Games Workshop Group (GAW) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · GB · Market cap 6.5B GBX

Analysis

Games Workshop Group (GAW) currently trades at p203.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is p113.48 — implying the stock looks roughly 44.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Games Workshop Group PLC, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, distribution, and sale of fantasy miniature figures and games in the United Kingdom, Continental Europe, North America, Australia, New Zealand, Asia, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Core and Licensing. The company offers games under the Warhammer 40,000, Warhammer: The Horus Heresy, Warhammer: The Old World, Warhammer: Age of Sigmar, Necromunda, Blood Bowl, and the Lord of the Rings brand names. It also publishes short stories, audio dramas, full length novels, and audio books und…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.