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Provaris Energy Ltd (GBBLF) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $1.5M

PE Provaris Energy Ltd logo Provaris Energy Ltd GBBLF · US
Price$0.0013
Fair Value$0.0011
Upside-15.4%
Quality47/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (3/6)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated today

Below-average quality, and screening another 15% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.1700 $0.0013 Fair Value $0.0011 Sep 2018 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0013 – $0.1700 · the $0.0013 price screens above the $0.0011 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Provaris Energy Ltd (GBBLF) currently trades at $0.0013, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0011, implying the stock looks roughly 15.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -15%, GBBLF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $0.0100 $0.0100 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0100 $0.0100 61
All 2 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0100 $0.0100 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0100 $0.0100 61

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) −$1.2M
Revenue growth (YoY) -91.7%
Return on equity -404%
Free cash flow −$2.4M FY2025
Net cash $133K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Provaris Energy Ltd engages in the development of hydrogen production and export projects in Australia and internationally. It also develops compressed hydrogen storage and transportation solutions. The company was formerly known as Global Energy Ventures Ltd. and changed its name to Provaris Energy Ltd in May 2022.

Full company description

Provaris Energy Ltd engages in the development of hydrogen production and export projects in Australia and internationally. It also develops compressed hydrogen storage and transportation solutions. The company was formerly known as Global Energy Ventures Ltd. and changed its name to Provaris Energy Ltd in May 2022. Provaris Energy Ltd was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Sydney, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2015 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Provaris Energy Ltd reported revenue of $685K in FY2025 versus $639K in FY2015, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$685K
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+45.0%
Revenue +0.7%/yr
FY15 $639K
FY16 $507K
FY17 $125K
FY18 $34.8K
FY25 $685K
Net income
FY21 −$3.1M
FY22 −$6.8M
FY23 −$12.4M
FY24 −$6.1M
FY25 −$2.5M

GBBLF screens 15% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Provaris Energy Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GBBLF

Peer Group

Oil & Gas E&P · 318 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Above median
Fair Value upside −15% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth -92% · Bottom 25%

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 13 · sector 10
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 87
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥32.85 ¥32.55 -1%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $126.78 $90.15 -29%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.57 $31.14 -35%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $143.14 $130.19 -9%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $58.55 $30.06 -49%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $201.71 $105.24 -48%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $44.86 $27.06 -40%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$32.55 A$20.71 -36%
EQT Corporation EQT $54.06 $42.85 -21%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $342.77 $77.26 -77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Provaris Energy Ltd (GBBLF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0011 versus a price of $0.0013, about −15% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GBBLF?
Our model-based fair value for Provaris Energy Ltd is $0.0011 (as of Aug 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0013.
What is the quality score of GBBLF?
Provaris Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of GBBLF?
The net profit margin of Provaris Energy Ltd is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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