Galileo Mining Ltd (GAL) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$21.7M
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from A$0.0951 to A$0.0933 (−1.9%) since Jun 26, 2026.
Below-average quality, and screening another 25% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (A$0.0420 to A$0.1612). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.1000 – A$1.82 · fair‑value band A$0.0420 – A$0.1612 · the A$0.1250 price screens above the A$0.0933 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Galileo Mining Ltd (GAL) currently trades at A$0.1250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0933, implying the stock looks roughly 25.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$568K. Revenue declined 89.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$9.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0420 (bear case) to A$0.1612 (bull case); at A$0.1250, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -25%, GAL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (A$1.06) versus Asset-Based (A$0.1600). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Galileo Mining Ltd engages in the exploration of mineral deposits in Western Australia. The company explores for palladium, platinum, rhodium, cobalt, nickel, lithium, and copper deposits.
Full company description
Galileo Mining Ltd engages in the exploration of mineral deposits in Western Australia. The company explores for palladium, platinum, rhodium, cobalt, nickel, lithium, and copper deposits. It holds 100% interest in the Norseman project that covers an area of 278 square kilometers located to the town of Norseman; and 67% interest Fraser Range Project covering an area of 602 square kilometers located in the Albany-Fraser Orogen. Galileo Mining Ltd was incorporated in 2003 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Galileo Mining Ltd reported revenue of A$568K in FY2025 versus A$68.5K in FY2021, a compound +69.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.2M in FY2025.
GAL screens 25% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 475 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.19 | $9.14 | -36% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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