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Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Gold Hydrogen Ltd A$0.06, price A$0.53, upside -88.7%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · AU · ISIN AU0000253171

GH Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Gold Hydrogen Ltd

GHY · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value A$0.0600 · Strongly overvalued (−89%)
!Quality 34/100
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/7)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$2.09 A$0.1950 Fair Value A$0.0600 Jan 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

44‑month range A$0.1950 – A$2.09 · fair‑value band A$0.0400 – A$0.0700 · the A$0.5300 price screens above the A$0.0600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Gold Hydrogen Limited engages in the discovery, exploration, and development of hydrogen and helium gas in Australia. The company's flagship project is the Ramsay project covering an area of approximately 7,820 square kilometers located on the Yorke Peninsula and Kangaroo Island in South Australia.

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Gold Hydrogen Limited engages in the discovery, exploration, and development of hydrogen and helium gas in Australia. The company's flagship project is the Ramsay project covering an area of approximately 7,820 square kilometers located on the Yorke Peninsula and Kangaroo Island in South Australia. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.

Stock analysis

Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY) currently trades at A$0.5300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0600, implying the stock looks roughly 783.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0400 (bear) to A$0.0700 (bull), the price of A$0.5300 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Gold Hydrogen Ltd reported revenue of A$0 in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −A$2.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$94.7M (≈ $66.5M) · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −5.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −43.4% · Revenue (TTM) A$286K · Revenue growth (YoY) −41.7% · Free cash flow −A$3.2M · Net cash A$11.4M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −89%, GHY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0400 Fair Value A$0.0600 Bull A$0.0700
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0900 A$0.1200 A$0.1800 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0900 A$0.1200 A$0.1800 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 21
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 42
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 73
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 29
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

GHY screens 783% overvalued. Compare with ConocoPhillips explores for, →

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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 308 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside −89% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −42% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.99× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $129.34 $90.15 −30%
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$23.84 HK$39.90 +67%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.64 $52.40 +10%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $141.84 $165.02 +16%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $57.36 $33.34 −42%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $185.65 $242.64 +31%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $48.04 $52.84 +10%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$31.13 A$23.59 −24%
EQT Corporation EQT $51.06 $56.17 +10%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $335.74 $318.28 −5%

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Gold Hydrogen Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0600 −783%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gold Hydrogen Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GHY

Frequently asked questions

Is Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0600 versus a price of A$0.5300, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GHY?
Our model-based fair value for Gold Hydrogen Ltd is A$0.0600 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.5300.
What is the quality score of GHY?
Gold Hydrogen Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0600 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0400, optimistic scenario A$0.0700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gold Hydrogen Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0600, about −89% upside versus a price of A$0.5300 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0400, optimistic scenario A$0.0700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY)?
Gold Hydrogen Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$286K (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gold Hydrogen Ltd it is A$0.0600 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.5300. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gold Hydrogen Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, GHY trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.5300, fair value A$0.0600, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GHY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.5300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0600). For Gold Hydrogen Ltd the two are A$0.4700 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gold Hydrogen Ltd worth?
The market values Gold Hydrogen Ltd at about A$94.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.5300; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GHY?
Our models span a range for Gold Hydrogen Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0400, base A$0.0600, optimistic A$0.0700 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.5300). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gold Hydrogen Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −5.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GHY from its 52-week high?
Gold Hydrogen Ltd trades at A$0.5300, about 19% below its 52-week high of A$0.6550 and 77% above the low of A$0.3000 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gold Hydrogen Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gold Hydrogen Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.5300, calculated fair value A$0.0600 (−89%), Quality Score 34/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GHY calculated?
We run Gold Hydrogen Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Gold Hydrogen Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.5300. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0600, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gold Hydrogen Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0700). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Gold Hydrogen Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY)?
The market capitalisation of Gold Hydrogen Ltd is A$94.7M (≈ $66.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY)?
Earnings per share at Gold Hydrogen Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gold Hydrogen Ltd is −5.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gold Hydrogen Ltd is −43.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY)?
Revenue at Gold Hydrogen Ltd is growing −41.7% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY) generate?
The free cash flow of Gold Hydrogen Ltd is −A$3.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY) hold?
Gold Hydrogen Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$11.4M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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