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FNCDY Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $7.5B

F FNCDY logo FNCDY FNCDY · US
Price$15.55
Fair Value$19.70
Upside+26.7%
Quality48/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 64.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
6.43% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: Medium Range $17.47 – $23.47 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 26, 2026, revised from $19.74 to $19.70 (−0.2%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −8.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 27% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($17.47). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$17.03 $8.41 Fair Value $19.70 Nov 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

57‑month range $8.41 – $17.03 · fair‑value band $17.47 – $23.47 · the $15.55 price screens below the $19.70 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

FNCDY (FNCDY) currently trades at $15.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.70, implying the stock looks roughly 26.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, FNCDY generated revenue of $1.1B at a net margin of 64.5%. Revenue declined 4.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. Net debt stands at $9.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $17.47 (bear case) to $23.47 (bull case); at $15.55, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 27%, FNCDY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1.12 80
Residual Income $16.27 $17.55 $20.36 76
Rev-Margin DCF $5.86 $19.13 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.53 38
5Y Revenue Exit $6.28 $21.18 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $2.59 $20.86 $43.98 41
10Y Revenue Exit $2.31 $17.08 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $12.69 $35.55 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $7.68 $15.31 $23.18 70
DDM Multi-Stage $7.68 $13.23 $16.16 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple $15.36 $20.48 $25.60 58
P/B Multiple $21.26 $28.34 $35.43 55
EV/EBIT $14.46 $24.88 $35.30 53
EV/EBITDA $11.49 $20.93 $30.36 54
EV/Revenue $5.24 $11.86 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.72 $13.03 $19.44 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.12 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5.86 $19.13 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $16.27 $17.55 $20.36 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($20.93) versus Growth DCF ($5.86). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.9%
Net margin 64.5%
Return on equity 9.4%
Free cash flow $240M FY2025
P/E ratio 8.9
More key figures
Operating margin 72.4%
EPS (TTM) $1.92
Dividend yield 6.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +428%
Net debt $9.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 52
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Covivio invents the user experience of today and shapes the city of tomorrow. A real estate player preferably on a European scale, Covivio gets closer to end users, captures their aspirations, combines working, traveling, living, and co-sells living spaces.

Full company description

Covivio invents the user experience of today and shapes the city of tomorrow. A real estate player preferably on a European scale, Covivio gets closer to end users, captures their aspirations, combines working, traveling, living, and co-sells living spaces. Covivio, a leading European operator with 23.7 billion euros in assets, supports businesses and brands, hotels and territories in their challenges of attractiveness, transformation and responsible performance. Building well-being and lasting connections is Covivio's Raison d'être which expresses its role as as a responsible real estate operator towards all of its stakeholders: clients, shareholders and partners financiers, internal teams, communities, future generations. Furthermore, its lively approach to real estate opens its teams with exciting project prospects and career paths. Covivio was incorporated in 1963 in France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

FNCDY reported revenue of $1.4B in FY2025 versus $866M in FY2021, a compound +12.7%/yr. Reported net income was $739M in FY2025, compounding −5.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.4B
Latest YoY
+9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+15.5%
Revenue +12.7%/yr
FY21 $866M
FY22 $906M
FY23 $1.2B
FY24 $1.3B
FY25 $1.4B
Net income −5.4%/yr
FY21 $924M
FY22 $621M
FY23 −$1.4B
FY24 $68.1M
FY25 $739M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "FNCDY Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FNCDY

Peer Group

REIT - Diversified · 165 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +27% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 64% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 72% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.4% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.01× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.88× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 6.59× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 31.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 15.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 69 · sector 13
FUTURE 0 · sector 13
PAST 38 · sector 20
HEALTH 50 · sector 72
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 97

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Goodman Group GMG A$29.11 A$7.37 -75%
VICI Properties Inc VICI $26.73 $41.74 +56%
W. P. Carey Inc WPC $76.69 $35.59 -54%
Charter Hall Group CHC A$21.90 A$11.46 -48%
Fibra Uno FUNO11 31.10 MXN 63.56 MXN +104%
COV COV €52.55 €62.39 +19%
The GPT Group GPT A$4.89 A$3.49 -29%
Mirvac Group MGR A$1.70 A$0.5700 -66%
KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS 8.85 MYR 6.91 MYR -22%
CRRUN CRRUN C$17.65 C$17.89 +1%

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Frequently asked questions

Is FNCDY overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.70 versus a price of $15.55, about +27% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FNCDY?
Our model-based fair value for FNCDY is $19.70 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $15.55.
What is the quality score of FNCDY?
FNCDY has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of FNCDY?
FNCDY reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FNCDY?
The net profit margin of FNCDY is about 64.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 64.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does FNCDY pay a dividend?
FNCDY currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.43% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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