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Data-driven stock valuation

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Six Flags Entertainment Corporation is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $2.5B · ISIN US83001C1080

At a glance

SF Six Flags Entertainment Corporation logo Six Flags Entertainment Corporation FUN · US
Price$13.67
Fair Value$37.80
Upside+176.5%
Quality13/100

Below-average quality, trading 64% below our fair value of $37.80.

As of Sep 6, 2026, the fair value of Six Flags Entertainment Corporation is $37.80 per share against a price of $13.67, so the fair value sits 177% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +19.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -52.8% net margin
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Narrow moat 15/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range $15.37 to $60.24

Fair value as of: Sep 6, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price −14.1% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (13/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($15.37). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($15.37 to $60.24). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$57.63 $12.83 Fair Value $37.80 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $12.83 – $57.63 · fair‑value band $15.37 – $60.24 · the $13.67 price screens below the $37.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) currently trades at $13.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $37.80, implying the stock looks roughly 63.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 13/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 5 models at a data quality of 90/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation generated revenue of $3.1B at a net margin of −52.8%. Revenue grew 11.7% year over year. Net debt stands at $5.3B. Fundamentals as of Sep 6, 2026

Scenario range: $15.37 (bear) to $60.24 (bull), the price of $13.67 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 177%, FUN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA best evidence $17.66 $40.10 $62.53 63
EV/EBIT n/a n/a $11.55 61
NCAV (Graham) $2.69 $3.60 $5.38 54
All 3 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBIT n/a n/a $11.55 61
EV/EBITDA best evidence $17.66 $40.10 $62.53 63
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.69 $3.60 $5.38 54

Widest divergence: Multiples ($40.10) versus Asset-Based ($3.60). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (63).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.81 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−16.34
Net margin −51.6% FY2025
Return on equity −123% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 9.9% avg 5y
Operating margin −108% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $3.1B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.7% 3y avg +19.5%
EPS growth (YoY) −73.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$152M FY2025
Net debt $5.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 13/100

Of which business quality 16 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 2
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 13
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 34
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation operates amusement parks and resort properties in North America. It operates amusement parks, water parks, and resorts in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. The company was formerly known as Cedar Fair, L.P. and changed its name to Six Flags Entertainment Corporation in July 2024.

Full company description

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation operates amusement parks and resort properties in North America. It operates amusement parks, water parks, and resorts in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. The company was formerly known as Cedar Fair, L.P. and changed its name to Six Flags Entertainment Corporation in July 2024. The company was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation reported revenue of $3.1B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +23.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.6B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.1B
Latest YoY
+14.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (38Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.4%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
21.0% (2019) → 11.5% (2024)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +23.4%/yr
FY21 $1.3B
FY22 $1.8B
FY23 $1.8B
FY24 $2.7B
FY25 $3.1B
Net income
FY21 −$48.5M
FY22 $308M
FY23 $125M
FY24 −$231M
FY25 −$1.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Six Flags Entertainment Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FUN

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Leisure · 193 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 13 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +144% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −53% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −108% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 9.40× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.62× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.81× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 9.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.43× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 17
FUTURE59 · sector 14
PAST0 · sector 19
HEALTH0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND0 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ANTA Sports Products Limited 82020 HK$65.10 HK$97.98 +51%
Pop Mart International Group 9992 HK$154.70 HK$227.30 +47%
Amer Sports, Inc AS $27.77 $16.16 −42%
Hasbro, Inc HAS $90.31 $81.97 −9%
Life Time Group LTH $45.40 $15.61 −66%
Li Ning Company 82331 HK$11.62 HK$11.48 −1%
Acushnet Holdings GOLF $89.10 $36.89 −59%
Ninebot Limited 689009 ¥44.94 ¥39.73 −12%
Mattel, Inc MAT $15.26 $18.93 +24%
Planet Fitness, Inc PLNT $53.33 $52.62 −1%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $37.80 versus a price of $13.67, about +177% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FUN?
Our model-based fair value for Six Flags Entertainment Corporation is $37.80 (as of Sep 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $13.67.
What is the quality score of FUN?
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation has a Quality Score of 13/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $37.80 (as of Sep 6, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $15.37, optimistic scenario $60.24. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Six Flags Entertainment Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $37.80, about +177% upside versus a price of $13.67 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $15.37, optimistic scenario $60.24. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN)?
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FUN?
The net profit margin of Six Flags Entertainment Corporation is about −52.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
What is the intrinsic value of Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Six Flags Entertainment Corporation it is $37.80 per share (as of Sep 6, 2026), against a price of $13.67. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 6, 2026, FUN trades below its calculated fair value: price $13.67, fair value $37.80, a gap of about +177% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FUN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($13.67); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($37.80). For Six Flags Entertainment Corporation the two are $24.13 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation worth?
The market values Six Flags Entertainment Corporation at about $2.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 6, 2026). Per share that is $13.67; our models calculate a fair value of $37.80 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FUN?
Our models span a range for Six Flags Entertainment Corporation: cautious scenario $15.37, base $37.80, optimistic $60.24 per share (as of Sep 6, 2026, price $13.67). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of FUN?
The PEG ratio of Six Flags Entertainment Corporation is 2.43 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (as of Sep 6, 2026): return on equity −123.4%, debt of 9.40 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 13/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FUN from its 52-week high?
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation trades at $13.67, about 59% below its 52-week high of $33.50 and 9% above the low of $12.51 (as of Sep 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $37.80 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Six Flags Entertainment Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value ANTA Sports Products Limited, Pop Mart International Group, Amer Sports, Inc, Hasbro, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 6, 2026: price $13.67, calculated fair value $37.80 (+177%), Quality Score 13/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FUN calculated?
We run Six Flags Entertainment Corporation through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $37.80, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Six Flags Entertainment Corporation currently trades 177 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
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