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Ferrum S.A. (FERR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Ferrum S.A. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · AR · ISIN ARP395611576

FS Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Ferrum S.A.

FERR · BA

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 7.12 ARS · Strongly overvalued (−61%)
!Quality 34/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +83.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -16.7% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

166.75 ARS 8.85 ARS Fair Value 7.12 ARS Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 8.85 ARS – 166.75 ARS · fair‑value band 6.72 ARS – 7.42 ARS · the 18.45 ARS price screens above the 7.12 ARS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Ferrum S.A. de Cerámica y Metalurgia manufactures and sells sanitary ware products in Argentina and internationally.

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Ferrum S.A. de Cerámica y Metalurgia manufactures and sells sanitary ware products in Argentina and internationally. The company provides toilets, bidets, deposits, touchless deposits, bidet and toilet covers, active lids, bathtubs, island bathtubs, support, underpost, sink, counter, semi-recessed pedestal, superimpose, shower boxes, screens, receptacles, hydromassages, bathroom accessories, whirlpool accessories, accessories for partitions, barrales and others, first aid kits, mirrors, vanities, laundry, kitchen sink, urinals, special lavatories, and specific use toilets. Ferrum S.A. de Cerámica y Metalurgia was founded in 1911 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Stock analysis

Ferrum S.A. (FERR) currently trades at 18.45 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7.12 ARS, implying the stock looks roughly 159.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 33.07 ARS per share, and 4 of the 7 models we run sit above the 18.45 ARS price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 12.94 ARS, and 3 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 6.72 ARS (bear) to 7.42 ARS (bull), the price of 18.45 ARS sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Ferrum S.A. reported revenue of 103B ARS in FY2025 versus 11.6B ARS in FY2021, a compound +72.5%/yr. Reported net income was −1.2B ARS in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 98.1B ARS (≈ $68.7M) · P/S ratio 1.00 · EPS (TTM) −3.25 ARS · Dividend yield 13.2% · Net margin −1.2% · Return on equity −9.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.3% · Operating margin −27.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −61%, FERR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 6.72 ARS Fair Value 7.12 ARS Bull 7.42 ARS
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV 11.33 ARS 12.94 ARS 14.34 ARS 74
ROIC Compounder 11.33 ARS 12.94 ARS 14.34 ARS 70
Owner Earnings 8.26 ARS 16.60 ARS 34.11 ARS 69
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 8.26 ARS 16.60 ARS 34.11 ARS 69
Earnings-Based
EPV 11.33 ARS 12.94 ARS 14.34 ARS 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT 25.23 ARS 33.07 ARS 40.91 ARS 66
EV/EBITDA 32.54 ARS 42.82 ARS 53.09 ARS 67
EV/Revenue 18.50 ARS 25.69 ARS 32.89 ARS 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 17.22 ARS 23.08 ARS 34.44 ARS 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 11.33 ARS 12.94 ARS 14.34 ARS 70

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−32.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+69.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+83.8%
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.7% (2020) → 8.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

FERR screens 159% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 250 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +58% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −17% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −28% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 13.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.05× · Below median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT $422.73 $208.50 −51%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $138.29 $38.59 −72%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $54.26 $16.85 −69%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €70.34 €93.50 +33%
Geberit AG GEBN CHF 545.00 CHF 297.73 −45%
Lennox International Inc LII $361.04 $294.98 −18%
Madison Air Solutions Corporation MAIR $25.21 $15.34 −39%
Kingspan Group KRX €96.75 €66.79 −31%
Masco Corporation MAS $68.28 $53.22 −22%
Carlisle Companies Incorporated CSL $317.54 $340.70 +7%

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Ferrum S.A. · Fair Value
7.12 ARS −159%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ferrum S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FERR

Frequently asked questions

Is Ferrum S.A. (FERR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 7.12 ARS versus a price of 18.45 ARS, about −61% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FERR?
Our model-based fair value for Ferrum S.A. is 7.12 ARS (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 18.45 ARS.
What is the quality score of FERR?
Ferrum S.A. has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ferrum S.A. (FERR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 7.12 ARS (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6.72 ARS, optimistic scenario 7.42 ARS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ferrum S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 7.12 ARS, about −61% upside versus a price of 18.45 ARS (overvalued). Cautious scenario 6.72 ARS, optimistic scenario 7.42 ARS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ferrum S.A. (FERR)?
Ferrum S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 98.3B ARS (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Ferrum S.A. pay a dividend?
Ferrum S.A. currently shows a dividend yield of about 13.20% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ferrum S.A. (FERR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ferrum S.A. it is 7.12 ARS per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 18.45 ARS. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ferrum S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, FERR trades above its calculated fair value: price 18.45 ARS, fair value 7.12 ARS, a gap of about −61% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FERR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (18.45 ARS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (7.12 ARS). For Ferrum S.A. the two are 11.33 ARS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ferrum S.A. worth?
The market values Ferrum S.A. at about 98.1B ARS (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 18.45 ARS; our models calculate a fair value of 7.12 ARS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FERR?
Our models span a range for Ferrum S.A.: cautious scenario 6.72 ARS, base 7.12 ARS, optimistic 7.42 ARS per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 18.45 ARS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ferrum S.A. (FERR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ferrum S.A. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −9.5%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FERR from its 52-week high?
Ferrum S.A. trades at 18.45 ARS, about 62% below its 52-week high of 49.00 ARS and 26% above the low of 14.60 ARS (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 7.12 ARS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ferrum S.A.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ferrum S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 18.45 ARS, calculated fair value 7.12 ARS (−61%), Quality Score 34/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FERR calculated?
We run Ferrum S.A. through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 7.12 ARS, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Ferrum S.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ferrum S.A. (FERR)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was 18.45 ARS. Our model-based fair value is 7.12 ARS, about −61% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ferrum S.A. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (7.42 ARS). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. The models converge in a tight band (6.72 ARS to 7.42 ARS), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Ferrum S.A.

How large is the market capitalisation of Ferrum S.A. (FERR)?
The market capitalisation of Ferrum S.A. is 98.1B ARS (≈ $68.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ferrum S.A. (FERR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ferrum S.A. is 1.00 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ferrum S.A. (FERR)?
Earnings per share at Ferrum S.A. are −3.25 ARS. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ferrum S.A. (FERR)?
The dividend yield of Ferrum S.A. is 13.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ferrum S.A. (FERR)?
The net margin of Ferrum S.A. is −1.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ferrum S.A. (FERR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ferrum S.A. is −9.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ferrum S.A. (FERR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ferrum S.A. is 16.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ferrum S.A. (FERR)?
The operating margin of Ferrum S.A. is −27.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ferrum S.A. (FERR)?
Revenue at Ferrum S.A. is growing −1.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +69.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ferrum S.A. (FERR)?
Earnings per share at Ferrum S.A. are growing +1.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ferrum S.A. (FERR) generate?
The free cash flow of Ferrum S.A. is −533M ARS (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ferrum S.A. (FERR) carry?
The net debt of Ferrum S.A. is 6.5B ARS (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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