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Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Gold Hydrogen Ltd stock A$0.22, price A$0.42, that is 47.4% below the price, quality 32 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Energy AU · ISIN AU0000253171

GH Gold Hydrogen Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Gold Hydrogen Ltd

GHY · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 47% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter 42% below a year ago.
Fair value A$0.2209 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 32/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/7)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$2.09 A$0.1950 Fair Value A$0.2209 Jan 2023 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

46‑month range A$0.1950 – A$2.09 · fair‑value band A$0.1656 – A$0.2761 · the A$0.4200 price screens above the A$0.2209 fair value. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Gold Hydrogen Limited engages in the discovery, exploration, and development of hydrogen and helium gas in Australia. The company's flagship project is the Ramsay project covering an area of approximately 7,820 square kilometers located on the Yorke Peninsula and Kangaroo Island in South Australia.

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The company was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.

Stock analysis

Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY) currently trades at A$0.4200, while our estimate is A$0.2209, 47% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.1656 (bear) to A$0.2761 (bull), the price of A$0.4200 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Gold Hydrogen Ltd reported revenue of A$0 in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −A$2.5M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$75.8M (≈ $52.2M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −6.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.0% (5-year average) · Revenue (TTM) A$286K · Revenue growth (YoY) −41.7% · Free cash flow −A$2.2M · Net cash A$9.3M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at −47%, GHY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.1656 Fair Value A$0.2209 Bull A$0.2761
Price A$0.4200 · Downside -47.4%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 25
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 92
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 2
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 30
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 19
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

GHY screens overvalued: fair value 47% below the price. Compare with ConocoPhillips explores for, →

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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 286 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 32 · Below median
Fair Value upside −47.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5.3% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −41.7% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.70× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $178.08 $242.64 +36% vs GHY
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$22.76 HK$26.80 +18% vs GHY
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $48.24 $53.41 +11% vs GHY
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $151.51 $166.94 +10% vs GHY
EQT Corporation EQT $52.00 $54.90 +6% vs GHY
Woodside Energy Group WDS $21.07 $19.39 −8% vs GHY
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $43.41 $39.64 −9% vs GHY
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $135.59 $92.89 −31% vs GHY
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $56.90 $33.18 −42% vs GHY
Aker BP ASA AKRBP kr 314.60 kr 127.39 −60% vs GHY

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Gold Hydrogen Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gold Hydrogen Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GHY

Frequently asked questions

Is Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.2209 versus a price of A$0.4200, about 47% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GHY?
Our estimate for Gold Hydrogen Ltd is A$0.2209 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.4200.
What is the quality score of GHY?
Gold Hydrogen Ltd has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.2209 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.1656, optimistic scenario A$0.2761. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Gold Hydrogen Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.2209, about 47% lower versus a price of A$0.4200 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.1656, optimistic scenario A$0.2761. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY)?
Gold Hydrogen Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$286K (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gold Hydrogen Ltd it is A$0.2209 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.4200.
Is Gold Hydrogen Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, GHY trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.4200, fair value A$0.2209, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GHY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.4200); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.2209). For Gold Hydrogen Ltd the two are A$0.1991 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gold Hydrogen Ltd worth?
The market values Gold Hydrogen Ltd at about A$75.8M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.4200; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.2209 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GHY?
Our models span a range for Gold Hydrogen Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.1656, base A$0.2209, optimistic A$0.2761 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.4200). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gold Hydrogen Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −6.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GHY from its 52-week high?
Gold Hydrogen Ltd trades at A$0.4200, about 33% below its 52-week high of A$0.6250 and 40% above the low of A$0.3000 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.2209 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gold Hydrogen Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gold Hydrogen Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.4200, calculated fair value A$0.2209 (−47%), Quality Score 32/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Gold Hydrogen Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was A$0.4200. Our estimate is A$0.2209, about 47% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gold Hydrogen Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.2761). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Gold Hydrogen Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY)?
The market capitalisation of Gold Hydrogen Ltd is A$75.8M (≈ $52.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY)?
Earnings per share at Gold Hydrogen Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gold Hydrogen Ltd is −6.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gold Hydrogen Ltd is −6.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY)?
Revenue at Gold Hydrogen Ltd is growing −41.7% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY) generate?
The free cash flow of Gold Hydrogen Ltd is −A$2.2M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Gold Hydrogen Ltd (GHY) hold?
Gold Hydrogen Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$9.3M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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