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Eucatex S.A (EUCA3) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · BR · Market cap R$2.3B

ES Eucatex S.A EUCA3 · SA
PriceR$23.59
Fair ValueR$57.45
Upside+143.5%
Quality59/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.60% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/14)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range R$30.72 – R$90.91 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from R$54.01 to R$57.45 (+6.4%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −3.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 144% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$30.72). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide (R$30.72 to R$90.91). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R$26.50 R$8.02 Fair Value R$57.45 Jul 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$8.02 – R$26.50 · fair‑value band R$30.72 – R$90.91 · the R$23.59 price screens below the R$57.45 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Eucatex S.A (EUCA3) currently trades at R$23.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$57.45, implying the stock looks roughly 143.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Eucatex S.A generated revenue of R$3.1B at a net margin of 13.0%. Revenue grew 5.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.6%. Net debt stands at R$961M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$30.72 (bear case) to R$90.91 (bull case); at R$23.59, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 144%, EUCA3 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF R$17.14 R$29.41 R$48.07 80
Residual Income R$27.08 R$31.01 R$55.16 76
Rev-Margin DCF R$30.33 R$56.04 R$87.05 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF R$17.06 R$29.90 R$49.83 38
Owner Earnings R$8.72 R$16.35 R$28.20 31
5Y Revenue Exit R$30.33 R$56.74 R$91.84 39
5Y EBITDA Exit R$46.03 R$87.36 R$137.73 41
5Y P/E Exit R$35.65 R$67.11 R$101.64 38
10Y Revenue Exit R$23.96 R$46.80 R$80.08 36
10Y EBITDA Exit R$35.22 R$68.07 R$115.68 37
10Y P/E Exit R$28.63 R$54.00 R$87.68 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$23.55 R$88.66 R$119.94 54
Lynch FV R$21.43 R$30.62 R$39.80 50
PEG = 1.0 R$21.43 R$30.62 R$39.80 46
EPV R$37.79 R$44.32 R$49.94 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$10.59 R$21.10 R$31.95 70
DDM Multi-Stage R$10.59 R$18.23 R$22.27 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$54.55 R$72.73 R$90.91 63
P/S Multiple R$44.16 R$58.88 R$73.60 58
P/B Multiple R$44.16 R$58.88 R$73.60 55
EV/EBIT R$72.32 R$97.60 R$122.89 53
EV/EBITDA R$68.74 R$92.82 R$116.91 54
EV/Revenue R$38.92 R$57.12 R$75.31 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$15.02 R$20.12 R$30.04 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R$17.14 R$29.41 R$48.07 80
Rev-Margin DCF R$30.33 R$56.04 R$87.05 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$27.08 R$31.01 R$55.16 76
ROIC Compounder R$40.23 R$53.17 R$70.03 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$39.40 R$56.28 R$73.16 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (R$58.88) versus Dividend Discount (R$18.23). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$3.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.2%
Net margin 13.0%
Return on equity 14.6%
Free cash flow R$167M FY2025
P/E ratio 5.9
More key figures
Operating margin 24.3%
EPS (TTM) R$4.44
Dividend yield 4.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +94.3%
Net debt R$961M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 71
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 46
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio produces and sells hardboard and wood panels in Brazil. The company provides laminate and vinyl floors, doors, partitions, medium-density fiberboard (MDF) and medium-density particleboard (MDP) panels, fiberboards, paint and varnishes, decorative panels, wood fiber sheets, lacquers, and other products.

Full company description

Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio produces and sells hardboard and wood panels in Brazil. The company provides laminate and vinyl floors, doors, partitions, medium-density fiberboard (MDF) and medium-density particleboard (MDP) panels, fiberboards, paint and varnishes, decorative panels, wood fiber sheets, lacquers, and other products. It also produces eucalyptus seedlings and skirting boards; and engages in business management consultancy, real estate, forestry, harvesting, forest management, transport, waste collection logistics, recycled material, and electricity activities. The company primarily serves the furniture and civil construction industries. It also exports its products to the United States and Latin America. Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Eucatex S.A reported revenue of R$3.1B in FY2025 versus R$2.4B in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was R$319M in FY2025, compounding −7.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
R$3.1B
Latest YoY
+8.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.5%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.7%
Revenue +6.1%/yr
FY21 R$2.4B
FY22 R$2.5B
FY23 R$2.7B
FY24 R$2.9B
FY25 R$3.1B
Net income −7.1%/yr
FY21 R$428M
FY22 R$258M
FY23 R$422M
FY24 R$198M
FY25 R$319M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Eucatex S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EUCA3

Peer Group

Building Products & Equipment · 247 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +144% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.31× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.81× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.72× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 3.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 3
FUTURE 26 · sector 9
PAST 59 · sector 23
HEALTH 85 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 92 · sector 29

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT $469.98 $212.34 -55%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $142.81 $45.65 -68%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $68.61 $17.35 -75%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €76.62 €101.60 +33%
Geberit AG GEBN CHF 523.20 CHF 307.66 -41%
Lennox International Inc LII $543.93 $363.09 -33%
Kingspan Group KRX €87.30 €70.76 -19%
Masco Corporation MAS $78.04 $54.36 -30%
PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC 1,420 IDR 179.76 IDR -87%
NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB kr 36.03 kr 25.37 -30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Eucatex S.A (EUCA3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$57.45 versus a price of R$23.59, about +144% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EUCA3?
Our model-based fair value for Eucatex S.A is R$57.45 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$23.59.
What is the quality score of EUCA3?
Eucatex S.A has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Eucatex S.A (EUCA3)?
Eucatex S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$3.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EUCA3?
The net profit margin of Eucatex S.A is about 13.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Eucatex S.A pay a dividend?
Eucatex S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.29% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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