Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. (FCP) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · PT · Market cap €64.8M
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Share price +0.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 40% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€2.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.4320 – €4.18 · fair‑value band €1.55 – €2.58 · the €2.90 price screens above the €2.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. (FCP) currently trades at €2.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.06, implying the stock looks roughly 28.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. generated revenue of €153M at a net margin of 24.8%. Revenue grew 5.0% year over year. Net debt stands at €254M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 1.7. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €1.55 (bear case) to €2.58 (bull case); at €2.90, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 164% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at -29%, FCP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€33.33) versus Earnings-Based (€10.64). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol, S.A.D., together with its subsidiaries, participates in professional football competitions, and the sporting events promotion and organization in Portugal.
Full company description
Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol, S.A.D., together with its subsidiaries, participates in professional football competitions, and the sporting events promotion and organization in Portugal. It also engages in the image rights, sponsoring, merchandising, and products licensing activities; production, editing, and marketing of multimedia material, as well as Internet, periodical, and non-periodical publications; and sport equipment management and operation business, as well as insurance broking activities. In addition, the company organizes and sells travel and tour packages; and ticket sales, as well as represents travel agencies and tourism. Further, it is involved in the concept, design, development, production, direction, promotion, marketing, acquisition, exploration rights, recording, distribution, and dissemination of works and audiovisual programs, multimedia, television, video, cinema, theme, Internet, channels, tourist events, and cultural and sporting in any formats and systems. Additionally, the company manages, operates, and provides services in the areas of recording, production, and communication of audiovisual works, television shows, sounds, images, and other audiovisuals. Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol, S.A.D. was founded in 1893 and is headquartered in Porto, Portugal.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol S.A.D. reported revenue of €147M in FY2025 versus €152M in FY2021, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was €39.2M in FY2025, compounding +4.1%/yr from FY2021.
FCP screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →
Peer Group
Entertainment · 267 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc NFLX | $74.21 | $49.35 | -33% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $103.50 | $80.62 | -22% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $27.65 | $9.03 | -67% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $182.02 | $59.97 | -67% |
| Universal Music Group UMG | €14.73 | €14.78 | +0% |
| TKO Group TKO | $195.14 | $47.75 | -76% |
| Formula One Group FWONK | $102.02 | $35.21 | -65% |
| Fox Corporation FOXA | $63.05 | $206.81 | +228% |
| News Corporation NWS | A$46.55 | A$20.41 | -56% |
| Warner Music Group WMG | $24.79 | $12.10 | -51% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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