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First Community Bankshares, Inc (FCBC) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $819M

FC First Community Bankshares, Inc logo First Community Bankshares, Inc FCBC · US
Price$48.21
Fair Value$33.62
Upside-30.3%
Quality61/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 28.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.88% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Moderate moat 61/100
Evidence: High Range $25.22 – $42.03 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +11.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 30% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($42.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$48.96 $20.14 Fair Value $33.62 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $20.14 – $48.96 · fair‑value band $25.22 – $42.03 · the $48.21 price screens above the $33.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

First Community Bankshares, Inc (FCBC) currently trades at $48.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $33.62, implying the stock looks roughly 30.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, First Community Bankshares, Inc generated revenue of $172M at a net margin of 28.6%. Revenue grew 10.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $511M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $25.22 (bear case) to $42.03 (bull case); at $48.21, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -30%, FCBC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $21.77 $23.52 $27.37 76
P/E Multiple $25.22 $33.62 $42.03 63
P/B Multiple $27.86 $37.14 $46.43 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $25.22 $33.62 $42.03 63
P/B Multiple $27.86 $37.14 $46.43 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $13.27 $17.78 $26.53 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $21.77 $23.52 $27.37 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($33.62) versus Asset-Based ($17.78). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $172M
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.4%
Net margin 28.6%
Return on equity 9.6%
Free cash flow $60.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 16.4
More key figures
Operating margin 43.3%
EPS (TTM) $2.64
Dividend yield 2.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -1.6%
Net cash $511M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 88
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 73
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 89
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 64
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

First Community Bankshares, Inc. operates as the financial holding company for First Community Bank that provides various banking products and services.

Full company description

First Community Bankshares, Inc. operates as the financial holding company for First Community Bank that provides various banking products and services. It offers demand and savings deposits, money market accounts, certificates of deposit, and individual retirement accounts; commercial loans, such as loans to small and mid-size industrial, commercial, and service companies; and consumer real estate loans, including home equity loans, lines of credit, and financing residential properties. The company also provides consumer and other loans comprising automobile, credit cards, personal lines of credit, boats, mobile homes, and other consumer goods; and trust management, estate administration, and investment advisory services. It serves individual and commercial customers in the education, government, health services, retail trade, construction, manufacturing, tourism, coal mining and gas extraction, and transportation industries. The company operates through branches in Virginia, West Virginia, North Carolina, and Tennessee. First Community Bankshares, Inc. was founded in 1874 and is headquartered in Bluefield, Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

First Community Bankshares, Inc reported revenue of $185M in FY2025 versus $133M in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was $48.8M in FY2025, compounding −1.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$185M
Latest YoY
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y)
+5.6%
Revenue +8.6%/yr
FY21 $133M
FY22 $142M
FY23 $166M
FY24 $176M
FY25 $185M
Net income −1.2%/yr
FY21 $51.2M
FY22 $46.7M
FY23 $48.0M
FY24 $51.6M
FY25 $48.8M

FCBC screens 30% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "First Community Bankshares, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FCBC

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −30% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 29% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 43% · Above median
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.64× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.77× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 13.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.25× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 39
FUTURE 52 · sector 44
PAST 39 · sector 41
HEALTH 100 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 58 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is First Community Bankshares, Inc (FCBC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $33.62 versus a price of $48.21, about −30% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FCBC?
Our model-based fair value for First Community Bankshares, Inc is $33.62 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $48.21.
What is the quality score of FCBC?
First Community Bankshares, Inc has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of First Community Bankshares, Inc (FCBC)?
First Community Bankshares, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $172M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FCBC?
The net profit margin of First Community Bankshares, Inc is about 28.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 28.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does First Community Bankshares, Inc pay a dividend?
First Community Bankshares, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.88% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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