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Data-driven stock valuation

Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. (FCP) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. stock €1.65, price €2.80, upside -41.1%, quality 21 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Communication Services PT · ISIN PTFCP0AM0008

FC Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. logo Thin data Oct 30, 2026

Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D.

FCP · LS
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 41% below what the stock costs today.

Highly profitable · 24.8% net margin (TTM)
Costs just 1.6 times its yearly profit.
Negative equity (buybacks among others)
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Fair value €1.65 · Strongly overvalued (−41.1%)
Quality 21/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.5 %/yr in EUR)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 31/100
Thin data
⚠ Thinly traded
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€4.18 €0.6500 Fair Value €1.65 Jun 2020 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.6500 – €4.18 · fair‑value band €1.11 – €2.14 · the €2.80 price screens above the €1.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Company profile

Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol, S.A.D., together with its subsidiaries, participates in professional football competitions, and the sporting events promotion and organization in Portugal.

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It also engages in the image rights, sponsoring, merchandising, and products licensing activities; production, editing, and marketing of multimedia material, as well as Internet, periodical, and non-periodical publications; and sport equipment management and operation business, as well as insurance broking activities.

In addition, the company organizes and sells travel and tour packages; and ticket sales, as well as represents travel agencies and tourism.

Further, it is involved in the concept, design, development, production, direction, promotion, marketing, acquisition, exploration rights, recording, distribution, and dissemination of works and audiovisual programs, multimedia, television, video, cinema, theme, Internet, channels, tourist events, and cultural and sporting in any formats and systems.

Additionally, the company manages, operates, and provides services in the areas of recording, production, and communication of audiovisual works, television shows, sounds, images, and other audiovisuals.

Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol, S.A.D. was founded in 1893 and is headquartered in Porto, Portugal.

Stock analysis

Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. (FCP) currently trades at €2.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.65, 41.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 81/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: €1.11 (bear) to €2.14 (bull), the price of €2.80 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. reported revenue of €148M in FY2026 versus €143M in FY2022, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was −€26.3M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap €63.0M Micro · P/E ratio 1.6 · P/S ratio 0.41 · EPS (TTM) €−1.19 · Dividend yield 5.7% · Net margin −17.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.8% · Operating margin −35.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at −41%, FCP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €1.11 Fair Value €1.65 Bull €2.14
Price €2.80 · Upside -41.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Gordon GGM €1.11 €1.65 €2.14 69
DDM Multi-Stage €1.11 €1.50 €1.85 67
All 2 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €1.11 €1.65 €2.14 69
DDM Multi-Stage €1.11 €1.50 €1.85 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 21/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 15
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 3
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 4
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 16
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 59
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 73
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.0% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−11.5% (2021) → −50.7% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

FCP screens overvalued: fair value 41% below the price. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 227 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 21 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −41.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −5.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 24.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −35.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 5.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 5.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 1.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 0.41× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 32.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)25 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 4
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 48

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Fox Corporation FOX $57.43 $65.92 +15% vs FCP
Netflix, Inc NFLX $62.52 $68.77 +10% vs FCP
Universal Music Group UMG €15.84 €17.42 +10% vs FCP
Formula One Group FWONK $88.77 $97.65 +10% vs FCP
The Walt Disney Company DIS $110.91 $101.07 −9% vs FCP
News Corporation NWS $32.76 $17.05 −48% vs FCP
Roku, Inc ROKU $156.33 $71.66 −54% vs FCP
TKO Group TKO $171.23 $69.66 −59% vs FCP
Warner Music Group WMG $30.31 $10.61 −65% vs FCP
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $172.58 $48.10 −72% vs FCP

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Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. · Fair Value
€1.65 −41%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FCP

Frequently asked questions

Is Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. (FCP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.65 versus a price of €2.80, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FCP?
Our model-based fair value for Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. is €1.65 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €2.80.
What is the quality score of FCP?
Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. has a Quality Score of 21/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. (FCP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €1.65 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.11, optimistic scenario €2.14. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €1.65, about −41% upside versus a price of €2.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €1.11, optimistic scenario €2.14. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. (FCP)?
Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €153M (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
Does Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. pay a dividend?
Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. currently shows a dividend yield of 5.73% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. (FCP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. it is €1.65 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of €2.80. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, FCP trades above its calculated fair value: price €2.80, fair value €1.65, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FCP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€2.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€1.65). For Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. the two are €1.15 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. worth?
The market values Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. at about €63.0M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is €2.80; our models calculate a fair value of €1.65 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FCP?
Our models span a range for Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D.: cautious scenario €1.11, base €1.65, optimistic €2.14 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price €2.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FCP?
Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 1.6 (as of Oct 30, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €1.65 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 32.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. (FCP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. (as of Oct 30, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 21/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FCP from its 52-week high?
Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. trades at €2.80, about 33% below its 52-week high of €4.18 and 12% above the low of €2.50 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €1.65 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D.?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, Universal Music Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price €2.80, calculated fair value €1.65 (−41%), Quality Score 21/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FCP calculated?
We run Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €1.65, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. (FCP)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was €2.80. Our model-based fair value is €1.65, about −41% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€2.14). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (21/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (€1.11 to €2.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D.

How large is the market capitalisation of Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. (FCP)?
The market capitalisation of Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. is €63.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. (FCP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. is 0.41 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. (FCP)?
Earnings per share at Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. are €−1.19 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 1.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. (FCP)?
The dividend yield of Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. is 5.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. (FCP)?
The net margin of Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. is −17.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. (FCP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. is −8.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. (FCP)?
The operating margin of Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. is −35.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. (FCP)?
Revenue at Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. is growing +5.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. (FCP) generate?
The free cash flow of Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. is −€110M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. (FCP) carry?
The net debt of Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. is €229M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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