FTAI Infrastructure Inc (FIP) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $568M
FTAI Infrastructure Inc
FIP · US
Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price −3.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 71% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (17/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.7600 to $1.56) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
49‑month range $2.02 – $9.87 · fair‑value band $0.7600 – $1.56 · the $4.27 price screens above the $1.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
Analysis
FTAI Infrastructure Inc (FIP) currently trades at $4.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.23, implying the stock looks roughly 71.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 17/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, FTAI Infrastructure Inc generated revenue of $595M at a net margin of -78.6%. Revenue grew 95.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -61.1%. Net debt stands at $3.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.7600 (bear case) to $1.56 (bull case); at $4.27, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -71%, FIP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($6.30) versus Dividend Discount ($1.50). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 19 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 6
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
FTAI Infrastructure Inc. engages in acquiring, developing, and operating assets and businesses that represent infrastructure for customers in the transportation, energy, and industrial products industries in North America. It operates through four segments: Railroad, Ports and Terminals, Power and Gas, and Sustainability and Energy Transition.
Full company description
FTAI Infrastructure Inc. engages in acquiring, developing, and operating assets and businesses that represent infrastructure for customers in the transportation, energy, and industrial products industries in North America. It operates through four segments: Railroad, Ports and Terminals, Power and Gas, and Sustainability and Energy Transition. The company operates a multi-modal crude oil and refined products terminal, and other related assets; and Jefferson Terminal and Repauno that develops or acquires industrial properties in strategic locations that store and handle for third parties various energy products, including crude oil, refined products, and clean fuels. It also has a 1,630-acre deep-water port located along the Delaware River with an underground storage cavern, a multipurpose dock, a rail-to-ship transloading system, and multiple industrial development opportunities; and a 1,660-acre multi-modal port located along the Ohio River with rail, dock, and multiple industrial development opportunities, including a power plant. In addition, the company owns and operates eight freight railroads and one switching company that provides rail service to certain manufacturing and production facilities. Further, it focuses on waste plastic to renewable fuel, hydrogen-fueled power plant, and carbon capture businesses. FTAI Infrastructure Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
FTAI Infrastructure Inc reported revenue of $503M in FY2025 versus $120M in FY2021, a compound +43.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$107M in FY2025.
FIP screens 71% overvalued. Compare with CITIC Limited →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) Could Be Deeply Undervalued, Says Jones Trading
- FTAI Infrastructure Announces Acquisition of Tidewater Logistics
- 2 Reasons to Like FIP and 1 to Stay Skeptical
Peer Group
Conglomerates · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$11.28 | HK$22.56 | +100% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 580,000 KRW | 497,919 KRW | -14% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,810 IDR | 9,620 IDR | +100% |
| The Siam Cement Public Company SCC | 254.00 THB | 199.40 THB | -21% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,875 | ₹1,053 | -63% |
| Empresas Copec S.A COPEC | 6,330 CLP | 10,879 CLP | +72% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 50,900 KRW | 61,248 KRW | +20% |
| Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA | ₹2,940 | ₹559.30 | -81% |
| Doosan Corporation 000155 | 464,000 KRW | 75,620 KRW | -84% |
| Thermax Limited THERMAX | ₹4,809 | ₹1,087 | -77% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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