Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 12, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Genesis Land Development Corp. stock C$6.14, price C$3.64, upside +68.7%, quality 52 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.8900 – C$3.76 · fair‑value band C$4.77 – C$9.76 · the C$3.64 price screens below the C$6.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 11, 2026.
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Genesis Land Development Corp., an integrated land developer and residential home builder, owns and develops residential lands and serviced lots in the Calgary Metropolitan Area, Canada. It operates through Land Development and Home Building segments.
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The Land Development segment acquires, plans, rezones, subdivides, services, and sells residential lots and commercial and industrial lands to third-party developers and builders; and sells lots and completed homes.
Its Home Building segment plans, develops, and sells single-family lots and townhomes, multi-family, and commercial parcels. The company was formerly known as Genesis Capital Corp. and changed its name to Genesis Land Development Corp. in October 1998.
Genesis Land Development Corp. was founded in 1991 and is based in Calgary, Canada.
Stock analysis
Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC) currently trades at C$3.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$6.14, implying the stock looks roughly 41% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of C$14.07 per share, and 14 of the 14 models we run sit above the C$3.64 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at C$4.00, and 0 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: C$4.77 (bear) to C$9.76 (bull), the price of C$3.64 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Genesis Land Development Corp. reported revenue of C$381M in FY2025 versus C$110M in FY2021, a compound +36.5%/yr. Reported net income was C$39.2M in FY2025, compounding +37.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap C$205M (≈ $144M) Micro · P/E ratio 8.3 · P/S ratio 0.54 · EPS (TTM) C$0.4400 · Dividend yield 8.5% · Net margin 8.4% · Return on equity 10.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.3% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at 69%, GDC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearC$4.77Fair Value C$6.14BullC$9.76
Price C$3.64 · Upside +68.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$0.3821 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.68/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+39.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.3% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+61.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+52.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)8.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.35.3% vs 10.9%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 16%
2025 sits 171% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.4% a year for the price.
Compare Genesis Land Development Corp. with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 491 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Above median
Fair Value upside+68.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)10.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)8.4% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)8.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)4.8% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)8.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.17× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)8.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.69× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)0.54× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)12.7× · Pricier than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Genesis Land Development Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GDC
Frequently asked questions
Is Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$6.14 versus a price of C$3.64, about +69% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GDC?
Our model-based fair value for Genesis Land Development Corp. is C$6.14 (as of Nov 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$3.64.
What is the quality score of GDC?
Genesis Land Development Corp. has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$6.14 (as of Nov 11, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$4.77, optimistic scenario C$9.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Genesis Land Development Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$6.14, about +69% upside versus a price of C$3.64 (undervalued). Cautious scenario C$4.77, optimistic scenario C$9.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC)?
Genesis Land Development Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$378M (latest available figure, as of Nov 11, 2026).
Does Genesis Land Development Corp. pay a dividend?
Genesis Land Development Corp. currently shows a dividend yield of 8.49% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 11, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC)?
Genesis Land Development Corp. has a dividend yield of 8.5%.
What growth is priced into Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Genesis Land Development Corp. would have to grow free cash flow by +12.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +29.7 % per year. As of Nov 11, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GDC use?
Our models discount Genesis Land Development Corp. at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.19, country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Genesis Land Development Corp. that is +12.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Genesis Land Development Corp. grew +29.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +12.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Genesis Land Development Corp. (+12.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.89 %: that much free cash flow Genesis Land Development Corp. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Genesis Land Development Corp. it is C$6.14 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026), against a price of C$3.64. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 5 families (DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Genesis Land Development Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 11, 2026, GDC trades below its calculated fair value: price C$3.64, fair value C$6.14, a gap of about +69% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GDC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$3.64); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$6.14). For Genesis Land Development Corp. the two are C$2.50 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Genesis Land Development Corp. worth?
The market values Genesis Land Development Corp. at about C$205M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 11, 2026). Per share that is C$3.64; our models calculate a fair value of C$6.14 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GDC?
Our models span a range for Genesis Land Development Corp.: cautious scenario C$4.77, base C$6.14, optimistic C$9.76 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026, price C$3.64). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GDC?
Genesis Land Development Corp. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.3 (as of Nov 11, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$6.14 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 3.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Genesis Land Development Corp. (as of Nov 11, 2026): return on equity 10.9%, debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GDC from its 52-week high?
Genesis Land Development Corp. trades at C$3.64, about 2% below its 52-week high of C$3.70 and 25% above the low of C$2.91 (as of Nov 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$6.14 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Genesis Land Development Corp.?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, CK Asset Holdings, DLF Limited, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Genesis Land Development Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 11, 2026: price C$3.64, calculated fair value C$6.14 (+69%), Quality Score 52/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GDC calculated?
We run Genesis Land Development Corp. through 14 models from 5 families: DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of C$6.14 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.3% above its aggregate fair value. Genesis Land Development Corp. currently trades 41% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC)?
The closing price on Nov 12, 2026 was C$3.64. Our model-based fair value is C$6.14, about +69% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Genesis Land Development Corp. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$4.77). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (C$4.77 to C$9.76) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC) come from?
Earnings per share at Genesis Land Development Corp. grew +9.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.8 %, EBIT margin +3.0 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Genesis Land Development Corp.
How large is the market capitalisation of Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC)?
The market capitalisation of Genesis Land Development Corp. is C$205M (≈ $144M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Genesis Land Development Corp. is 0.54 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC)?
Earnings per share at Genesis Land Development Corp. are C$0.4400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC)?
The dividend yield of Genesis Land Development Corp. is 8.5% (payout 70.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC)?
The net margin of Genesis Land Development Corp. is 8.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Genesis Land Development Corp. is 10.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Genesis Land Development Corp. is 6.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC)?
The operating margin of Genesis Land Development Corp. is 8.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC)?
Revenue at Genesis Land Development Corp. is growing +4.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +39.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC)?
Earnings per share at Genesis Land Development Corp. are growing −36.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Genesis Land Development Corp. (GDC) carry?
The net debt of Genesis Land Development Corp. is C$120M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 11, 2026