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FELIX Gold Ltd (FXG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of FELIX Gold Ltd A$0.03, price A$0.20, upside -86.9%, quality 20 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000194433

FG Thin data Sep 23, 2026

FELIX Gold Ltd

FXG · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value A$0.0255 · Strongly overvalued (−87%)
!Quality 20/100
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/7)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Insider activity 30/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.7800 A$0.0280 Fair Value A$0.0255 Jan 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

56‑month range A$0.0280 – A$0.7800 · fair‑value band A$0.0170 – A$0.0255 · the A$0.1950 price screens above the A$0.0255 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Felix Gold Limited engages in the exploration of mineral projects in Alaska. It primarily explores for antimony, gold, and precious metal deposits. Felix Gold Limited was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Brisbane, Australia.

Stock analysis

FELIX Gold Ltd (FXG) currently trades at A$0.1950, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0255, implying the stock looks roughly 664.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0170 (bear) to A$0.0255 (bull), the price of A$0.1950 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

FELIX Gold Ltd reported revenue of A$0 in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −A$2.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$116M (≈ $81.5M) · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −8.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.6% · Free cash flow −A$1.7M · Net cash A$16.4M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 75% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −87%, FXG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0170 Fair Value A$0.0255 Bull A$0.0255
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0400 A$0.0500 A$0.0800 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0400 A$0.0500 A$0.0800 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 20/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 5
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

FXG screens 665% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 238 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −87% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.09× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEM $121.30 $133.43 +10%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥30.01 ¥44.45 +48%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $195.57 $222.49 +14%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $42.49 $65.40 +54%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $260.91 $287.00 +10%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $145.45 $89.12 −39%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $104.60 $88.63 −15%
Zijin Gold International Company 2259 HK$146.60 HK$83.20 −43%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $27.62 $51.30 +86%
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $252.78 $278.06 +10%

Explore undervalued stocks

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FELIX Gold Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0255 −665%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "FELIX Gold Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FXG

Frequently asked questions

Is FELIX Gold Ltd (FXG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0255 versus a price of A$0.1950, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FXG?
Our model-based fair value for FELIX Gold Ltd is A$0.0255 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1950.
What is the quality score of FXG?
FELIX Gold Ltd has a Quality Score of 20/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for FELIX Gold Ltd (FXG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0255 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0170, optimistic scenario A$0.0255. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the FELIX Gold Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0255, about −87% upside versus a price of A$0.1950 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0170, optimistic scenario A$0.0255. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of FELIX Gold Ltd (FXG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For FELIX Gold Ltd it is A$0.0255 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.1950. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is FELIX Gold Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, FXG trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.1950, fair value A$0.0255, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FXG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1950); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0255). For FELIX Gold Ltd the two are A$0.1695 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is FELIX Gold Ltd worth?
The market values FELIX Gold Ltd at about A$116M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1950; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0255 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FXG?
Our models span a range for FELIX Gold Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0170, base A$0.0255, optimistic A$0.0255 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.1950). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of FELIX Gold Ltd (FXG)?
Balance-sheet figures for FELIX Gold Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −8.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 20/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FXG from its 52-week high?
FELIX Gold Ltd trades at A$0.1950, about 75% below its 52-week high of A$0.7800 and at the low of A$0.1950 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0255 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to FELIX Gold Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Barrick Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is FELIX Gold Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.1950, calculated fair value A$0.0255 (−87%), Quality Score 20/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FXG calculated?
We run FELIX Gold Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0255, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. FELIX Gold Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of FELIX Gold Ltd (FXG)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.1950. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0255, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with FELIX Gold Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0255). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (20/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of FELIX Gold Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of FELIX Gold Ltd (FXG)?
The market capitalisation of FELIX Gold Ltd is A$116M (≈ $81.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of FELIX Gold Ltd (FXG)?
Earnings per share at FELIX Gold Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of FELIX Gold Ltd (FXG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of FELIX Gold Ltd is −8.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of FELIX Gold Ltd (FXG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of FELIX Gold Ltd is −8.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does FELIX Gold Ltd (FXG) generate?
The free cash flow of FELIX Gold Ltd is −A$1.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does FELIX Gold Ltd (FXG) hold?
FELIX Gold Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$16.4M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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