EVgo, Inc (EVGO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $609M
Fair value as of: Jun 23, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 47 days ago
Share price −11.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 72% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (23/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.08). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.42 – $19.23 · fair‑value band $2.08 – $3.47 · the $1.62 price screens below the $2.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
Analysis
EVgo, Inc (EVGO) currently trades at $1.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.78, implying the stock looks roughly 71.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, EVgo, Inc generated revenue of $418M at a net margin of -11.2%. Revenue grew 45.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -27.4%. Net debt stands at $160M. Fundamentals as of Jun 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.08 (bear case) to $3.47 (bull case); at $1.62, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at 72%, EVGO screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 3
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
EVgo, Inc. owns and operates a direct current fast charging network for electric vehicles in the United States. It offers electricity directly to drivers; original equipment manufacturer charging and related services; and commercial charging.
Full company description
EVgo, Inc. owns and operates a direct current fast charging network for electric vehicles in the United States. It offers electricity directly to drivers; original equipment manufacturer charging and related services; and commercial charging. The company also provides ancillary services, such as customization of digital applications, charging data integration, access to chargers behind parking lot or garage pay gates, microtargeted advertising, and charging reservations; and hardware, design, and construction services for charging sites, as well as ongoing operations, maintenance, and networking and software integration solutions through eXtend. In addition, it offers PlugShare, such as data, research, and advertising services and equipment procurement and operational services. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in El Segundo, California. EVgo, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of EVgo Holdings LLC.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
EVgo, Inc reported revenue of $384M in FY2025 versus $21.7M in FY2021, a compound +105.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$41.6M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 221 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $827.04 | $405.44 | -51% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $222.84 | $164.16 | -26% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $479.57 | $488.39 | +2% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $208.89 | $181.10 | -13% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $83.98 | $109.12 | +30% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥52.90 | ¥40.40 | -24% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $31.01 | $35.52 | +15% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $618.57 | $423.35 | -32% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $197.71 | $117.29 | -41% |
| Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 | 110.50 TWD | 80.98 TWD | -27% |
Compare EVgo, Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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