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Data-driven stock valuation

Genel Energy PLC ADR (GEGYY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Genel Energy PLC ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Energy · US · Market cap $193M · ISIN US3687051090

At a glance

GE Genel Energy PLC ADR logo Genel Energy PLC ADR GEGYY · US
Price$0.8700
Fair Value$0.9900
Upside+13.8%
Quality50/100

A solid business, trading 12% below our fair value of $0.9900.

As of Aug 23, 2026, the fair value of Genel Energy PLC ADR is $0.9900 per share against a price of $0.8700, so the fair value sits 14% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −15.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -12.3% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range $0.9200 to $1.10

Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +26.1% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.9200). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$2.14 $0.5731 Fair Value $0.9900 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.5731 – $2.14 · fair‑value band $0.9200 – $1.10 · the $0.8700 price screens below the $0.9900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Genel Energy PLC ADR (GEGYY) currently trades at $0.8700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.9900, implying the stock looks roughly 12.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $0.9000 per share, and 6 of the 13 models we run sit above the $0.8700 price. Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $0.7900, and 7 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Genel Energy PLC ADR generated revenue of $72.1M at a net margin of −12.3%. Revenue declined 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −3.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $134M. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026

Scenario range: $0.9200 (bear) to $1.10 (bull), the price of $0.8700 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 14%, GEGYY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $0.7300 $0.7900 $0.9000 82
Growth DCF $0.7400 $0.8000 $0.8800 80
Owner Earnings $1.10 $1.26 $1.52 78
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $0.7300 $0.7900 $0.9000 82
Owner Earnings $1.10 $1.26 $1.52 78
5Y Revenue Exit $0.7000 $0.7800 $0.9000 74
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.8700 $1.07 $1.34 77
10Y Revenue Exit $0.7100 $0.7600 $0.8200 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.8000 $0.9200 $1.04 70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.8500 $0.9000 $0.9900 69
DDM Multi-Stage $0.8500 $0.9800 $1.15 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $1.08 $1.28 $1.48 67
EV/Revenue $0.7000 $0.7900 $0.8700 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.6400 $0.8500 $1.27 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.7400 $0.8000 $0.8800 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.7000 $0.7900 $0.9000 74

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($0.9000) versus DCF Models ($0.7900). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 2.68 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−0.0500
Net margin −13.0% FY2025
Return on equity −3.6% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −5.1% avg 5y
Operating margin −46.6% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $72.1M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −4.8% 3y avg −44.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +389%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $9.3M FY2025
Net cash $134M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 69
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Genel Energy plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an independent oil and gas exploration and production company. It operates through two segments: Production and Pre-production. Genel Energy plc was formerly known as Genel Energy International Limited and changed its name to Genel Energy plc in November 2011.

Full company description

Genel Energy plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an independent oil and gas exploration and production company. It operates through two segments: Production and Pre-production. Genel Energy plc was formerly known as Genel Energy International Limited and changed its name to Genel Energy plc in November 2011. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Genel Energy PLC ADR reported revenue of $68.9M in FY2025 versus $335M in FY2021, a compound −32.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$8.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 17/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$68.9M
Latest YoY
−7.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−44.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (14Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.8%
EBIT margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−228.2% (2020) → −21.5% (2025)
Value creation/yr ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −32.7%/yr
FY21 $335M
FY22 $402M
FY23 $84.8M
FY24 $74.7M
FY25 $68.9M
Net income
FY21 −$308M
FY22 −$7.3M
FY23 −$61.3M
FY24 −$76.9M
FY25 −$8.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Genel Energy PLC ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GEGYY

Peer Group

Oil & Gas E&P · 297 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside +14% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −47% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 17.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.26× · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.55× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.68× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 20.7× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 1.9× · Cheapest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Genel Energy PLC ADR deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+2.5 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years-15.5 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+1.4 %
FCF yield on price3.89 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models11.3 %

The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE52 · sector 8
FUTURE0 · sector 7
PAST0 · sector 9
HEALTH87 · sector 87
DIVIDEND100 · sector 70

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥33.41 ¥32.55 −3%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $130.35 $90.15 −31%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ C$69.78 C$44.78 −36%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $143.35 $132.20 −8%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $60.04 $30.06 −50%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $199.22 $105.24 −47%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $48.06 $27.06 −44%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$32.55 A$20.71 −36%
EQT Corporation EQT $54.57 $42.85 −21%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $366.50 $77.26 −79%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Genel Energy PLC ADR (GEGYY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.9900 versus a price of $0.8700, about +14% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GEGYY?
Our model-based fair value for Genel Energy PLC ADR is $0.9900 (as of Aug 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.8700.
What is the quality score of GEGYY?
Genel Energy PLC ADR has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Genel Energy PLC ADR (GEGYY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.9900 (as of Aug 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.9200, optimistic scenario $1.10. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Genel Energy PLC ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.9900, about +14% upside versus a price of $0.8700 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.9200, optimistic scenario $1.10. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Genel Energy PLC ADR (GEGYY)?
Genel Energy PLC ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $72.1M (latest available figure, as of Aug 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GEGYY?
The net profit margin of Genel Energy PLC ADR is about −12.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
What growth is priced into Genel Energy PLC ADR (GEGYY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Genel Energy PLC ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +2.5 % per year for ten years (discount rate 11.3 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -15.5 % per year. As of Aug 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GEGYY use?
Our models discount Genel Energy PLC ADR at 11.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.55, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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