Granite Falls Energy, LLC, (GFGY) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $126M
Granite Falls Energy, LLC,
GFGY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
A strong business, screening 39% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (80/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- A fairly wide model range ($4,454 to $9,668) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $839.48 – $4,866 · fair‑value band $4,454 – $9,668 · the $4,866 price screens below the $6,757 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Granite Falls Energy, LLC, (GFGY) currently trades at $4,866, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6,757, implying the stock looks roughly 38.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 80/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Granite Falls Energy, LLC, generated revenue of $410M at a net margin of 16.0%. Revenue grew 16.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 76.5%. Net debt stands at $19.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $4,454 (bear case) to $9,668 (bull case); at $4,866, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 39%, GFGY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($7,779) versus Asset-Based ($1,618). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Granite Falls Energy, LLC, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of ethanol and its co-products in the continental United States. The company offers wet, modified wet and dried distillers' grains, corn oil, and corn syrup. It also operates a natural gas pipeline.
Full company description
Granite Falls Energy, LLC, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of ethanol and its co-products in the continental United States. The company offers wet, modified wet and dried distillers' grains, corn oil, and corn syrup. It also operates a natural gas pipeline. The company markets and sells its products through its third-party marketers to the dairy, beef, swine, and poultry industries. In addition, it exports its products. Granite Falls Energy, LLC was founded in 2000 and is based in Granite Falls, Minnesota.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2017 – FY2021 · reported fiscal years
Granite Falls Energy, LLC, reported revenue of $310M in FY2021 versus $216M in FY2017, a compound +9.4%/yr. Reported net income was $17.9M in FY2021, compounding +4.2%/yr from FY2017.
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Peer Group
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,293 | ₹835.66 | -35% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $309.65 | $127.32 | -59% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $283.74 | $135.80 | -52% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $196.16 | $101.04 | -48% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €31.10 | €4.07 | -87% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 81.30 TWD | 16.68 TWD | -79% |
| Indian Oil Corporation IOC | ₹138.96 | ₹417.35 | +200% |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $88.59 | $48.90 | -45% |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹315.55 | ₹846.81 | +168% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 121,400 KRW | 58,865 KRW | -52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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