FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of FIBRA Prologis MXN 47.65, price MXN 74.59, upside -36.1%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 27.08 MXN – 85.20 MXN · fair‑value band 35.74 MXN – 59.56 MXN · the 74.59 MXN price screens above the 47.65 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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FIBRA Prologis is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests in and manages Class A industrial properties in Mexico. As of December 31, 2025, Its portfolio comprised 518 investment properties, totaling 87.4 million square feet (8.1 million square meters).
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FIBRA Prologis is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests in and manages Class A industrial properties in Mexico. As of December 31, 2025, Its portfolio comprised 518 investment properties, totaling 87.4 million square feet (8.1 million square meters). This includes 350 strategically located logistics and manufacturing buildings in six major industrial markets in Mexico, comprising 65.9 million square feet (6.1 million square meters) of Gross Leasable Area (GLA), and 168 buildings with 21.5 million square feet (1.9 million square meters) of non-strategic assets in other markets. FIBRA Prologis was established on August 13, 2013 and incorporated in Mexico.
Stock analysis
FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14) currently trades at 74.59 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 47.65 MXN, 36.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 49.17 MXN per share, and 3 of the 6 models we run sit above the 74.59 MXN price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 19.80 MXN, and 3 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 35.74 MXN (bear) to 59.56 MXN (bull), the price of 74.59 MXN sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
FIBRA Prologis reported revenue of $692M in FY2025 versus $4.9B in FY2021, a compound −38.7%/yr. Reported net income was $617M in FY2025, compounding −50.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 122B MXN (≈ $6.7B) · P/E ratio 10.9 · P/S ratio 9.76 · EPS (TTM) 6.82 MXN · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 89.2% · Return on equity 8.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 27% fair-value upside, at −36%, FIBRAPL14 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 35.74 MXNFair Value 47.65 MXNBull 59.56 MXN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (4.99 MXN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+69.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−50.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−31.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−38.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−38.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.77% → 77%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 40.4%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+77.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Mexico: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +72.3% a year for the price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (32 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Industrial · 53 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−35.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8.9% · Above median
Return on assets3.5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)89.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)72.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.27× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)10.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.05× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)9.32× · Pricier than median
P/FCF17.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA4.8× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)36· sector 16
PAST (return on equity)36· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)86· sector 77
DIVIDEND (yield)5· sector 100
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "FIBRA Prologis Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FIBRAPL14
Frequently asked questions
Is FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 47.65 MXN versus a price of 74.59 MXN, about −36% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FIBRAPL14?
Our model-based fair value for FIBRA Prologis is 47.65 MXN (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 74.59 MXN.
What is the quality score of FIBRAPL14?
FIBRA Prologis has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 47.65 MXN (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 35.74 MXN, optimistic scenario 59.56 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the FIBRA Prologis stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 47.65 MXN, about −36% upside versus a price of 74.59 MXN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 35.74 MXN, optimistic scenario 59.56 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14)?
FIBRA Prologis reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 714M MXN (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does FIBRA Prologis pay a dividend?
FIBRA Prologis currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.26% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, FIBRA Prologis would have to grow free cash flow by +77.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -31.7 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FIBRAPL14 use?
Our models discount FIBRA Prologis at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.50, country premium for Mexico. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For FIBRA Prologis that is +77.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at FIBRA Prologis grew -31.7 % a year. The price currently implies +77.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into FIBRA Prologis (+77.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.30 %: that much free cash flow FIBRA Prologis produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For FIBRA Prologis it is 47.65 MXN per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 74.59 MXN. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is FIBRA Prologis stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, FIBRAPL14 trades above its calculated fair value: price 74.59 MXN, fair value 47.65 MXN, a gap of about −36% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FIBRAPL14?
No. The price is what the market pays today (74.59 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (47.65 MXN). For FIBRA Prologis the two are 26.94 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is FIBRA Prologis worth?
The market values FIBRA Prologis at about 122B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 74.59 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 47.65 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FIBRAPL14?
Our models span a range for FIBRA Prologis: cautious scenario 35.74 MXN, base 47.65 MXN, optimistic 59.56 MXN per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 74.59 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FIBRAPL14?
FIBRA Prologis trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.9 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 47.65 MXN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, P/S 9.3, EV/EBITDA 4.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14)?
Balance-sheet figures for FIBRA Prologis (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 8.9%, debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FIBRAPL14 from its 52-week high?
FIBRA Prologis trades at 74.59 MXN, about 12% below its 52-week high of 85.20 MXN and 9% above the low of 68.73 MXN (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 47.65 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to FIBRA Prologis?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500,, Prologis, Inc, Extra Space Storage Inc, EastGroup Properties, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is FIBRA Prologis stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 74.59 MXN, calculated fair value 47.65 MXN (−36%), Quality Score 44/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FIBRAPL14 calculated?
We run FIBRA Prologis through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 47.65 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. FIBRA Prologis itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 74.59 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 47.65 MXN, about −36% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with FIBRA Prologis right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (59.56 MXN). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of FIBRA Prologis
How large is the market capitalisation of FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14)?
The market capitalisation of FIBRA Prologis is 122B MXN (≈ $6.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14)?
The price-to-sales ratio of FIBRA Prologis is 9.76 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14)?
Earnings per share at FIBRA Prologis are 6.82 MXN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14)?
The dividend yield of FIBRA Prologis is 0.3% (payout 2.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14)?
The net margin of FIBRA Prologis is 89.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14)?
The return on equity (ROE) of FIBRA Prologis is 8.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of FIBRA Prologis is 2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14)?
The operating margin of FIBRA Prologis is 72.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14)?
Revenue at FIBRA Prologis is growing +7.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −50.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14)?
Earnings per share at FIBRA Prologis are growing +10.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14) carry?
The net debt of FIBRA Prologis is 41.9B MXN (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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