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Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk IDR 111, price IDR 120, upside -7.4%, quality 26 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · ID · ISIN ID1000113806

GD Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk

GDST · JK

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value 111.17 IDR · Fairly valued (−7%)
!Quality 26/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +12.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.2% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·2.08% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 29/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 23 out of 100
!Weak on past: 13 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

217.90 IDR 69.00 IDR Fair Value 111.17 IDR Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 69.00 IDR – 217.90 IDR · fair‑value band 80.03 IDR – 148.63 IDR · the 120.00 IDR price screens above the 111.17 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk manufactures and sells hot rolled steel plates in Indonesia.

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PT Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk manufactures and sells hot rolled steel plates in Indonesia. It provides steel plates for general use, such as low carbon structural steel plates and high strength low alloy structural steel plates; steel plates for boilers and pressure vessels; and steel plates for ship building, including hull structural steel plates and high tensile steels. The company also exports its products. PT Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk was founded in 1989 and is based in Surabaya, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST) currently trades at 120.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 111.17 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 7.9% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 134.71 IDR per share, and 7 of the 15 models we run sit above the 120.00 IDR price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 100.82 IDR, and 8 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 80.03 IDR (bear) to 148.63 IDR (bull), the price of 120.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk reported revenue of 2.3T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.7T IDR in FY2021, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was 73.2B IDR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.1T IDR (≈ $62.0M) · P/E ratio 24.6 · P/S ratio 0.77 · EPS (TTM) 4.88 IDR · Dividend yield 2.1% · Net margin 3.1% · Return on equity 3.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −7%, GDST screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 80.03 IDR Fair Value 111.17 IDR Bull 148.63 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.74 IDR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV 108.06 IDR 117.35 IDR 124.89 IDR 74
Residual Income 104.82 IDR 100.82 IDR 83.86 IDR 74
ROIC Compounder 108.06 IDR 117.35 IDR 124.89 IDR 70
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 53.88 IDR 138.69 IDR 180.61 IDR 63
PEG = 1.0 26.07 IDR 37.24 IDR 48.42 IDR 55
EPV 108.06 IDR 117.35 IDR 124.89 IDR 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 5.38 IDR 8.70 IDR 11.70 IDR 66
DDM Multi-Stage 5.38 IDR 7.51 IDR 9.36 IDR 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple 101.03 IDR 134.71 IDR 168.39 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 101.03 IDR 134.71 IDR 168.39 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 101.03 IDR 134.71 IDR 168.39 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 157.09 IDR 199.24 IDR 241.39 IDR 66
EV/EBITDA 130.85 IDR 164.25 IDR 197.64 IDR 67
EV/Revenue 140.23 IDR 187.20 IDR 234.16 IDR 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 76.29 IDR 102.23 IDR 152.59 IDR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 104.82 IDR 100.82 IDR 83.86 IDR 74
ROIC Compounder 108.06 IDR 117.35 IDR 124.89 IDR 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 80.03 IDR 114.33 IDR 148.63 IDR 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 39
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.9% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+22.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.20% vs 7%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−3% → 5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 411 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −10% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −27% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.09× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.81× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.52× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.9× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)23 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 4
PAST (return on equity)13 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)42 · sector 51

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nucor Corporation NUE $246.98 $116.05 −53%
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $234.29 $127.14 −46%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,298 ₹1,103 −15%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹190.82 ₹147.13 −23%
Reliance, Inc RS $384.63 $211.57 −45%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.73 ¥8.07 +41%
POSCO Holdings PKX $59.05 $68.58 +16%
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co 600010 ¥2.12 ¥0.5500 −74%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,175 ₹516.27 −56%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,891 ₹771.10 −59%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GDST

Frequently asked questions

Is Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 111.17 IDR versus a price of 120.00 IDR, about −7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GDST?
Our model-based fair value for Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk is 111.17 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 120.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of GDST?
Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 111.17 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 80.03 IDR, optimistic scenario 148.63 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 111.17 IDR, about −7% upside versus a price of 120.00 IDR (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 80.03 IDR, optimistic scenario 148.63 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST)?
Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.2T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk pay a dividend?
Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.08% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk it is 111.17 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 120.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GDST trades above its calculated fair value: price 120.00 IDR, fair value 111.17 IDR, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GDST?
No. The price is what the market pays today (120.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (111.17 IDR). For Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk the two are 8.83 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk worth?
The market values Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk at about 1.1T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 120.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 111.17 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GDST?
Our models span a range for Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk: cautious scenario 80.03 IDR, base 111.17 IDR, optimistic 148.63 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 120.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GDST?
Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 111.17 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 8.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.4%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GDST from its 52-week high?
Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk trades at 120.00 IDR, about 14% below its 52-week high of 139.00 IDR and 74% above the low of 69.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 111.17 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, Tata Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 120.00 IDR, calculated fair value 111.17 IDR (−7%), Quality Score 26/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GDST calculated?
We run Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 111.17 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 120.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 111.17 IDR, about −7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (80.03 IDR to 148.63 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk

How large is the market capitalisation of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST)?
The market capitalisation of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk is 1.1T IDR (≈ $62.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk is 0.77 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST)?
Earnings per share at Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk are 4.88 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST)?
The dividend yield of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk is 2.1% (payout 51.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST)?
The net margin of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk is 3.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk is 3.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk is 6.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST)?
The operating margin of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST)?
Revenue at Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk is growing −26.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST)?
Earnings per share at Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk are growing −67.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST) generate?
The free cash flow of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk is −305B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST) carry?
The net debt of Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk is 1.1T IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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