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Expedia Group (EXGR34) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · BR · Market cap R$141B

EG Expedia Group EXGR34 · SA
PriceR$628.00
Fair ValueR$124.32
Upside-80.2%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range R$93.24 – R$155.39

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price +19.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

R$700.45 R$415.16 Fair Value R$124.32 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range R$415.16 – R$700.45 · fair‑value band R$93.24 – R$155.39 · the R$628.00 price screens above the R$124.32 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Expedia Group (EXGR34) currently trades at R$628.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$124.32 — implying the stock looks roughly 80.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Expedia Group generated revenue of R$15.2B at a net margin of 9.8%. Revenue grew 14.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 71.5%. Net debt stands at R$748M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$15.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.7%
Net margin 9.8%
Return on equity 71.5%
Free cash flow R$3.1B FY2025
P/E ratio 20.7
More key figures
Operating margin 7.1%
EPS (TTM) R$28.41
Dividend yield 0.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -27.3%
Net debt R$748M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Expedia Group, Inc. operates as an online travel company in the United States and internationally. The company operates through B2C, B2B, and trivago segments. The B2C segment includes Brand Expedia, a full-service online travel brand offers various travel products and services; Hotels.com for lodging accommodations; Vrbo, an online marketplace for the alternative accommodations; and Orbitz, Travelocity, ebookers, and Wotif Group. The B2B segment provides various travel and non-travel companies including airlines, offline travel agents, online retailers, corporate travel management, and financial institutions who leverage its travel technology and tap into its diverse supply to augment their offerings and market Expedia Group rates and availabilities to its travelers. The trivago segment sends referrals to online travel companies and travel service providers from hotel metasearch websites. In addition, it provides brand advertising through online and offline channels, loyalty progra…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Expedia Group reported revenue of R$14.7B in FY2025 versus R$8.6B in FY2021, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was R$1.3B in FY2025, compounding +222.2%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +14.4%/yr
FY21 R$8.6B
FY22 R$11.7B
FY23 R$12.8B
FY24 R$13.7B
FY25 R$14.7B
Net income +222.2%/yr
FY21 R$12.0M
FY22 R$352M
FY23 R$797M
FY24 R$1.2B
FY25 R$1.3B

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Similar stocks

6 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Booking Holdings BKNG C$28.09 C$25.53 -9%
Airbnb, Inc ABNB C$23.33 C$15.32 -34%
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL $280.00 $128.75 -54%
Viking Holdings VIK $103.05 $61.24 -41%
Carnival Corporation CCL $25.99 $18.38 -29%
Trip.com Group 9961 HK$377.40 HK$662.01 +75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Expedia Group (EXGR34) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$124.32 versus a price of R$628.00 — about −80% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of EXGR34?
Our 21-model fair value for Expedia Group is R$124.32 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$628.00.
What is the quality score of EXGR34?
Expedia Group has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Expedia Group (EXGR34)?
Expedia Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$15.2B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EXGR34?
The net profit margin of Expedia Group is about 9.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Expedia Group pay a dividend?
Expedia Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.29% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.