Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio BRL 51.66, price BRL 21.90, upside +135.9%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$8.02 – R$26.50 · fair‑value band R$29.31 – R$73.16 · the R$21.90 price screens below the R$51.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio produces and sells hardboard and wood panels in Brazil. The company provides laminate and vinyl floors, doors, partitions, medium-density fiberboard (MDF) and medium-density particleboard (MDP) panels, fiberboards, paint and varnishes, decorative panels, wood fiber sheets, lacquers, and other products.
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Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio produces and sells hardboard and wood panels in Brazil. The company provides laminate and vinyl floors, doors, partitions, medium-density fiberboard (MDF) and medium-density particleboard (MDP) panels, fiberboards, paint and varnishes, decorative panels, wood fiber sheets, lacquers, and other products. It also produces eucalyptus seedlings and skirting boards; and engages in business management consultancy, real estate, forestry, harvesting, forest management, transport, waste collection logistics, recycled material, and electricity activities. The company primarily serves the furniture and civil construction industries. It also exports its products to the United States and Latin America. Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.
Stock analysis
Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3) currently trades at R$21.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$51.66, implying the stock looks roughly 57.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of R$58.88 per share, and 23 of the 26 models we run sit above the R$21.90 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at R$15.42, and 3 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: R$29.31 (bear) to R$73.16 (bull), the price of R$21.90 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio reported revenue of R$3.1B in FY2025 versus R$2.4B in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was R$319M in FY2025, compounding −7.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap R$2.3B (≈ $437M) · P/E ratio 5.5 · P/S ratio 0.57 · EPS (TTM) R$4.44 · Dividend yield 5.1% · Net margin 10.3% · Return on equity 14.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at 136%, EUCA3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear R$29.31Fair Value R$51.66Bull R$73.16
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$2.43 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.5% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in BRL ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in BRL: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+22.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.17% vs 28%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 18%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Brazil: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 5.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.2% a year for the price.
Compare Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 253 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+136% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)24% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)5.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.31× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EUCA3
Frequently asked questions
Is Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$51.66 versus a price of R$21.90, about +136% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EUCA3?
Our model-based fair value for Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio is R$51.66 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$21.90.
What is the quality score of EUCA3?
Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$51.66 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$29.31, optimistic scenario R$73.16. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$51.66, about +136% upside versus a price of R$21.90 (undervalued). Cautious scenario R$29.31, optimistic scenario R$73.16. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3)?
Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$3.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio pay a dividend?
Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.14% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio would have to grow free cash flow by +13.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EUCA3 use?
Our models discount Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio at 13.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.89, country premium for Brazil. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio that is +13.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio grew +11.6 % a year. The price currently implies +13.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (+13.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.26 %: that much free cash flow Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio it is R$51.66 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of R$21.90. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, EUCA3 trades below its calculated fair value: price R$21.90, fair value R$51.66, a gap of about +136% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EUCA3?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$21.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$51.66). For Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio the two are R$29.76 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio worth?
The market values Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio at about R$2.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is R$21.90; our models calculate a fair value of R$51.66 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EUCA3?
Our models span a range for Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio: cautious scenario R$29.31, base R$51.66, optimistic R$73.16 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price R$21.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EUCA3?
Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$51.66 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 3.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3)?
Balance-sheet figures for Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 14.6%, debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EUCA3 from its 52-week high?
Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio trades at R$21.90, about 17% below its 52-week high of R$26.50 and 25% above the low of R$17.54 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$51.66 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price R$21.90, calculated fair value R$51.66 (+136%), Quality Score 59/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EUCA3 calculated?
We run Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$51.66, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio currently trades 136 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was R$21.90. Our model-based fair value is R$51.66, about +136% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$29.31). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (R$29.31 to R$73.16) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio
How large is the market capitalisation of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3)?
The market capitalisation of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio is R$2.3B (≈ $437M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio is 0.57 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3)?
Earnings per share at Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio are R$4.44 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3)?
The dividend yield of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio is 5.1% (payout 25.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3)?
The net margin of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio is 10.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio is 14.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio is 11.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3)?
The operating margin of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio is 24.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3)?
Revenue at Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio is growing +5.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3)?
Earnings per share at Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio are growing +94.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3) carry?
The net debt of Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio is R$961M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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