Forbo Holding (FORN) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CH · Market cap CHF 1.0B
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from CHF 643.42 to CHF 643.81 (+0.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +32.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 32% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 874.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (CHF 427.54 to CHF 874.40) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 659.48 – CHF 1,770 · fair‑value band CHF 427.54 – CHF 874.40 · the CHF 950.00 price screens above the CHF 643.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Forbo Holding (FORN) currently trades at CHF 950.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 643.81, implying the stock looks roughly 32.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Forbo Holding generated revenue of CHF 1.1B at a net margin of 6.4%. Revenue declined 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of CHF 42.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 427.54 (bear case) to CHF 874.40 (bull case); at CHF 950.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -32%, FORN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (CHF 875.35) versus Dividend Discount (CHF 208.35). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Forbo Holding AG engages in the production and sell of floor coverings, building and construction adhesives, and belt for power transmission and conveyor technology worldwide. The company operates through two divisions, Flooring Systems and Movement Systems.
Full company description
Forbo Holding AG engages in the production and sell of floor coverings, building and construction adhesives, and belt for power transmission and conveyor technology worldwide. The company operates through two divisions, Flooring Systems and Movement Systems. The Flooring Systems division develops, produces, and sells linoleum, vinyl floorings, entrance flooring systems, carpet tiles, and needle felt floor coverings; Flotex, the washable textile floorings; and building and construction adhesives, as well as various accessory products for laying, processing, cleaning, and care of flooring. This division also provides installation solutions, including adhesives, subfloors, and leveling compounds under the trade name of Eurocol. Its products are used in healthcare, education, public buildings, retail, hospitality, data centers, industrial facilities, and transport sector. The Movement Systems division develops, produces, and sells conveyor and processing belts; plastic modular belts; power transmission belts; and drive, timing, and flat belts under the Siegling brand name. Its products are used in various applications in the recycling, logistics, and food industry. Forbo Holding AG was founded in 1928 and is headquartered in Baar, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Forbo Holding reported revenue of CHF 1.1B in FY2025 versus CHF 1.3B in FY2021, a compound −3.5%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 68.9M in FY2025, compounding −16.4%/yr from FY2021.
FORN screens 32% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →
Peer Group
Building Products & Equipment · 247 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $469.98 | $212.34 | -55% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $142.81 | $45.65 | -68% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $68.61 | $17.35 | -75% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO | €76.62 | €101.60 | +33% |
| Geberit AG GEBN | CHF 523.20 | CHF 307.66 | -41% |
| Lennox International Inc LII | $543.93 | $363.09 | -33% |
| Kingspan Group KRX | €87.30 | €70.76 | -19% |
| Masco Corporation MAS | $78.04 | $54.36 | -30% |
| PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC | 1,420 IDR | 179.76 IDR | -87% |
| NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB | kr 36.03 | kr 25.37 | -30% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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