First Capital S.p.A (FIC) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · IT · Market cap €58.5M
Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price +0.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 65% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€21.61). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €13.32 – €21.85 · fair‑value band €21.61 – €36.01 · the €17.45 price screens below the €28.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
Analysis
First Capital S.p.A (FIC) currently trades at €17.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €28.82, implying the stock looks roughly 65.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, First Capital S.p.A generated revenue of €22.6M at a net margin of 64.3%. Revenue grew 100.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.0%. Net debt stands at €17.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €21.61 (bear case) to €36.01 (bull case); at €17.45, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 65%, FIC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (€146.84) versus Growth DCF (€6.92). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
First Capital S.p.A. is a private equity firm specializing in public equity and private equity investments, mature, buyout, growth capital, and PIPEs investments in small/medium sized companies. The firm invests in different types of financial instruments: ordinary shares, special shares, convertible bonds, and bonds cum warrants.
Full company description
First Capital S.p.A. is a private equity firm specializing in public equity and private equity investments, mature, buyout, growth capital, and PIPEs investments in small/medium sized companies. The firm invests in different types of financial instruments: ordinary shares, special shares, convertible bonds, and bonds cum warrants. The firm seeks to acquire equity positions in enterprises that are either already listed or in the pre-IPO phase. The firm has no industry limitations. It invests in all companies based in Italy. It considers investments in manufacturing and service sectors. The firm prefers to invest in companies having EBITDA minimum of "5 million ($5.43 million), EBITDA more than 10%, ROCE greater than 10% and revenue between "50 million ($54.35 million) to "150 million ($163.04 million). It prefers to take majority stake. First Capital S.p.A. was founded in February 2008 and is based in Milan, Italy.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
First Capital S.p.A reported revenue of €24.3M in FY2025 versus €1.6M in FY2021, a compound +96.3%/yr. Reported net income was €14.5M in FY2025, compounding −13.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Capital Markets · 423 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huatai Securities Co HTSC | $0.2700 | $0.0400 | -85% |
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,750 KRW | 31,645 KRW | -18% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 117,000 KRW | 87,706 KRW | -25% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 239,000 KRW | 318,825 KRW | +33% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 31,000 KRW | 37,133 KRW | +20% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 107,700 KRW | 126,487 KRW | +17% |
| Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS | ₹967.00 | ₹299.65 | -69% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 322,000 KRW | 358,091 KRW | +11% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 24,250 VND | 28,021 VND | +16% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 120.22 ARS | -62% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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