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FLAP Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TR · Market cap 942M TRY

F FLAP FLAP · IS
Price10.05 TRY
Fair Value3.10 TRY
Upside-69.2%
Quality37/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -11.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 4/100
Evidence: High Range 2.32 TRY – 3.10 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −6.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 69% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.10 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

16.37 TRY 2.08 TRY Fair Value 3.10 TRY May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2.08 TRY – 16.37 TRY · fair‑value band 2.32 TRY – 3.10 TRY · the 10.05 TRY price screens above the 3.10 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

FLAP (FLAP) currently trades at 10.05 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.10 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 69.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, FLAP generated revenue of 363M TRY at a net margin of -11.5%. Revenue grew 9.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.3%. Net debt stands at 11.2M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2.32 TRY (bear case) to 3.10 TRY (bull case); at 10.05 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at -69%, FLAP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.6900 TRY 0.9800 TRY 1.45 TRY 80
Residual Income 7.05 TRY 6.52 TRY 4.61 TRY 76
ROIC Compounder 0.4900 TRY 0.5100 TRY 0.5400 TRY 72
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.7200 TRY 0.9200 TRY 1.51 TRY 38
Owner Earnings 2.89 TRY 5.69 TRY 10.87 TRY 31
5Y Revenue Exit 0.6100 TRY 0.8300 TRY 1.27 TRY 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.9000 TRY 1.41 TRY 2.42 TRY 41
5Y P/E Exit 2.31 TRY 5.32 TRY 9.50 TRY 38
10Y Revenue Exit 0.6400 TRY 1.00 TRY 1.21 TRY 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.8400 TRY 1.57 TRY 2.86 TRY 37
10Y P/E Exit 1.78 TRY 4.34 TRY 8.72 TRY 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.24 TRY 8.64 TRY 12.12 TRY 54
Lynch FV 4.46 TRY 6.37 TRY 8.29 TRY 50
PEG = 1.0 4.46 TRY 6.37 TRY 8.29 TRY 46
EPV 0.4900 TRY 0.5100 TRY 0.5400 TRY 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.5600 TRY 1.01 TRY 1.39 TRY 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.5600 TRY 0.9300 TRY 1.08 TRY 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 2.73 TRY 3.64 TRY 4.55 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 2.32 TRY 3.10 TRY 3.87 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 2.32 TRY 3.10 TRY 3.87 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 0.6600 TRY 0.7900 TRY 0.9100 TRY 53
EV/EBITDA 0.9800 TRY 1.21 TRY 1.44 TRY 54
EV/Revenue 0.5400 TRY 0.6500 TRY 0.7600 TRY 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 5.37 TRY 7.20 TRY 10.75 TRY 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.6900 TRY 0.9800 TRY 1.45 TRY 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income 7.05 TRY 6.52 TRY 4.61 TRY 76
ROIC Compounder 0.4900 TRY 0.5100 TRY 0.5400 TRY 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 5.75 TRY 8.21 TRY 10.68 TRY 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (8.21 TRY) versus Economic Profit (0.5100 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 363M TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.1%
Net margin -11.5%
Return on equity -4.3%
Free cash flow 3.0M TRY FY2025
Operating margin -3.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.4400 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) -0.7%
Net debt 11.2M TRY FY2020

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 20
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 31
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Flap Kongre Toplanti Hizmetleri Otomotiv ve Turizm A.S. plans and organizes events and meetings under the Flap Tour brand name for the tourism industry. It organizes product launch meetings, education meetings, dealers' meetings, and corporate opening organizations.

Full company description

Flap Kongre Toplanti Hizmetleri Otomotiv ve Turizm A.S. plans and organizes events and meetings under the Flap Tour brand name for the tourism industry. It organizes product launch meetings, education meetings, dealers' meetings, and corporate opening organizations. The company is also involved in organizing press meetings and bulletins; and the preparation of the printed materials for presentations. In addition, it offers association management services, such as general management and secretariat, membership succeeding, course and seminar organizations, finance and budget management, and Web services; and IT and graphic design services, including logo and visual projects for congress and meetings, design and printing of printed materials, online abstract module software, electronic poster module software, congress registration and accommodation module software, and internal use web server and customizable software options. Further, the company provides ticketing services such as ticket staff IATA certified for all projects; hotel department including tracking the payments and contracts of the hotel projects; and governmental organizational, national medical congress, and international medical congress services. Flap Kongre Toplanti Hizmetleri Otomotiv ve Turizm A.S. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Ankara, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

FLAP reported revenue of 358M TRY in FY2025 versus 45.9M TRY in FY2021, a compound +67.1%/yr. Reported net income was 17.1M TRY in FY2025, compounding −13.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
358M TRY
Latest YoY
−23.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+44.3%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y)
+13.0%
Revenue +67.1%/yr
FY21 45.9M TRY
FY22 119M TRY
FY23 382M TRY
FY24 466M TRY
FY25 358M TRY
Net income −13.0%/yr
FY21 29.8M TRY
FY22 47.9M TRY
FY23 181M TRY
FY24 −90.4M TRY
FY25 17.1M TRY

FLAP screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Booking Holdings →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "FLAP Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FLAP

Peer Group

Travel Services · 90 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -11% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -4% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 6.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 22
FUTURE 46 · sector 25
PAST 0 · sector 36
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 36

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Booking Holdings BKNG $182.80 $152.94 -16%
Airbnb, Inc ABNB $148.62 $57.47 -61%
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL $286.96 $215.19 -25%
Viking Holdings VIK $100.69 $43.51 -57%
Carnival Corporation CCL $26.41 $31.36 +19%
Expedia Group EXPE $268.77 $248.63 -7%
Trip.com Group TCOM $42.45 $88.82 +109%
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings NCLH $19.46 $20.28 +4%
Global Business Travel Group GBTG $9.40 $4.17 -56%
Travel + Leisure Co TNL $73.27 $27.29 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is FLAP overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.10 TRY versus a price of 10.05 TRY, about −69% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FLAP?
Our model-based fair value for FLAP is 3.10 TRY (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 10.05 TRY.
What is the quality score of FLAP?
FLAP has a Quality Score of 37/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of FLAP?
FLAP reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 363M TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FLAP?
The net profit margin of FLAP is about -11.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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