PT Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · ID · Market cap 933B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 134.71 IDR to 59.09 IDR (−56.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +62.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 56% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (73.86 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 69.00 IDR – 217.90 IDR · fair‑value band 44.32 IDR – 73.86 IDR · the 135.00 IDR price screens above the 59.09 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
PT Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk (GDST) currently trades at 135.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 59.09 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 56.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk generated revenue of 2.2T IDR at a net margin of 2.2%. Revenue declined 26.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.4%. Net debt stands at 1.1T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 44.32 IDR (bear case) to 73.86 IDR (bull case); at 135.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 101% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -56%, GDST screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (138.69 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (11.59 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk manufactures and sells hot rolled steel plates in Indonesia. It provides steel plates for general use, such as low carbon structural steel plates and high strength low alloy structural steel plates; steel plates for boilers and pressure vessels; and steel plates for ship building, including hull structural steel plates and high …
Full company description
PT Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk manufactures and sells hot rolled steel plates in Indonesia. It provides steel plates for general use, such as low carbon structural steel plates and high strength low alloy structural steel plates; steel plates for boilers and pressure vessels; and steel plates for ship building, including hull structural steel plates and high tensile steels. The company also exports its products. PT Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk was founded in 1989 and is based in Surabaya, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk reported revenue of 2.3T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.7T IDR in FY2021, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was 73.2B IDR in FY2025.
GDST screens 56% overvalued. Compare with Tata Steel Limited →
Peer Group
Steel · 378 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tata Steel Limited TTST | $0.2010 | $0.2000 | -0% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,227 | ₹1,140 | -7% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.89 | ¥8.07 | +37% |
| China Steel Corporation 2002A | 38.55 TWD | 8.74 TWD | -77% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 313,500 KRW | 155,270 KRW | -50% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 15,940 ARS | +17% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,028 | ₹545.12 | -47% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,844 | ₹1,098 | -40% |
| SSAB AB SSABA | kr 96.04 | kr 72.43 | -25% |
| Gerdau S.A GGBN | 83.50 MXN | 42.64 MXN | -49% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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