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Canadian Phosphate Limited (FTZZF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $2.4M

CP Canadian Phosphate Limited logo Canadian Phosphate Limited FTZZF · US
Price$0.0070
Fair Value$0.0061
Upside-12.9%
Quality25/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -85.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 3/100
Evidence: Low Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 10 days ago

Below-average quality, and screening another 13% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
  • Quality 25/100 (below-average quality) with low evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.1600 $0.0070 Fair Value $0.0061 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0070 – $0.1600 · the $0.0070 price screens above the $0.0061 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Canadian Phosphate Limited (FTZZF) currently trades at $0.0070, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0061, implying the stock looks roughly 12.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Canadian Phosphate Limited generated revenue of $2.4M at a net margin of -85.2%. Revenue grew 193.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -30.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at -13%, FTZZF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0300 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0300 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) +193%
Net margin -85.2%
Return on equity -30.1%
Free cash flow −$506K FY2025
Operating margin -77.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0100
Net cash $1.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 14
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Canadian Phosphate Limited supplies regenerative phosphate and organic fertilizers products in Australia and North America. The company holds interests in two rock phosphate mining projects, comprising the Wapiti project comprising an area of approximately 78 km²; and Fernie projects that covers an area of approximately 108 km² in British Columbia, Canada.

Full company description

Canadian Phosphate Limited supplies regenerative phosphate and organic fertilizers products in Australia and North America. The company holds interests in two rock phosphate mining projects, comprising the Wapiti project comprising an area of approximately 78 km²; and Fernie projects that covers an area of approximately 108 km² in British Columbia, Canada. It also offers fused calcium magnesium silica phosphate products. The company was formerly known as Fertoz Limited and changed its name to Canadian Phosphate Limited in February 2025. Canadian Phosphate Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Canadian Phosphate Limited reported revenue of $2.3M in FY2025 versus $2.2M in FY2021, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 24/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.3M
Latest YoY
−7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.0%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+103.0%
Revenue +0.7%/yr
FY21 $2.2M
FY22 $3.6M
FY23 $2.8M
FY24 $2.5M
FY25 $2.3M
Net income
FY21 −$3.8M
FY22 −$4.2M
FY23 −$4.5M
FY24 −$1.7M
FY25 −$2.2M

FTZZF screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Corteva, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Canadian Phosphate Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FTZZF

Peer Group

Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −13% · Below median
Return on assets -16% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -85% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -78% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 193% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.27× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.99× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 16 · sector 21
FUTURE 100 · sector 37
PAST 0 · sector 24
HEALTH 98 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Corteva, Inc CTVA $86.07 $27.81 -68%
Nutrien Ltd NTR C$94.23 C$81.69 -13%
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥24.93 ¥21.26 -15%
CF Industries Holdings CF $119.19 $161.00 +35%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 122.90 SAR 127.31 SAR +4%
Yara International ASA YAR kr 451.30 kr 67.25 -85%
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥30.17 ¥42.12 +40%
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥42.59 ¥38.01 -11%
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹2,034 ₹1,129 -44%
UPL Limited UPL ₹594.75 ₹387.06 -35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Canadian Phosphate Limited (FTZZF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0061 versus a price of $0.0070, about −13% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FTZZF?
Our model-based fair value for Canadian Phosphate Limited is $0.0061 (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0070.
What is the quality score of FTZZF?
Canadian Phosphate Limited has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Canadian Phosphate Limited (FTZZF)?
Canadian Phosphate Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FTZZF?
The net profit margin of Canadian Phosphate Limited is about -85.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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