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Great Divide Mining Ltd (GDM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Great Divide Mining Ltd stock A$0.12, price A$0.18, that is 34.7% below the price, quality 26 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000284960

GD Great Divide Mining Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Great Divide Mining Ltd

GDM · AU
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 35% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter 73% below a year ago.
Fair value A$0.1175 · Overvalued
Quality 26/100
Weak Growth (revenue YoY −6.6 %/yr in AUD)
Trails peers (0/8)
Narrow moat 9/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$0.5300 A$0.1700 Fair Value A$0.1175 Jul 2023 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

40‑month range A$0.1700 – A$0.5300 · fair‑value band A$0.0881 – A$0.1469 · the A$0.1800 price screens above the A$0.1175 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Great Divide Mining Ltd engages in the exploration and development of mineral resource properties in Australia. The company primarily explores for gold, antimony, copper, and lithium and rare earth metal deposits.

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Great Divide Mining Ltd was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Brisbane, Australia.

Stock analysis

Great Divide Mining Ltd (GDM) currently trades at A$0.1800, while our estimate is A$0.1175, 35% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.0881 (bear) to A$0.1469 (bull), the price of A$0.1800 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Great Divide Mining Ltd reported revenue of A$120K in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −A$1.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$12.5M (≈ $8.6M) Micro · P/S ratio 21.0 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0400 · Return on equity −45.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −131% (4-year average) · Operating margin −177% · Revenue growth (YoY) −73.0% · Net debt A$870K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −35%, GDM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.0881 Fair Value A$0.1175 Bull A$0.1469
Price A$0.1800 · Downside -34.7%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 5
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 98
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 22
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 7
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 2
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

GDM screens overvalued: fair value 35% below the price. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

Compare Great Divide Mining Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 286 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −34.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −28.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −176.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −73.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.75× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 18.90× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $190.46 $220.88 +16% vs GDM
Newmont Corporation NEM $119.96 $137.68 +15% vs GDM
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $274.57 $259.27 −6% vs GDM
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $93.85 $88.58 −6% vs GDM
Shandong Gold Mining Co 600547 ¥27.00 ¥23.61 −13% vs GDM
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $21.53 $18.00 −16% vs GDM
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $255.79 $212.28 −17% vs GDM
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $136.62 $87.64 −36% vs GDM
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$26.73 A$16.87 −37% vs GDM
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥28.18 ¥15.62 −45% vs GDM

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Great Divide Mining Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Great Divide Mining Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GDM

Frequently asked questions

Is Great Divide Mining Ltd (GDM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.1175 versus a price of A$0.1800, about 35% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GDM?
Our estimate for Great Divide Mining Ltd is A$0.1175 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1800.
What is the quality score of GDM?
Great Divide Mining Ltd has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Great Divide Mining Ltd (GDM)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.1175 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.0881, optimistic scenario A$0.1469. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Great Divide Mining Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.1175, about 35% lower versus a price of A$0.1800 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0881, optimistic scenario A$0.1469. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Great Divide Mining Ltd (GDM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Great Divide Mining Ltd it is A$0.1175 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.1800.
Is Great Divide Mining Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, GDM trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.1800, fair value A$0.1175, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GDM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1800); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.1175). For Great Divide Mining Ltd the two are A$0.0625 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Great Divide Mining Ltd worth?
The market values Great Divide Mining Ltd at about A$12.5M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1800; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.1175 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GDM?
Our models span a range for Great Divide Mining Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0881, base A$0.1175, optimistic A$0.1469 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.1800). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Great Divide Mining Ltd (GDM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Great Divide Mining Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −45.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GDM from its 52-week high?
Great Divide Mining Ltd trades at A$0.1800, about 58% below its 52-week high of A$0.4300 and 6% above the low of A$0.1700 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.1175 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Great Divide Mining Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Great Divide Mining Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.1800, calculated fair value A$0.1175 (−35%), Quality Score 26/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Great Divide Mining Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Great Divide Mining Ltd (GDM)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was A$0.1800. Our estimate is A$0.1175, about 35% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Great Divide Mining Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.1469). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Great Divide Mining Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Great Divide Mining Ltd (GDM)?
The market capitalisation of Great Divide Mining Ltd is A$12.5M (≈ $8.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Great Divide Mining Ltd (GDM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Great Divide Mining Ltd is 21.0 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Great Divide Mining Ltd (GDM)?
Earnings per share at Great Divide Mining Ltd are A$−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Great Divide Mining Ltd (GDM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Great Divide Mining Ltd is −45.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Great Divide Mining Ltd (GDM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Great Divide Mining Ltd is −131% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Great Divide Mining Ltd (GDM)?
The operating margin of Great Divide Mining Ltd is −177% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Great Divide Mining Ltd (GDM)?
Revenue at Great Divide Mining Ltd is growing −73.0% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Great Divide Mining Ltd (GDM) carry?
The net debt of Great Divide Mining Ltd is A$870K (fiscal year 2023). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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