Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $2.5B
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
FUN · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $21.52 to $37.80 (+75.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −12.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 131% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (13/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The model range is unusually wide ($15.37 to $60.24). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $12.83 – $57.63 · fair‑value band $15.37 – $60.24 · the $16.37 price screens below the $37.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) currently trades at $16.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $37.80, implying the stock looks roughly 130.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 13/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation generated revenue of $3.1B at a net margin of -52.8%. Revenue grew 11.7% year over year. Net debt stands at $5.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $15.37 (bear case) to $60.24 (bull case); at $16.37, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 131%, FUN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($40.10) versus Asset-Based ($3.60). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 16 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation operates amusement parks and resort properties in North America. It operates amusement parks, water parks, and resorts in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. The company was formerly known as Cedar Fair, L.P. and changed its name to Six Flags Entertainment Corporation in July 2024.
Full company description
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation operates amusement parks and resort properties in North America. It operates amusement parks, water parks, and resorts in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. The company was formerly known as Cedar Fair, L.P. and changed its name to Six Flags Entertainment Corporation in July 2024. The company was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation reported revenue of $3.1B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +23.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.6B in FY2025.
Watch FUN: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Six Flags Entertainment Breaks Below 200-Day Moving Average - Notable for FUN
- Here’s What Northcoast Thinks About Six Flags Entertainment (FUN)
- Record-breaking 'Tormenta: Rampaging Run' Opens Today at Six Flags Over Texas
- Six Flags Entertainment (FUN) Names A New COO But Is The Upside Already Priced In
Peer Group
Leisure · 192 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
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|---|---|---|---|
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| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $36.44 | $16.16 | -56% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $81.55 | $83.38 | +2% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $42.15 | $16.15 | -62% |
| Acushnet Holdings GOLF | $114.78 | $37.79 | -67% |
| Li Ning Company 2331 | HK$14.80 | HK$29.26 | +98% |
| Benefit Systems S.A BFT | 5,255 PLN | 3,714 PLN | -29% |
| Ninebot Limited 689009 | ¥37.82 | ¥39.17 | +4% |
| Asmodee Group ASMDEEB | kr 145.70 | kr 41.90 | -71% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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