Galiano Gold Inc (GAU) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $575M
Galiano Gold Inc
GAU · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $2.51 to $2.23 (−11.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +11.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from $1.74 (bear) to $2.72 (bull), base $2.23. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 47/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.3600 – $3.57 · fair‑value band $1.74 – $2.72 · the $2.06 price screens below the $2.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Galiano Gold Inc (GAU) currently trades at $2.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.23, implying the stock looks roughly 8.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Galiano Gold Inc generated revenue of $432M at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue grew 248.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $71.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.74 (bear case) to $2.72 (bull case); at $2.06, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 8%, GAU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($4.08) versus Dividend Discount ($0.1000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Galiano Gold Inc. operates as a gold mining company. It owns a 90% interest in the Asanko Gold Mine consists of the Nkran, Esaase, Abore, and Miradani North open-pit mining areas located on the Asankrangwa Gold Belt in the Amansie West District of the Republic of Ghana, West Africa. The company was formerly known as Asanko Gold Inc.
Full company description
Galiano Gold Inc. operates as a gold mining company. It owns a 90% interest in the Asanko Gold Mine consists of the Nkran, Esaase, Abore, and Miradani North open-pit mining areas located on the Asankrangwa Gold Belt in the Amansie West District of the Republic of Ghana, West Africa. The company was formerly known as Asanko Gold Inc. and changed its name to Galiano Gold Inc. in April 2020. Galiano Gold Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Galiano Gold Inc reported revenue of $328M in FY2025 versus −$51.1M in FY2021. Reported net income was −$29.3M in FY2025.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Galiano Gold (GAU): Best Value Penny Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds
- Galiano Gold board approves revised equity incentive plan; shareholders vote on June 11
- Galiano Gold Inc. (GAU) Delivers Strong Q1 on Robust Production
- Galiano Gold Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
Peer Group
Gold · 259 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $132.73 | +19% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥28.36 | ¥30.58 | +8% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$191.93 | C$154.33 | -20% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $34.93 | $50.66 | +45% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$152.57 | C$52.47 | -66% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$284.75 | C$97.76 | -66% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $76.35 | $88.63 | +16% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $33.33 | $59.06 | +77% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $22.57 | $34.62 | +53% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$20.48 | A$15.98 | -22% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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