NCAV (Graham) 37.28 IDR 49.95 IDR 74.56 IDR 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 28.94 IDR 50.49 IDR 72.03 IDR 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 37.28 IDR 49.95 IDR 74.56 IDR 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (50.49 IDR) versus Asset-Based (49.95 IDR). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 51.0B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.6%
Net margin -14.9%
Return on equity -4.2%
Free cash flow −10.1B IDR FY2025
Operating margin -2.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.4170 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) -95.2%
Net debt 144B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 18
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 34
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Esta Multi Usaha Tbk primarily engages in the hospitality business in Indonesia. The company owns and operates a hotel under the name D'esta Hotel 88. It also offers accommodation services, including food and beverage, and two-star hotels. In addition, it engages in purchase, sale, rental, and operation of real estate; as well as vehicle rental.

Full company description

PT Esta Multi Usaha Tbk primarily engages in the hospitality business in Indonesia. The company owns and operates a hotel under the name D'esta Hotel 88. It also offers accommodation services, including food and beverage, and two-star hotels. In addition, it engages in purchase, sale, rental, and operation of real estate; as well as vehicle rental. The company was formerly known as PT Esta Asri Propertindo and changed its name to PT Esta Multi Usaha Tbk in September 2019. PT Esta Multi Usaha Tbk was incorporated in 2011 and is founded in South Tangerang, Indonesia. PT Esta Multi Usaha Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Esta Utama Corpora.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Esta Multi Usaha Tbk primarily reported revenue of 50.2B IDR in FY2025 versus 35.6B IDR in FY2021, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was −8.2B IDR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
50.2B IDR
Latest YoY
−1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+41.6%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y)
+60.9%
Revenue +9.0%/yr
FY21 35.6B IDR
FY22 43.5B IDR
FY23 50.5B IDR
FY24 51.1B IDR
FY25 50.2B IDR
Net income
FY21 574M IDR
FY22 3.2B IDR
FY23 27.5B IDR
FY24 −959M IDR
FY25 −8.2B IDR

ESTA screens 85% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Esta Multi Usaha Tbk primarily Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ESTA

Peer Group

Lodging · 170 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −85% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -15% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Below median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.49× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 4.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 1
FUTURE 38 · sector 18
PAST 0 · sector 11
HEALTH 75 · sector 91
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marriott International, Inc MAR $369.05 $135.64 -63%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $328.48 $123.67 -62%
InterContinental Hotels Group IHG $159.87 $85.18 -47%
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $191.00 $47.69 -75%
H World Group HTHT $42.67 $47.55 +11%
Accor SA AC €47.25 €39.26 -17%
The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL ₹743.20 ₹260.68 -65%
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH $78.54 $24.02 -69%
Hanjin Kal, 180640 113,500 KRW 36,890 KRW -67%
Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 16.00 SAR 11.64 SAR -27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Esta Multi Usaha Tbk primarily (ESTA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 26.91 IDR versus a price of 182.00 IDR, about −85% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ESTA?
Our model-based fair value for PT Esta Multi Usaha Tbk primarily is 26.91 IDR (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 182.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of ESTA?
PT Esta Multi Usaha Tbk primarily has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Esta Multi Usaha Tbk primarily (ESTA)?
PT Esta Multi Usaha Tbk primarily reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 51.0B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ESTA?
The net profit margin of PT Esta Multi Usaha Tbk primarily is about -14.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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