Gemini Space Station, Inc (GEMI) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $595M
Gemini Space Station, Inc
GEMI · US
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from $2.38 to $3.09 (+29.8%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −3.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 24% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range ($2.31 to $4.62) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (11 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
11‑month range $3.90 – $32.52 · fair‑value band $2.31 – $4.62 · the $4.09 price screens above the $3.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
Gemini Space Station, Inc (GEMI) currently trades at $4.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.09, implying the stock looks roughly 24.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $195M. Revenue grew 42.3% year over year. Net debt stands at $277M. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.31 (bear case) to $4.62 (bull case); at $4.09, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -24%, GEMI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 7
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Gemini Space Station, Inc. operates a cryptocurrency platform in the United States and internationally. The company offers Gemini, a platform that enables users to trade, custody, and earn in a range of digital assets and offerings; Gemini ActiveTrader for advanced charting, multiple order types, and the ability to monitor and execute in multiple markets; …
Full company description
Gemini Space Station, Inc. operates a cryptocurrency platform in the United States and internationally. The company offers Gemini, a platform that enables users to trade, custody, and earn in a range of digital assets and offerings; Gemini ActiveTrader for advanced charting, multiple order types, and the ability to monitor and execute in multiple markets; and Gemini Derivatives to trade perpetual contracts with cross-collateralization for risk and capital management. It also provides Gemini Prediction for trading event contracts; custody solutions; and Gemini Credit Card for users to earn crypto rewards. The company serves institutional investors, including asset managers, hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, and corporations, as well as individual retail users. Gemini Space Station, Inc. was founded in 2014 and is based in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gemini Space Station, Inc reported revenue of $146M in FY2025 versus $98.1M in FY2023, a compound +22.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$583M in FY2025.
GEMI screens 24% overvalued. Compare with Huatai Securities Co →
Peer Group
Capital Markets · 425 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huatai Securities Co HTSC | $0.2700 | $0.0400 | -85% |
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,750 KRW | 31,645 KRW | -18% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 117,000 KRW | 87,706 KRW | -25% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 239,000 KRW | 318,825 KRW | +33% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 31,000 KRW | 37,133 KRW | +20% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 107,700 KRW | 126,487 KRW | +17% |
| Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS | ₹967.00 | ₹299.65 | -69% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 322,000 KRW | 358,091 KRW | +11% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 24,250 VND | 28,021 VND | +16% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 120.22 ARS | -62% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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