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Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A (GEMI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A $2.29, price $5.63, upside -59.3%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Financial Services · US · ISIN US36866J1051

GS Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A

GEMI · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $2.29 · Strongly overvalued (−59%)
!Quality 35/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +2.8 %/yr)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/8)
!Narrow moat 15/100
!Insider activity 46/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$32.52 $3.54 Fair Value $2.29 Sep 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

12‑month range $3.54 – $32.52 · fair‑value band $1.71 – $3.42 · the $5.63 price screens above the $2.29 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Gemini Space Station, Inc. operates a cryptocurrency platform in the United States and internationally.

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Gemini Space Station, Inc. operates a cryptocurrency platform in the United States and internationally. The company offers Gemini, a platform that enables users to trade, custody, and earn in a range of digital assets and offerings; Gemini ActiveTrader for advanced charting, multiple order types, and the ability to monitor and execute in multiple markets; and Gemini Derivatives to trade perpetual contracts with cross-collateralization for risk and capital management. It also provides Gemini Prediction for trading event contracts; custody solutions; and Gemini Credit Card for users to earn crypto rewards. The company serves institutional investors, including asset managers, hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, and corporations, as well as individual retail users. Gemini Space Station, Inc. was founded in 2014 and is based in New York, New York.

Stock analysis

Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock (GEMI) currently trades at $5.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.29, implying the stock looks roughly 145.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 86/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $1.71 (bear) to $3.42 (bull), the price of $5.63 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock reported revenue of $146M in FY2025 versus $98.1M in FY2023, a compound +22.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$583M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $660M · P/S ratio 3.06 · EPS (TTM) $−4.61 · Net margin −279% · Return on equity −556% · Return on assets (EBIT) −21.7% · Operating margin −172% · Revenue (TTM) $195M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 36 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 78% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −59%, GEMI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.71 Fair Value $2.29 Bull $3.42
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $2.31 $3.09 $4.62 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.31 $3.09 $4.62 52

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 28
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

GEMI screens 146% overvalued. Compare with Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 463 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −59% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −16% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −172% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 42% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.90× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.22× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.39× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 91
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)55 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, MS $200.18 $312.73 +56%
The Goldman Sachs Group GS $949.49 $756.89 −20%
The Charles Schwab Corporation SCHW $100.35 $117.26 +17%
Interactive Brokers Group IBKR $91.88 $23.37 −75%
Robinhood Markets, Inc HOOD $124.25 $47.73 −62%
Macquarie Group MQG A$242.35 A$75.58 −69%
CITIC Securities Company 600030 ¥26.79 ¥18.35 −32%
Guotai Haitong Securities Co 601211 ¥17.67 ¥19.29 +9%
East Money Information Co 300059 ¥18.77 ¥4.94 −74%
CSC Financial Co 601066 ¥23.67 ¥39.83 +68%

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Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock · Fair Value
$2.29 −146%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GEMI

Frequently asked questions

Is Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A (GEMI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.29 versus a price of $5.63, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GEMI?
Our model-based fair value for Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock is $2.29 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.63.
What is the quality score of GEMI?
Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A (GEMI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.29 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.71, optimistic scenario $3.42. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.29, about −59% upside versus a price of $5.63 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.71, optimistic scenario $3.42. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A (GEMI)?
Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $195M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A (GEMI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock it is $2.29 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $5.63. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, GEMI trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.63, fair value $2.29, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GEMI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.63); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.29). For Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock the two are $3.34 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock worth?
The market values Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock at about $660M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $5.63; our models calculate a fair value of $2.29 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GEMI?
Our models span a range for Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock: cautious scenario $1.71, base $2.29, optimistic $3.42 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $5.63). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A (GEMI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock (as of Sep 23, 2026): debt of 0.90 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GEMI from its 52-week high?
Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock trades at $5.63, about 78% below its 52-week high of $25.65 and 59% above the low of $3.54 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.29 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $5.63, calculated fair value $2.29 (−59%), Quality Score 35/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GEMI calculated?
We run Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.29, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A (GEMI)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $5.63. Our model-based fair value is $2.29, about −59% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($1.71 to $3.42) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock

How large is the market capitalisation of Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A (GEMI)?
The market capitalisation of Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock is $660M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A (GEMI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock is 3.06 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A (GEMI)?
Earnings per share at Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock are $−4.61. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A (GEMI)?
The net margin of Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock is −279% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A (GEMI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock is −556% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A (GEMI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock is −21.7% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A (GEMI)?
The operating margin of Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock is −172% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A (GEMI)?
Revenue at Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock is growing +42.3% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A (GEMI) generate?
The free cash flow of Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock is −$226M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A (GEMI) carry?
The net debt of Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock is $277M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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