Volution Group (FAN) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · GB · Market cap 1.2B GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +21.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 29% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£5.51). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £2.28 – £6.33 · fair‑value band £3.30 – £5.51 · the £6.20 price screens above the £4.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Volution Group (FAN) currently trades at £6.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £4.40, implying the stock looks roughly 29.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Volution Group generated revenue of £460M at a net margin of 11.2%. Revenue grew 21.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.1%. Net debt stands at £165M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £3.30 (bear case) to £5.51 (bull case); at £6.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -29%, FAN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (£5.64) versus Asset-Based (£0.9100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Volution Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and supply of ventilation products to residential and commercial constructions in the United Kingdom, Continental Europe, and Australasia.
Full company description
Volution Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and supply of ventilation products to residential and commercial constructions in the United Kingdom, Continental Europe, and Australasia. It provides unitary and central extractor fans, positive input systems, mechanical heat recovery units with and without active cooling, localized cooling fans and various ancillaries for use in houses, apartments, care applications, hotels, and more; air movement solutions, including extract and supply fans and systems, mechanical heat recovery units, air handling units, fan coils, hybrid ventilation solutions, acoustic solutions, and heat recovery cells for healthcare, education, offices, car parks, data centres, airports, tunnel ventilation, mining, and other applications. The company sells its products principally under the Vent-Axia, Manrose, Diffusion, Airtech, National Ventilation, Breathing Buildings, Torin, Fresh, PAX, VoltAir, Kair, Air Connection, inVENTer, Ventilair, ClimaRad, ERI, Rtek, VMI, i-Vent, Air Design, Burra Steel, Fantech. Fantech Trade, Ideal AirGroup, Major Air, NCS Acoustic, Simx, Systemaire, DVS, and Ventair brands. Volution Group plc was founded in 2002 and is based in Crawley, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Volution Group reported revenue of £419M in FY2025 versus £273M in FY2021, a compound +11.4%/yr. Reported net income was £41.5M in FY2025, compounding +18.8%/yr from FY2021.
FAN screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →
Peer Group
Building Products & Equipment · 247 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $469.98 | $212.34 | -55% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $142.81 | $45.65 | -68% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $68.61 | $17.35 | -75% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO | €76.62 | €101.60 | +33% |
| Geberit AG GEBN | CHF 523.20 | CHF 307.66 | -41% |
| Lennox International Inc LII | $543.93 | $363.09 | -33% |
| Kingspan Group KRX | €87.30 | €70.76 | -19% |
| Masco Corporation MAS | $78.04 | $54.36 | -30% |
| PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC | 1,420 IDR | 179.76 IDR | -87% |
| NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB | kr 36.03 | kr 25.37 | -30% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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