Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Fourlis Holdings S.A. €6.35, price €3.95, upside +60.8%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.34 – €5.02 · fair‑value band €3.96 – €9.12 · the €3.95 price screens below the €6.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Fourlis Holdings S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the retail trading activities in Greece, Turkey, Romania, Bulgaria, and Cyprus, as well as e-commerce stores. The company is involved in the retail trade of home furniture and household goods through IKEA stores; and sporting goods through INTERSPORT and TAF stores.
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Fourlis Holdings S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the retail trading activities in Greece, Turkey, Romania, Bulgaria, and Cyprus, as well as e-commerce stores. The company is involved in the retail trade of home furniture and household goods through IKEA stores; and sporting goods through INTERSPORT and TAF stores. The company also operates IKEA stores. In addition, it has sporting goods stores under the The Athlete's Foot name in Greece and Turkey; and provides catering and warehousing services. The company was formerly known as Fourlis Bros S.A. and changed its name to Fourlis Holding S.A. in March 2000. The company was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Marousi, Greece.
Stock analysis
Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK) currently trades at €3.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €6.35, implying the stock looks roughly 37.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €10.74 per share, and 15 of the 22 models we run sit above the €3.95 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at €1.31, and 7 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €3.96 (bear) to €9.12 (bull), the price of €3.95 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Fourlis Holdings S.A. reported revenue of €594M in FY2025 versus €440M in FY2021, a compound +7.8%/yr. Reported net income was €30.3M in FY2025, compounding +27.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €248M · P/E ratio 8.8 · P/S ratio 0.45 · EPS (TTM) €0.4500 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 5.1% · Return on equity 10.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 61%, FOYRK screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €3.96Fair Value €6.35Bull €9.12
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.3304 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.61/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.8% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+24.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+21.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 2%
2025 sits 53% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+39.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +36.0% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Retail · 230 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside+57% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11% · Above median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)−3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth13% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.35× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
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Is Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €6.35 versus a price of €3.95, about +61% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FOYRK?
Our model-based fair value for Fourlis Holdings S.A. is €6.35 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €3.95.
What is the quality score of FOYRK?
Fourlis Holdings S.A. has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €6.35 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario €3.96, optimistic scenario €9.12. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Fourlis Holdings S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €6.35, about +61% upside versus a price of €3.95 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €3.96, optimistic scenario €9.12. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK)?
Fourlis Holdings S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €609M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Fourlis Holdings S.A. pay a dividend?
Fourlis Holdings S.A. currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.07% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Fourlis Holdings S.A. would have to grow free cash flow by +39.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FOYRK use?
Our models discount Fourlis Holdings S.A. at 14.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.66, country premium for Greece. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Fourlis Holdings S.A. that is +39.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Fourlis Holdings S.A. grew +9.9 % a year. The price currently implies +39.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Fourlis Holdings S.A. (+39.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.72 %: that much free cash flow Fourlis Holdings S.A. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Fourlis Holdings S.A. it is €6.35 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €3.95. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Fourlis Holdings S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, FOYRK trades below its calculated fair value: price €3.95, fair value €6.35, a gap of about +61% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FOYRK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€3.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€6.35). For Fourlis Holdings S.A. the two are €2.40 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Fourlis Holdings S.A. worth?
The market values Fourlis Holdings S.A. at about €248M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €3.95; our models calculate a fair value of €6.35 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FOYRK?
Our models span a range for Fourlis Holdings S.A.: cautious scenario €3.96, base €6.35, optimistic €9.12 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €3.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FOYRK?
Fourlis Holdings S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.8 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €6.35 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.7, P/B 1.3, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 7.5.
What is the PEG ratio of FOYRK?
The PEG ratio of Fourlis Holdings S.A. is 1.73 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Fourlis Holdings S.A. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 10.8%, debt of 0.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FOYRK from its 52-week high?
Fourlis Holdings S.A. trades at €3.95, about 20% below its 52-week high of €4.96 and 1% above the low of €3.90 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €6.35 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Fourlis Holdings S.A.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc, Casey's General Stores, Inc, Williams-Sonoma, Inc, Ulta Beauty, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Fourlis Holdings S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €3.95, calculated fair value €6.35 (+61%), Quality Score 49/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FOYRK calculated?
We run Fourlis Holdings S.A. through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €6.35, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Fourlis Holdings S.A. currently trades 61 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €3.95. Our model-based fair value is €6.35, about +61% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Fourlis Holdings S.A. right now?
Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (€3.96 to €9.12) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Fourlis Holdings S.A.
How large is the market capitalisation of Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK)?
The market capitalisation of Fourlis Holdings S.A. is €248M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Fourlis Holdings S.A. is 0.45 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK)?
Earnings per share at Fourlis Holdings S.A. are €0.4500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK)?
The dividend yield of Fourlis Holdings S.A. is 3.1% (payout 26.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK)?
The net margin of Fourlis Holdings S.A. is 5.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Fourlis Holdings S.A. is 10.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Fourlis Holdings S.A. is 2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK)?
The operating margin of Fourlis Holdings S.A. is −3.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK)?
Revenue at Fourlis Holdings S.A. is growing +12.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK)?
Earnings per share at Fourlis Holdings S.A. are growing +92.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK) carry?
The net debt of Fourlis Holdings S.A. is €93.2M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 16.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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