FLSmidth & Co (FLIDY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $4.0B
FLSmidth & Co
FLIDY · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $1.12 to $1.10 (−1.8%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +4.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 86% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.26). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.92 – $9.38 · fair‑value band $1.02 – $1.26 · the $8.09 price screens above the $1.10 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
FLSmidth & Co (FLIDY) currently trades at $8.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.10, implying the stock looks roughly 86.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, FLSmidth & Co generated revenue of $14.2B at a net margin of 4.5%. Revenue declined 11.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.7%. Net debt stands at $2.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.02 (bear case) to $1.26 (bull case); at $8.09, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -86%, FLIDY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($11.81) versus Earnings-Based ($2.59). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
FLSmidth & Co. A/S provides flowsheet technology and service solutions for the mining industries in Denmark, the United States of America, Canada, Chile, Brazil, Peru, Australia, North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. The company operates through three segments: Service; Products; and Pumps, Cyclones & Valves (PC&V).
Full company description
FLSmidth & Co. A/S provides flowsheet technology and service solutions for the mining industries in Denmark, the United States of America, Canada, Chile, Brazil, Peru, Australia, North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. The company operates through three segments: Service; Products; and Pumps, Cyclones & Valves (PC&V). The company offers mineral processing equipment, such as hydrocyclones and REFLUX classifiers; cone and roll crushers, crushing stations, gyratory and jaw crushers, and sizers; centrifuges, thickeners and clarifiers, and filters; apron and belt feeders, buffalo and vibrating feeders, mine hoists, hybrid apron feeders, and mine shaft equipment; and attrition scrubbers, column and forced-air flotation cells, mixed and self-aspirated flotation cells, and REFLUX and coarse flotation cells. It also includes ball and vertical fine grinding mills, and SAG and AG mills; laboratory equipment, such as automated laboratories, crushing, dividing, drying, drying, pulverizing, and thermogravimetric analysis equipment; carbon ADR plants and regeneration kilns, precious metals electrowinning and refinery, gravity concentration, mercury retort and abatement systems, Merrill Crowe systems, and cyanide leaches; flash dryers and heaters, gas suspension calciners, gear drive rotary and temperature shaft kilns, indirectly heated rotary kilns, multiple hearth furnaces, and rotary dryers; screening equipment; and froth, heavy duty, high pressure, large solids, medium duty, mills, recessed impeller, split case, sump pumps, and valves. In addition, the company offers consumables; digital services; mining education; minerals testing laboratories; mining field services; process automation; service centers; spare parts; and upgrade, rebuild, and exchange services. The company was formerly known as FLS Industries and changed its name to FLSmidth & Co. A/S in January 2005. The company was founded in 1882 and is headquartered in Copenhagen, Denmark.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
FLSmidth & Co reported revenue of $14.1B in FY2025 versus $17.6B in FY2021, a compound −5.4%/yr. Reported net income was $168M in FY2025, compounding −17.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +0.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
FLIDY screens 86% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- FLSmidth: Transactions under share buy-back programme
- FLSmidth welcomes two new members to its Executive Leadership Team to support its accelerated growth journey
- Vizsla Silver Awards Panuco project Equipment Supply Agreement to FLSmidth
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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|---|---|---|---|
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| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥39.17 | ¥22.68 | -42% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥24.06 | ¥18.71 | -22% |
| ABB India Limited ABB | ₹7,700 | ₹1,322 | -83% |
| Cummins India Limited CUMMINSIND | ₹5,315 | ₹1,355 | -75% |
| Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited BHEL | ₹420.00 | ₹96.51 | -77% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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