Exceed World, Inc (EXDW) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $9.6M
Exceed World, Inc
EXDW · US
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Below-average quality, and screening another 56% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0118 – $3.00 · fair‑value band $0.0900 – $0.1600 · the $0.2925 price screens above the $0.1300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Exceed World, Inc (EXDW) currently trades at $0.2925, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1300, implying the stock looks roughly 55.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Exceed World, Inc generated revenue of $8.6M at a net margin of -79.8%. Revenue declined 77.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -46.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $5.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0900 (bear case) to $0.1600 (bull case); at $0.2925, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at -56%, EXDW screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Exceed World, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides education services to pre-school children, students, and adult learners in Japan.
Full company description
Exceed World, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides education services to pre-school children, students, and adult learners in Japan. The company offers a range of e-learning education programs that include pre-school learning resources, learning resources supplementing elementary school, junior high school and senior high school curriculum, preparation courses for university entrance examinations, professional qualification examinations, and English learning, as well as supporting services through Force Club, an internet platform. It also provides online game services through Connector Plan. The company was formerly known as Brilliant Acquisition, Inc. and changed its name to Exceed World, Inc. in January 2016. Exceed World, Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Suita, Japan. Exceed World, Inc. is a subsidiary of Force Internationale Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Exceed World, Inc reported revenue of $8.6M in FY2025 versus $28.4M in FY2021, a compound −25.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$6.9M in FY2025.
EXDW screens 56% overvalued. Compare with New Oriental Education & Technology Group →
Peer Group
Education & Training Services · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN | 966.48 MXN | 897.37 MXN | -7% |
| TAL Education Group TAL | $10.24 | $15.60 | +52% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $36.45 | $41.45 | +14% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹131.59 | ₹14.81 | -89% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $149.00 | $152.01 | +2% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $116.22 | $135.45 | +17% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $83.39 | $139.45 | +67% |
| Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI | $40.33 | $21.35 | -47% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $31.66 | $41.45 | +31% |
| Strategic Education, Inc STRA | $84.18 | $105.48 | +25% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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