FIN Resources Ltd (FIN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of FIN Resources Ltd A$0.00, price A$0.00, upside -11.6%, quality 32 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch FIN Resources Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0030 – A$0.0470 · fair‑value band A$0.0039 – A$0.0041 · the A$0.0045 price screens above the A$0.0040 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Follow FIN Resources in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether FIN Resources is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Fin Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia and North America. The company explores for nickel, graphite, copper, cobalt, and platinum group metals.
Show more
Fin Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia and North America. The company explores for nickel, graphite, copper, cobalt, and platinum group metals. It holds interest in the Mt Tremblant Lithium project comprising 480 mineral claims covering 138 square kilometers located in Quebec, Canada; and the McKenzie Springs project covering 82 square kilometers located in Western Australia. The company was formerly known as Orca Energy Limited and changed its name to Fin Resources Limited in April 2018. Fin Resources Limited was incorporated in 1985 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
FIN Resources Ltd (FIN) currently trades at A$0.0045, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0040, implying the stock looks roughly 13.1% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: A$0.0039 (bear) to A$0.0041 (bull), the price of A$0.0045 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
FIN Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$4.7K in FY2025 versus A$23.8K in FY2021, a compound −33.3%/yr. Reported net income was −A$612K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$6.8M (≈ $4.8M) · Return on equity −22.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −30.1% · Free cash flow −A$678K · Net cash A$202K.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −12%, FIN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0039Fair Value A$0.0040Bull A$0.0041
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−95.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−34.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.1%
’04
’08
’09
’14
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−853.6% (2020) → −10,962.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 456 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score32 · Below median
Fair Value upside−12% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−13% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is FIN Resources Ltd (FIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0040 versus a price of A$0.0045, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FIN?
Our model-based fair value for FIN Resources Ltd is A$0.0040 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0045.
What is the quality score of FIN?
FIN Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for FIN Resources Ltd (FIN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0040 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0039, optimistic scenario A$0.0041. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the FIN Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0040, about −12% upside versus a price of A$0.0045 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0039, optimistic scenario A$0.0041. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of FIN Resources Ltd (FIN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For FIN Resources Ltd it is A$0.0040 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0045. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is FIN Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, FIN trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0045, fair value A$0.0040, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FIN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0045); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0040). For FIN Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0005 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is FIN Resources Ltd worth?
The market values FIN Resources Ltd at about A$6.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0045; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0040 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FIN?
Our models span a range for FIN Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0039, base A$0.0040, optimistic A$0.0041 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.0045). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of FIN Resources Ltd (FIN)?
Balance-sheet figures for FIN Resources Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −22.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FIN from its 52-week high?
FIN Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0045, about 70% below its 52-week high of A$0.0150 and 50% above the low of A$0.0030 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0040 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to FIN Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is FIN Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0045, calculated fair value A$0.0040 (−12%), Quality Score 32/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FIN calculated?
We run FIN Resources Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0040, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. FIN Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of FIN Resources Ltd (FIN)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0045. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0040, about −12% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with FIN Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0041). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0039 to A$0.0041), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of FIN Resources Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of FIN Resources Ltd (FIN)?
The market capitalisation of FIN Resources Ltd is A$6.8M (≈ $4.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of FIN Resources Ltd (FIN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of FIN Resources Ltd is −22.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of FIN Resources Ltd (FIN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of FIN Resources Ltd is −30.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does FIN Resources Ltd (FIN) generate?
The free cash flow of FIN Resources Ltd is −A$678K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does FIN Resources Ltd (FIN) hold?
FIN Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$202K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch FIN Resources Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts FIN Resources Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
