Flight Centre Travel Group (FGETF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $1.4B
Flight Centre Travel Group
FGETF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $9.23 to $8.20 (−11.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +22.3% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $5.72 – $21.44 · fair‑value band $5.56 – $10.25 · the $8.59 price screens above the $8.20 fair value. As of Jul 16, 2026.
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Flight Centre Travel Group (FGETF) currently trades at $8.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.20, implying the stock looks roughly 4.5% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Flight Centre Travel Group generated revenue of $2.9B at a net margin of 3.8%. Revenue grew 6.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.0%. Net debt stands at $49.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.56 (bear case) to $10.25 (bull case); at $8.59, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -57% fair-value upside, at -5%, FGETF screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Flight Centre Travel Group Limited provides travel retailing services for the leisure and corporate sectors in Australia, New Zealand, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and internationally. The company offers leisure travel services for the niche sectors, as well as mass, youth, premium, and cruise markets; and corporate travel services for organizations of various sizes across industries, as well as supplies products to its national and international network, or travel retail outlets. It also provides tour operations, hotel management, and destination management services. In addition, the company offers other travel related services, including foreign currency exchange and travel academies; recruitment marketing and bike retailing; and employee benefit services. It provides its services primarily under the Flight Centre brand, as well as other travel brands. The company was formerly known as Flight Centre Limited and changed its name to Flight Centre Travel …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Flight Centre Travel Group reported revenue of $2.8B in FY2025 versus $396M in FY2021, a compound +62.8%/yr. Reported net income was $109M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booking Holdings BKNG34 | R$4.83 | R$0.9300 | -81% |
| Airbnb, Inc ABNB | $129.10 | $85.66 | -34% |
| Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL | $268.73 | $140.14 | -48% |
| Viking Holdings VIK | $100.69 | $43.51 | -57% |
| Carnival Corporation C1CL34 | R$135.38 | R$35.50 | -74% |
| Expedia Group EXGR34 | R$610.70 | R$124.32 | -80% |
| Trip.com Group TCOM | $45.50 | $88.51 | +95% |
| Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings N1CL34 | R$107.20 | R$19.25 | -82% |
| Tongcheng Travel Holdings TNGCF | $2.80 | $3.28 | +17% |
| Global Business Travel Group GBTG | $9.35 | $2.54 | -73% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.