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EVgo, Inc (EVGO) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $609M

EI EVgo, Inc logo EVgo, Inc EVGO · US
Price$1.62
Fair Value$2.78
Upside+71.6%
Quality23/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -11.2% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 6/100
Evidence: Low Range $2.08 – $3.47 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jun 23, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 47 days ago

Share price −11.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 72% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (23/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.08). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$19.23 $1.42 Fair Value $2.78 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.42 – $19.23 · fair‑value band $2.08 – $3.47 · the $1.62 price screens below the $2.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

EVgo, Inc (EVGO) currently trades at $1.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.78, implying the stock looks roughly 71.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, EVgo, Inc generated revenue of $418M at a net margin of -11.2%. Revenue grew 45.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -27.4%. Net debt stands at $160M. Fundamentals as of Jun 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.08 (bear case) to $3.47 (bull case); at $1.62, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at 72%, EVGO screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $418M
Revenue growth (YoY) +45.5%
Net margin -11.2%
Return on equity -27.4%
Free cash flow −$124M FY2025
Operating margin -29.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.3400
EPS growth (YoY) -89.6%
Net debt $160M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 3

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 90
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 26
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

EVgo, Inc. owns and operates a direct current fast charging network for electric vehicles in the United States. It offers electricity directly to drivers; original equipment manufacturer charging and related services; and commercial charging.

Full company description

EVgo, Inc. owns and operates a direct current fast charging network for electric vehicles in the United States. It offers electricity directly to drivers; original equipment manufacturer charging and related services; and commercial charging. The company also provides ancillary services, such as customization of digital applications, charging data integration, access to chargers behind parking lot or garage pay gates, microtargeted advertising, and charging reservations; and hardware, design, and construction services for charging sites, as well as ongoing operations, maintenance, and networking and software integration solutions through eXtend. In addition, it offers PlugShare, such as data, research, and advertising services and equipment procurement and operational services. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in El Segundo, California. EVgo, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of EVgo Holdings LLC.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

EVgo, Inc reported revenue of $384M in FY2025 versus $21.7M in FY2021, a compound +105.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$41.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$384M
Latest YoY
+49.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+91.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+96.7%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y)
+57.5%
Revenue +105.2%/yr
FY21 $21.7M
FY22 $54.6M
FY23 $161M
FY24 $257M
FY25 $384M
Net income
FY21 −$8.4M
FY22 −$27.6M
FY23 −$42.4M
FY24 −$44.3M
FY25 −$41.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EVgo, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EVGO

Peer Group

Specialty Retail · 221 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +72% · Top 25%
Return on assets -7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -11% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -30% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 46% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 1.46× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 31
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 27
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 51

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $827.04 $405.44 -51%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $222.84 $164.16 -26%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $479.57 $488.39 +2%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $208.89 $181.10 -13%
Best Buy Co BBY $83.98 $109.12 +30%
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥52.90 ¥40.40 -24%
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $31.01 $35.52 +15%
Murphy USA Inc MUSA $618.57 $423.35 -32%
Five Below, Inc FIVE $197.71 $117.29 -41%
Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 110.50 TWD 80.98 TWD -27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is EVgo, Inc (EVGO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.78 versus a price of $1.62, about +72% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EVGO?
Our model-based fair value for EVgo, Inc is $2.78 (as of Jun 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.62.
What is the quality score of EVGO?
EVgo, Inc has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of EVgo, Inc (EVGO)?
EVgo, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $418M (latest available figure, as of Jun 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EVGO?
The net profit margin of EVgo, Inc is about -11.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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