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Bilfinger SE (GBF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · DE · Market cap €3.1B

BS Bilfinger SE GBF · XETRA
Price€80.65
Fair Value€100.05
Upside+24.1%
Quality55/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 3.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.37% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: High Range €75.04 – €125.07 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price −2.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 24% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from €75.04 (bear) to €125.07 (bull), base €100.05. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 55/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€123.87 €16.75 Fair Value €100.05 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €16.75 – €123.87 · fair‑value band €75.04 – €125.07 · the €80.65 price screens below the €100.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Bilfinger SE (GBF) currently trades at €80.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €100.05, implying the stock looks roughly 24.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Bilfinger SE generated revenue of €5.5B at a net margin of 3.3%. Revenue grew 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €146M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €75.04 (bear case) to €125.07 (bull case); at €80.65, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 24%, GBF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €92.34 €117.10 €160.86 80
Residual Income €33.99 €40.59 €76.66 76
Rev-Margin DCF €80.18 €110.06 €147.96 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €89.44 €114.93 €164.14 38
Owner Earnings €76.28 €97.40 €138.19 31
5Y Revenue Exit €80.18 €108.25 €150.29 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €99.10 €140.46 €196.83 41
5Y P/E Exit €80.12 €108.14 €142.78 38
10Y Revenue Exit €81.55 €105.28 €131.59 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €94.60 €125.73 €160.34 37
10Y P/E Exit €83.24 €105.21 €126.96 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €32.40 €49.85 €59.54 54
EPV €61.85 €69.64 €76.35 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €21.23 €24.69 €28.61 70
DDM Multi-Stage €21.23 €27.49 €35.20 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €71.47 €95.29 €119.11 63
P/S Multiple €60.75 €81.00 €101.25 58
P/B Multiple €60.75 €81.00 €101.25 55
EV/EBIT €111.67 €144.71 €177.75 53
EV/EBITDA €120.33 €156.25 €192.17 54
EV/Revenue €79.37 €108.00 €136.63 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €18.03 €24.15 €36.05 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €92.34 €117.10 €160.86 80
Rev-Margin DCF €80.18 €110.06 €147.96 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €33.99 €40.59 €76.66 76
ROIC Compounder €62.41 €71.61 €81.30 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €50.56 €72.23 €93.90 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€110.06) versus Asset-Based (€24.15). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €5.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.6%
Net margin 3.3%
Return on equity 13.7%
Free cash flow €299M FY2025
P/E ratio 18.1
More key figures
Operating margin 4.3%
EPS (TTM) €4.85
Dividend yield 3.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +17.9%
Net cash €146M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 94
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Bilfinger SE provides industrial services to customers in the process industry primarily in Europe, North America, and the Middle East. It operates through three segments: Engineering & Maintenance Europe; Engineering & Maintenance International; and Technologies.

Full company description

Bilfinger SE provides industrial services to customers in the process industry primarily in Europe, North America, and the Middle East. It operates through three segments: Engineering & Maintenance Europe; Engineering & Maintenance International; and Technologies. The company offers engineering, project, maintenance, turnaround, rotating equipment, inspection, insulation, scaffolding, corrosion protection, mechanical, electrical, instrumentation, control, digital services, and decommissioning of nuclear power plants. It also provides services in the field of nuclear energy, battery production, district heating and waste heat, hydropower, waste recycling and wastewater treatment, hydrogen, carbon capture and storage, wind power, biogas, and environmental tech. In addition, the company offers consulting and engineering; prefabrication and installation; and access and insulation services, as well as maintenance, engineering, extension, new construction, and operation of industrial plants. The company serves customers in energy, chemicals and petrochemicals, pharma and biopharma, and oil and gas industries. Bilfinger SE was founded in 1880 and is headquartered in Mannheim, Germany.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bilfinger SE reported revenue of €5.4B in FY2025 versus €3.7B in FY2021, a compound +9.8%/yr. Reported net income was €176M in FY2025, compounding +8.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€5.4B
Latest YoY
+7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+8.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+0.0%
Revenue +9.8%/yr
FY21 €3.7B
FY22 €4.3B
FY23 €4.5B
FY24 €5.0B
FY25 €5.4B
Net income +8.0%/yr
FY21 €130M
FY22 €28.2M
FY23 €182M
FY24 €180M
FY25 €176M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bilfinger SE Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GBF

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +24% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.65× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.65× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 11.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 3.62× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 65 · sector 16
FUTURE 18 · sector 17
PAST 55 · sector 26
HEALTH 98 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 67 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bilfinger SE (GBF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €100.05 versus a price of €80.65, about +24% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GBF?
Our model-based fair value for Bilfinger SE is €100.05 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €80.65.
What is the quality score of GBF?
Bilfinger SE has a Quality Score of 55/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bilfinger SE (GBF)?
Bilfinger SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €5.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GBF?
The net profit margin of Bilfinger SE is about 3.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Bilfinger SE pay a dividend?
Bilfinger SE currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.17% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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