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Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (FRLOF) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $2.9B

FL Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust logo Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust FRLOF · US
Price$0.7436
Fair Value$0.6800
Upside-8.6%
Quality67/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 44.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
7.86% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Moderate moat 64/100
Evidence: High Range $0.4700 – $0.7800 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price −5.7% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$1.01 $0.5095 Fair Value $0.6800 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.5095 – $1.01 · fair‑value band $0.4700 – $0.7800 · the $0.7436 price screens above the $0.6800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (FRLOF) currently trades at $0.7436, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6800, implying the stock looks roughly 8.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust generated revenue of $478M at a net margin of 44.5%. Revenue grew 2.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.2%. Net debt stands at $2.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.4700 (bear case) to $0.7800 (bull case); at $0.7436, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -9%, FRLOF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.3000 $0.8000 $1.58 80
Residual Income $0.8400 $0.8500 $0.8100 76
Rev-Margin DCF $0.1800 $0.6100 $1.12 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.3000 $0.8400 $1.70 38
5Y Revenue Exit $0.1800 $0.6200 $1.19 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.3800 $1.02 $1.80 41
10Y Revenue Exit $0.2000 $0.6100 $1.21 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.3500 $0.9000 $1.70 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.5500 $1.10 $1.66 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.5500 $0.9500 $1.16 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple $0.6000 $0.8100 $1.01 58
P/B Multiple $0.6900 $0.9200 $1.15 55
EV/EBIT $0.8100 $1.23 $1.66 53
EV/EBITDA $0.5200 $0.8500 $1.18 54
EV/Revenue $0.1300 $0.3900 $0.6500 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.5500 $0.7400 $1.10 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.3000 $0.8000 $1.58 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.1800 $0.6100 $1.12 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.8400 $0.8500 $0.8100 76

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($0.9500) versus Growth DCF ($0.6100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $478M
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.8%
Net margin 44.5%
Return on equity 5.2%
Free cash flow $252M FY2025
P/E ratio 18.8
More key figures
Operating margin 64.2%
EPS (TTM) $0.0400
Dividend yield 7.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +8.9%
Net debt $2.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust is a Singapore-listed real estate investment trust. With a portfolio comprising 113 industrial and commercial properties, worth approximately S7.0 billion dollars as at 31 March 2026, diversified across five major developed markets " Australia, Germany, Singapore, the United Kingdom and the Netherlands.

Full company description

Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust is a Singapore-listed real estate investment trust. With a portfolio comprising 113 industrial and commercial properties, worth approximately S7.0 billion dollars as at 31 March 2026, diversified across five major developed markets " Australia, Germany, Singapore, the United Kingdom and the Netherlands. FLCT was listed on the Mainboard of Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited (SGX-ST) on 20 June 2016 as Frasers Logistics & Industrial Trust and was subsequently renamed Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust on 29 April 2020 following the completion of a merger with Frasers Commercial Trust. FLCT's investment strategy is to invest globally in a diversified portfolio of income-producing properties used predominantly for logistics or industrial purposes located globally, or commercial purposes (comprising primarily CBD office space) or business park purposes (comprising primarily non-CBD office space and/or research and development space) located in the Asia-Pacific region or in Europe (including the United Kingdom). FLCT is sponsored by Frasers Property Limited. FLCT is a constituent of the FTSE EPRA Nareit Global Real Estate Index Series (Global Developed Index), Straits Times Index and Global Property Research (GPR) 250. Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust was established on November 30, 2015 and incorporated in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust reported revenue of $471M in FY2025 versus $469M in FY2021, a compound +0.1%/yr. Reported net income was $205M in FY2025, compounding −27.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$471M
Latest YoY
+5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+12.3%
Revenue +0.1%/yr
FY21 $469M
FY22 $450M
FY23 $421M
FY24 $447M
FY25 $471M
Net income −27.2%/yr
FY21 $731M
FY22 $729M
FY23 −$103M
FY24 $148M
FY25 $205M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FRLOF

Peer Group

REIT - Industrial · 63 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −9% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 45% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 64% · Below median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.49× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.68× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 5.97× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 11.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 15.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 7.25× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 22 · sector 5
FUTURE 14 · sector 19
PAST 21 · sector 27
HEALTH 76 · sector 76
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Prologis, Inc PLD $143.42 $61.28 -57%
Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA $322.48 $172.80 -46%
Extra Space Storage Inc EXR $147.71 $78.38 -47%
EastGroup Properties, Inc EGP $213.10 $81.41 -62%
Lineage, Inc LINE $41.42 $47.91 +16%
CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U 2.51 SGD 2.00 SGD -20%
CubeSmart CUBE $42.09 $25.06 -40%
First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR $66.99 $21.48 -68%
Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR $39.00 $21.35 -45%
STAG Industrial, Inc STAG $41.11 $24.31 -41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (FRLOF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6800 versus a price of $0.7436, about −9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of FRLOF?
Our model-based fair value for Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust is $0.6800 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.7436.
What is the quality score of FRLOF?
Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (FRLOF)?
Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $478M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FRLOF?
The net profit margin of Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust is about 44.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 44.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust pay a dividend?
Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.86% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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