Evergrande Property Services Group Limited (EVGPF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Evergrande Property Services Group Limited $0.31, price $0.13, upside +137.0%, quality 71 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0500 – $1.11 · fair‑value band $0.2200 – $0.4500 · the $0.1308 price screens below the $0.3100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Evergrande Property Services Group Limited provides property management services in China. It operates through Property Management Services, Community Living Services, Asset Management Services, and Community Operation Services segments. The company manages residential and commercial properties, industrial parks, hospitals, schools, and rail transit.
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Evergrande Property Services Group Limited provides property management services in China. It operates through Property Management Services, Community Living Services, Asset Management Services, and Community Operation Services segments. The company manages residential and commercial properties, industrial parks, hospitals, schools, and rail transit. It also offers city public services; and butler, sales office management, security, project maintenance, and cleaning and gardening services. In addition, the company provides community asset operation services comprising parking escrow and sublease, house leasing, second-hand property transaction assistance, and housing trust services; park space leasing services consisting of community space and all-media leasing; community innovation services, such as community group purchase, direct drinking water supply, one-stop services, and ecological communities; and community life services, including home decoration and household management services. Further, it engages in the provision of security order maintenance, environmental management, customer, and equipment operation and maintenance services; and space asset management, large-scale event support, smart platform, pre-project, investment operation, and leasing and selling services. Additionally, the company provides facility and environment management, intelligent security and vehicle management, exhibition hall management, and accommodation in parks, as well as conference reception, event planning, venue leasing, and business consulting; and urban infrastructure, greening landscape maintenance, road maintenance, order and emergency management, public resource management, cultural and sports venue property management, sports event support, and urban innovation services. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Evergrande Property Services Group Limited (EVGPF) currently trades at $0.1308, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3100, implying the stock looks roughly 57.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.3300 per share, and 11 of the 14 models we run sit above the $0.1308 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $0.0800, and 3 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.2200 (bear) to $0.4500 (bull), the price of $0.1308 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Evergrande Property Services Group Limited reported revenue of 13.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 13.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was 961M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $1.6B · P/E ratio 13.1 · P/S ratio 0.94 · EPS (TTM) $0.0100 · Net margin 7.2% · Return on equity 69.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.5% · Operating margin 11.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 54 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 137%, EVGPF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.2200Fair Value $0.3100Bull $0.4500
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0076 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.72/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−4.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.33% → 11%
2025 sits 426% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 530 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+110.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)69.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets10.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)7.2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)11.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7.6% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Evergrande Property Services Group Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EVGPF
Frequently asked questions
Is Evergrande Property Services Group Limited (EVGPF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3100 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.1308, about +137% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EVGPF?
Our model-based fair value for Evergrande Property Services Group Limited is $0.3100 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.1308.
What is the quality score of EVGPF?
Evergrande Property Services Group Limited has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Evergrande Property Services Group Limited (EVGPF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.3100 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2200, optimistic scenario $0.4500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Evergrande Property Services Group Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.3100, about +137% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.1308 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.2200, optimistic scenario $0.4500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Evergrande Property Services Group Limited (EVGPF)?
Evergrande Property Services Group Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 13.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Evergrande Property Services Group Limited (EVGPF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Evergrande Property Services Group Limited it is $0.3100 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.1308. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Evergrande Property Services Group Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, EVGPF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.1308, fair value $0.3100, a gap of about +137% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EVGPF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.1308); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.3100). For Evergrande Property Services Group Limited the two are $0.1792 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Evergrande Property Services Group Limited worth?
The market values Evergrande Property Services Group Limited at about $1.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.1308; our models calculate a fair value of $0.3100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EVGPF?
Our models span a range for Evergrande Property Services Group Limited: cautious scenario $0.2200, base $0.3100, optimistic $0.4500 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.1308). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EVGPF?
Evergrande Property Services Group Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.3100 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.6, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 3.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Evergrande Property Services Group Limited (EVGPF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Evergrande Property Services Group Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 69.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 71/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EVGPF from its 52-week high?
Evergrande Property Services Group Limited trades at $0.1308, about 19% below its 52-week high of $0.1621 and 79% above the low of $0.0729 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.3100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Evergrande Property Services Group Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Evergrande Property Services Group Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.1308, calculated fair value $0.3100 (+137%), Quality Score 71/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EVGPF calculated?
We run Evergrande Property Services Group Limited through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.3100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Evergrande Property Services Group Limited currently trades 58 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Evergrande Property Services Group Limited (EVGPF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.1308. Our model-based fair value is $0.3100, about +137% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Evergrande Property Services Group Limited right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (71/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.2200). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.2200 to $0.4500) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Evergrande Property Services Group Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Evergrande Property Services Group Limited (EVGPF)?
The market capitalisation of Evergrande Property Services Group Limited is $1.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Evergrande Property Services Group Limited (EVGPF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Evergrande Property Services Group Limited is 0.94 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Evergrande Property Services Group Limited (EVGPF)?
Earnings per share at Evergrande Property Services Group Limited are $0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Evergrande Property Services Group Limited (EVGPF)?
The net margin of Evergrande Property Services Group Limited is 7.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Evergrande Property Services Group Limited (EVGPF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Evergrande Property Services Group Limited is 69.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Evergrande Property Services Group Limited (EVGPF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Evergrande Property Services Group Limited is 16.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Evergrande Property Services Group Limited (EVGPF)?
The operating margin of Evergrande Property Services Group Limited is 11.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Evergrande Property Services Group Limited (EVGPF)?
Revenue at Evergrande Property Services Group Limited is growing +7.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Evergrande Property Services Group Limited (EVGPF)?
Earnings per share at Evergrande Property Services Group Limited are growing +6.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Evergrande Property Services Group Limited (EVGPF) generate?
The free cash flow of Evergrande Property Services Group Limited is 1.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Evergrande Property Services Group Limited (EVGPF) hold?
Evergrande Property Services Group Limited holds more cash than debt, 4.2B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026