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Forth Corporation (FORTH) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TH · Market cap 14.8B THB

FC Forth Corporation FORTH · BK
Price16.40 THB
Fair Value8.88 THB
Upside-45.9%
Quality66/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.35% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: Medium Range 6.66 THB – 11.10 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Share price +3.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 46% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (11.10 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

58.89 THB 5.29 THB Fair Value 8.88 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 5.29 THB – 58.89 THB · fair‑value band 6.66 THB – 11.10 THB · the 16.40 THB price screens above the 8.88 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

Forth Corporation (FORTH) currently trades at 16.40 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.88 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 45.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Forth Corporation generated revenue of 11.9B THB at a net margin of 7.8%. Revenue grew 13.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 31.0%. Net debt stands at 4.0B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 6.66 THB (bear case) to 11.10 THB (bull case); at 16.40 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 210% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -46%, FORTH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 14.17 THB 20.44 THB 29.35 THB 80
Residual Income 6.00 THB 8.32 THB 58.32 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 11.50 THB 17.32 THB 23.95 THB 74
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 14.33 THB 21.57 THB 32.49 THB 31
5Y P/E Exit 13.00 THB 20.00 THB 27.24 THB 38
10Y P/E Exit 13.21 THB 19.28 THB 26.54 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 5.99 THB 17.75 THB 23.50 THB 54
Lynch FV 3.74 THB 5.34 THB 6.94 THB 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple 13.21 THB 17.61 THB 22.02 THB 63
P/B Multiple 6.66 THB 8.88 THB 11.10 THB 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.48 THB 1.98 THB 2.96 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 14.17 THB 20.44 THB 29.35 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 11.50 THB 17.32 THB 23.95 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 6.00 THB 8.32 THB 58.32 THB 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (20.00 THB) versus Asset-Based (1.98 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 11.9B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.5%
Net margin 7.8%
Return on equity 31.0%
Free cash flow 1.1B THB FY2025
P/E ratio 16.0
More key figures
Operating margin 13.0%
EPS (TTM) 0.9900 THB
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +177%
Net debt 4.0B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 78
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 34
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 91
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Forth Corporation Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes electronic equipment in Thailand, Netherlands, United States of America, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Electronics Manufacturing Service Business; Enterprise Solutions Business; and Smart Service Business.

Full company description

Forth Corporation Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes electronic equipment in Thailand, Netherlands, United States of America, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Electronics Manufacturing Service Business; Enterprise Solutions Business; and Smart Service Business. It offers Forth Taglock EM, a tracking device made for prisoners; nurse call systems; GPS devices and GPS tracking systems; lighting system solutions; smart traffic light systems; smart grids; multi-service access network telephone exchange equipment; online learning and academic record management system; EV charging stations; smart meter and smart meter systems; and small gas station and oil vending machines. The company also provides top-up and payment kiosks; Boonterm Counter Service that has a touch screen with a data acquisition system that helps monitor usage and print receipts backwards; Boonterm water dispensers; automated cup beverage vending machines; smart vending machines; and KODIAK, an engineering soaring travel solution, as well as operates aircraft maintenance center. In addition, it engages in the trading of electronic parts, lamps, and lighting equipment; sale and installation of light boards and traffic systems; distribution of electronic meter; manufacture and distribution of telecommunication and electronic equipment, as well as electronic parts assembly; sale of aircraft, aircraft hangar and maintenance business, and flight training; provision of online top-up machines goods and services; and electronic commerce business, as well as design and install telecommunication equipment. Additionally, the company offers collection services through online top-up machines; nano finance and personal loan services; and provides engineering services and services related to airport electrical systems and underground power transmission systems. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Forth Corporation reported revenue of 11.0B THB in FY2025 versus 8.5B THB in FY2021, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was 824M THB in FY2025, compounding +3.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
11.0B THB
Latest YoY
+25.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.2%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.9%
Revenue +6.7%/yr
FY21 8.5B THB
FY22 9.4B THB
FY23 9.5B THB
FY24 8.8B THB
FY25 11.0B THB
Net income +3.3%/yr
FY21 723M THB
FY22 775M THB
FY23 573M THB
FY24 221M THB
FY25 824M THB
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +4.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.4 pp

of which total revenue +8.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.3 pp

EBIT margin −2.6 pp
Tax rate −1.9 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

FORTH screens 46% overvalued. Compare with CITIC Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Forth Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FORTH

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 369 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −46% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 31% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.16× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 5.34× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.24× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 20
FUTURE 68 · sector 16
PAST 100 · sector 20
HEALTH 92 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 27 · sector 39

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CITIC Limited 0267 HK$11.28 HK$22.56 +100%
SK Inc 034730 580,000 KRW 497,919 KRW -14%
PT Astra International Tbk, ASII 4,810 IDR 9,620 IDR +100%
The Siam Cement Public Company SCC 254.00 THB 199.40 THB -21%
SRF Limited SRF ₹2,875 ₹1,053 -63%
Empresas Copec S.A COPEC 6,330 CLP 10,879 CLP +72%
Posco International Corporation 047050 50,900 KRW 61,248 KRW +20%
Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA ₹2,940 ₹559.30 -81%
Doosan Corporation 000155 464,000 KRW 75,620 KRW -84%
Thermax Limited THERMAX ₹4,809 ₹1,087 -77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Forth Corporation (FORTH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 8.88 THB versus a price of 16.40 THB, about −46% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FORTH?
Our model-based fair value for Forth Corporation is 8.88 THB (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 16.40 THB.
What is the quality score of FORTH?
Forth Corporation has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Forth Corporation (FORTH)?
Forth Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.9B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FORTH?
The net profit margin of Forth Corporation is about 7.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Forth Corporation pay a dividend?
Forth Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.36% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 11, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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