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FSA Group (FSA) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · AU · Market cap A$161M

FG FSA Group FSA · AU
PriceA$1.26
Fair ValueA$1.09
Upside-13.2%
Quality50/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 28.7% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
5.43% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Wide moat 72/100
Evidence: High Range A$0.8200 – A$1.37 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price −0.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 13% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$1.38 A$0.7077 Fair Value A$1.09 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.7077 – A$1.38 · fair‑value band A$0.8200 – A$1.37 · the A$1.26 price screens above the A$1.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

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Analysis

FSA Group (FSA) currently trades at A$1.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.09, implying the stock looks roughly 13.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, FSA Group generated revenue of A$57.7M at a net margin of 28.7%. Revenue grew 22.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.2%. Net debt stands at A$862M. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.8200 (bear case) to A$1.37 (bull case); at A$1.26, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at -13%, FSA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income A$0.5900 A$0.6500 A$0.8000 76
Gordon GGM A$0.5100 A$0.5500 A$0.6000 70
P/E Multiple A$0.8200 A$1.09 A$1.37 63
All 7 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.5700 A$0.7000 A$0.7900 54
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$0.5100 A$0.5500 A$0.6000 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.5100 A$0.5900 A$0.6900 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$0.8200 A$1.09 A$1.37 63
P/B Multiple A$0.7300 A$0.9800 A$1.22 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.3500 A$0.4700 A$0.7000 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.5900 A$0.6500 A$0.8000 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (A$0.9800) versus Asset-Based (A$0.4700). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$57.7M
Revenue growth (YoY) +22.6%
Net margin 28.7%
Return on equity 18.2%
Free cash flow A$21.1M FY2025
P/E ratio 12.6
More key figures
Operating margin 35.4%
EPS (TTM) A$0.1000
Dividend yield 5.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +55.2%
Net debt A$862M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 38
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

FSA Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides payment arrangement and direct lending services to individuals and businesses in Australia. It operates in Home Loan and Assets Finance, Personal Loan, and Other segments. The company offers debt agreements and informal arrangements, personal insolvency agreement, and bankruptcy services.

Full company description

FSA Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides payment arrangement and direct lending services to individuals and businesses in Australia. It operates in Home Loan and Assets Finance, Personal Loan, and Other segments. The company offers debt agreements and informal arrangements, personal insolvency agreement, and bankruptcy services. It also provides home loans, car loans, unsecured personal loans, asset finance lending, and accounting and taxation services. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Darlinghurst, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

FSA Group reported revenue of A$190K in FY2025 versus A$71.6M in FY2021, a compound −77.3%/yr. Reported net income was A$10.5M in FY2025, compounding −15.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$190K
Latest YoY
−99.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−86.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−70.3%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.9%
Revenue −77.3%/yr
FY21 A$71.6M
FY22 A$70.3M
FY23 A$83.8M
FY24 A$101M
FY25 A$190K
Net income −15.0%/yr
FY21 A$20.1M
FY22 A$17.2M
FY23 A$13.0M
FY24 A$7.3M
FY25 A$10.5M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −2.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +0.1 pp

of which total revenue −0.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.3 pp

EBIT margin +9.4 pp
Tax rate −0.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −11.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

FSA screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "FSA Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FSA

Peer Group

Credit Services · 331 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −13% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 29% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 35% · Above median
Revenue growth 23% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 9.84× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.30× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.97× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 5.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 16 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 39
PAST 73 · sector 32
HEALTH 0 · sector 58
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 51

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is FSA Group (FSA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$1.09 versus a price of A$1.26, about −13% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FSA?
Our model-based fair value for FSA Group is A$1.09 (as of Jul 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$1.26.
What is the quality score of FSA?
FSA Group has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of FSA Group (FSA)?
FSA Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$57.7M (latest available figure, as of Jul 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FSA?
The net profit margin of FSA Group is about 28.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 28.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does FSA Group pay a dividend?
FSA Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.56% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 20, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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