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GreenFirst Forest Products Inc (GFP) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$46.3M

GF GreenFirst Forest Products Inc GFP · TO
PriceC$2.15
Fair ValueC$7.86
Upside+265.6%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range C$5.89 – C$9.82

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price −8.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

C$3.94 C$1.69 Fair Value C$7.86 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range C$1.69 – C$3.94 · fair‑value band C$5.89 – C$9.82 · the C$2.15 price screens below the C$7.86 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

GreenFirst Forest Products Inc (GFP) currently trades at C$2.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$7.86 — implying the stock looks roughly 265.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, GreenFirst Forest Products Inc generated revenue of C$292M at a net margin of -41.2%. Revenue declined 15.6% year over year. Net debt stands at C$31.6M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$292M
Revenue growth (YoY) -15.6%
Net margin -41.2%
Return on equity -128%
Free cash flow −C$40.9M FY2025
Operating margin -31.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) C$-5.28
EPS growth (YoY) -68.3%
Net debt C$31.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

GreenFirst Forest Products Inc. engages in manufacturing, marketing, distribution, and sale of lumber products in Canada and the United States. The company provides spruce, pine, and fir lumber products; wood chips; and other by-products, such as chips and residual fiber for use in residential and multi-family homes, light industrial and commercial facilities, and the home repair and remodel markets. It serves retail chains, contractor supply yards, distributors, wholesalers, and industrial customers. The company was formerly known as Itasca Capital Ltd. and changed its name to GreenFirst Forest Products Inc. in January 2021. GreenFirst Forest Products Inc. is headquartered in North Bay, Canada.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

GreenFirst Forest Products Inc reported revenue of C$304M in FY2025 versus C$190M in FY2021, a compound +12.4%/yr. Reported net income was −C$98.8M in FY2025.

Revenue +12.4%/yr
FY21 C$190M
FY22 C$446M
FY23 C$410M
FY24 C$283M
FY25 C$304M
Net income
FY21 −C$9.6M
FY22 −C$4.1M
FY23 −C$47.0M
FY24 −C$47.1M
FY25 −C$98.8M

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Similar stocks

6 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD $185.41 $105.89 -43%
West Fraser Timber Co WFG $69.05 $7.50 -89%
UFP Industries, Inc UFPI $85.44 $101.34 +19%
Stella-Jones Inc STLJF $58.00 $67.39 +16%
Boise Cascade Company BCC $72.54 $51.80 -29%
Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY ₹754.55 ₹201.01 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is GreenFirst Forest Products Inc (GFP) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$7.86 versus a price of C$2.15 — about +266% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of GFP?
Our 21-model fair value for GreenFirst Forest Products Inc is C$7.86 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$2.15.
What is the quality score of GFP?
GreenFirst Forest Products Inc has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of GreenFirst Forest Products Inc (GFP)?
GreenFirst Forest Products Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$292M (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GFP?
The net profit margin of GreenFirst Forest Products Inc is about -41.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.