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Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited (FMGOETZE) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹25.3B

FM Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited FMGOETZE · NSE
Price₹487.20
Fair Value₹674.86
Upside+38.5%
Quality66/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 8.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Moderate moat 52/100
Evidence: High Range ₹506.15 – ₹843.58 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price +3.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 39% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹506.15). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹596.00 ₹209.35 Fair Value ₹674.86 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹209.35 – ₹596.00 · fair‑value band ₹506.15 – ₹843.58 · the ₹487.20 price screens below the ₹674.86 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited (FMGOETZE) currently trades at ₹487.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹674.86, implying the stock looks roughly 38.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited generated revenue of ₹19.6B at a net margin of 8.7%. Revenue grew 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹8.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹506.15 (bear case) to ₹843.58 (bull case); at ₹487.20, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 39%, FMGOETZE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹613.89 ₹829.68 ₹1,135 80
Residual Income ₹237.68 ₹284.91 ₹650.86 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹491.39 ₹667.67 ₹868.38 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹604.71 ₹845.76 ₹1,208 38
Owner Earnings ₹423.56 ₹568.77 ₹786.84 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹491.39 ₹663.65 ₹878.25 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹590.79 ₹847.37 ₹1,142 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹600.17 ₹864.71 ₹1,138 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹519.63 ₹685.38 ₹898.39 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹591.58 ₹812.12 ₹1,097 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹597.53 ₹824.08 ₹1,094 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹208.59 ₹610.68 ₹807.07 54
Lynch FV ₹127.33 ₹181.91 ₹236.48 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹127.33 ₹181.91 ₹236.48 46
EPV ₹409.93 ₹453.41 ₹491.45 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹8.49 ₹17.66 ₹28.01 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹8.49 ₹13.67 ₹18.53 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹506.15 ₹674.86 ₹843.58 63
P/S Multiple ₹316.82 ₹422.43 ₹528.04 58
P/B Multiple ₹391.11 ₹521.49 ₹651.86 55
EV/EBIT ₹670.87 ₹844.81 ₹1,019 53
EV/EBITDA ₹638.88 ₹802.16 ₹965.43 54
EV/Revenue ₹444.76 ₹571.49 ₹698.22 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹129.13 ₹173.03 ₹258.26 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹613.89 ₹829.68 ₹1,135 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹491.39 ₹667.67 ₹868.38 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹237.68 ₹284.91 ₹650.86 76
ROIC Compounder ₹426.40 ₹494.93 ₹571.64 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹408.10 ₹583.00 ₹757.91 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹812.12) versus Dividend Discount (₹13.67). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹19.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.0%
Net margin 8.7%
Return on equity 12.4%
Free cash flow ₹2.3B FY2026
P/E ratio 14.8
More key figures
Operating margin 12.4%
EPS (TTM) ₹30.68
EPS growth (YoY) -17.3%
Net cash ₹8.3B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 35
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited manufactures, supply, and distributes automotive components for two/three/four-wheeler automobiles in India and internationally.

Full company description

Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited manufactures, supply, and distributes automotive components for two/three/four-wheeler automobiles in India and internationally. It provides pistons, piston rings, and wet and dry cylinder liners for a range of applications, including bi-wheelers, passenger cars, SUVs, tractors, light and heavy commercial vehicles, locomotive engines, stationary engines, and high output locomotive diesel engines. The company also offers sintered metal products for various engines and automotive applications, such as valve trains, transmission, lubrication pumps, and other engine/structural parts. It exports its products. The company was formerly known as Goetze (India) Limited and changed its name to Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited in 2006. The company was incorporated in 1954 and is based in Gurugram, India. Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited is a subsidiary of Federal Mogul Holding Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited reported revenue of ₹19.6B in FY2026 versus ₹13.4B in FY2022, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.7B in FY2026, compounding +33.3%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 83/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹19.6B
Latest YoY
+8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.1%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.3%
Revenue +9.9%/yr
FY22 ₹13.4B
FY23 ₹16.3B
FY24 ₹17.0B
FY25 ₹18.0B
FY26 ₹19.6B
Net income +33.3%/yr
FY22 ₹540M
FY23 ₹1.0B
FY24 ₹1.3B
FY25 ₹1.6B
FY26 ₹1.7B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +12.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +2.9 pp

of which total revenue +2.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +1.7 pp
Tax rate +2.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +5.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FMGOETZE

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 643 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +39% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.76× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.29× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 85 · sector 17
FUTURE 10 · sector 24
PAST 50 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
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MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited (FMGOETZE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹674.86 versus a price of ₹487.20, about +39% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FMGOETZE?
Our model-based fair value for Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited is ₹674.86 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹487.20.
What is the quality score of FMGOETZE?
Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited (FMGOETZE)?
Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹19.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FMGOETZE?
The net profit margin of Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited is about 8.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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