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Ferrum S.A (FERR) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · AR · Market cap 98.1B ARS

FS Ferrum S.A FERR · BA
Price20.95 ARS
Fair Value29.95 ARS
Upside+43.0%
Quality30/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -16.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range 22.11 ARS – 37.79 ARS Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 39.69 ARS to 29.95 ARS (−24.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 43% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (30/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (22.11 ARS). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

166.75 ARS 8.85 ARS Fair Value 29.95 ARS Feb 2021 Jun 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 8.85 ARS – 166.75 ARS · fair‑value band 22.11 ARS – 37.79 ARS · the 20.95 ARS price screens below the 29.95 ARS fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Ferrum S.A (FERR) currently trades at 20.95 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 29.95 ARS, implying the stock looks roughly 43.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Ferrum S.A generated revenue of 98.3B ARS at a net margin of -16.7%. Revenue declined 1.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.5%. Net debt stands at 6.5B ARS. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 22.11 ARS (bear case) to 37.79 ARS (bull case); at 20.95 ARS, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 43%, FERR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder 11.33 ARS 12.94 ARS 14.34 ARS 72
EPV 11.33 ARS 12.94 ARS 14.34 ARS 59
EV/EBITDA 32.54 ARS 42.82 ARS 53.09 ARS 54
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 8.26 ARS 16.60 ARS 34.11 ARS 31
Earnings-Based
EPV 11.33 ARS 12.94 ARS 14.34 ARS 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT 26.62 ARS 34.92 ARS 43.21 ARS 53
EV/EBITDA 32.54 ARS 42.82 ARS 53.09 ARS 54
EV/Revenue 18.50 ARS 25.69 ARS 32.89 ARS 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 17.22 ARS 23.08 ARS 34.44 ARS 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 11.33 ARS 12.94 ARS 14.34 ARS 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (34.92 ARS) versus Earnings-Based (12.94 ARS). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 98.3B ARS
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.3%
Net margin -16.7%
Return on equity -9.5%
Free cash flow −533M ARS FY2025
Operating margin -27.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -3.25 ARS
EPS growth (YoY) +1.7%
Net debt 6.5B ARS FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ferrum S.A. de Cerámica y Metalurgia manufactures and sells sanitary ware products in Argentina and internationally. The company provides toilets, bidets, deposits, touchless deposits, bidet and toilet covers, active lids, bathtubs, island bathtubs, support, underpost, sink, counter, semi-recessed pedestal, superimpose, shower boxes, screens, receptacles, …

Full company description

Ferrum S.A. de Cerámica y Metalurgia manufactures and sells sanitary ware products in Argentina and internationally. The company provides toilets, bidets, deposits, touchless deposits, bidet and toilet covers, active lids, bathtubs, island bathtubs, support, underpost, sink, counter, semi-recessed pedestal, superimpose, shower boxes, screens, receptacles, hydromassages, bathroom accessories, whirlpool accessories, accessories for partitions, barrales and others, first aid kits, mirrors, vanities, laundry, kitchen sink, urinals, special lavatories, and specific use toilets. Ferrum S.A. de Cerámica y Metalurgia was founded in 1911 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ferrum S.A reported revenue of 103B ARS in FY2025 versus 11.6B ARS in FY2021, a compound +72.5%/yr. Reported net income was −1.2B ARS in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
103B ARS
Latest YoY
−32.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+69.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+83.8%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+34.2%
Revenue +72.5%/yr
FY21 11.6B ARS
FY22 21.3B ARS
FY23 40.4B ARS
FY24 153B ARS
FY25 103B ARS
Net income
FY21 1.5B ARS
FY22 2.8B ARS
FY23 4.6B ARS
FY24 6.4B ARS
FY25 −1.2B ARS

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ferrum S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FERR

Peer Group

Building Products & Equipment · 247 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +43% · Top 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -17% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -28% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 91 · sector 4
FUTURE 0 · sector 9
PAST 0 · sector 23
HEALTH 97 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT $469.98 $212.34 -55%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $142.81 $45.65 -68%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $68.61 $17.35 -75%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €76.62 €101.60 +33%
Geberit AG GEBN CHF 523.20 CHF 307.66 -41%
Lennox International Inc LII $543.93 $363.09 -33%
Kingspan Group KRX €87.30 €70.76 -19%
Masco Corporation MAS $78.04 $54.36 -30%
PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC 1,420 IDR 179.76 IDR -87%
NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB kr 36.03 kr 25.37 -30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ferrum S.A (FERR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 29.95 ARS versus a price of 20.95 ARS, about +43% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FERR?
Our model-based fair value for Ferrum S.A is 29.95 ARS (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 20.95 ARS.
What is the quality score of FERR?
Ferrum S.A has a Quality Score of 30/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ferrum S.A (FERR)?
Ferrum S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 98.3B ARS (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FERR?
The net profit margin of Ferrum S.A is about -16.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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