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Global Industrial Company (GIC) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $1.3B

GI Global Industrial Company logo Global Industrial Company GIC · US
Price$39.13
Fair Value$29.28
Upside-25.2%
Quality67/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.33% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Moderate moat 56/100
Evidence: High Range $21.36 – $38.92 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +19.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($21.36 to $38.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$43.00 $19.98 Fair Value $29.28 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $19.98 – $43.00 · fair‑value band $21.36 – $38.92 · the $39.13 price screens above the $29.28 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Global Industrial Company (GIC) currently trades at $39.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $29.28, implying the stock looks roughly 25.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Global Industrial Company generated revenue of $1.4B at a net margin of 5.3%. Revenue grew 9.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.3%. Net debt stands at $36.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $21.36 (bear case) to $38.92 (bull case); at $39.13, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -25%, GIC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $18.40 $22.65 $29.71 80
Residual Income $10.31 $13.02 $35.95 76
Rev-Margin DCF $20.90 $30.27 $41.98 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $17.94 $22.39 $30.45 38
Owner Earnings $18.39 $22.97 $31.26 31
5Y Revenue Exit $20.90 $29.86 $43.22 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $21.86 $31.49 $44.57 41
5Y P/E Exit $23.25 $33.85 $46.83 38
10Y Revenue Exit $18.95 $25.75 $33.35 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $20.01 $26.71 $34.12 37
10Y P/E Exit $20.79 $28.11 $35.42 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $12.81 $19.35 $23.01 54
EPV $16.82 $18.87 $20.58 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $8.18 $9.25 $10.46 70
DDM Multi-Stage $8.18 $10.15 $12.42 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $29.68 $39.57 $49.47 63
P/S Multiple $24.03 $32.04 $40.04 58
P/B Multiple $24.03 $32.04 $40.04 55
EV/EBIT $34.29 $45.13 $55.97 53
EV/EBITDA $28.59 $37.54 $46.48 54
EV/Revenue $24.97 $34.92 $44.87 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.09 $5.48 $8.19 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $18.40 $22.65 $29.71 80
Rev-Margin DCF $20.90 $30.27 $41.98 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.31 $13.02 $35.95 76
ROIC Compounder $16.94 $19.34 $21.71 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $20.96 $29.94 $38.92 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($34.92) versus Asset-Based ($5.48). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.2%
Net margin 5.3%
Return on equity 24.3%
Free cash flow $74.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 17.4
More key figures
Operating margin 5.9%
EPS (TTM) $1.89
Dividend yield 3.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +20.3%
Net debt $36.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 77
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Global Industrial Company, through its subsidiaries, operates as an industrial distributor of various industrial and maintenance, repair, and operation (MRO) products in the United States and Canada.

Full company description

Global Industrial Company, through its subsidiaries, operates as an industrial distributor of various industrial and maintenance, repair, and operation (MRO) products in the United States and Canada. It offers storage and shelving products, safety and security products, carts and trucks, HVAC and fans, furniture and decor, material handling products, janitorial and facility maintenance products, workbenches and shop desks, tools and instruments, plumbing and pumps, office and school supplies, packaging and shipping products, lighting and electrical products, foodservice and retail products, medical and laboratory products, motors and power transmission products, building supplies, machining products, fasteners and hardware, vehicle maintenance products, and raw materials. The company distributes its industrial and MRO products under the Global, GlobalIndustrial.com, Nexel, Paramount, Interion, and Absocold brands. The company serves for-profit and not-for-profit businesses; state, local, and private educational organizations; and government entities, including federal, state, and local municipalities through relationship marketers, e-commerce sites, and catalogs. The company was formerly known as Systemax Inc and changed its name to Global Industrial Company in June 2021. Global Industrial Company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Port Washington, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Global Industrial Company reported revenue of $1.4B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was $72.1M in FY2025, compounding −8.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 71/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.4B
Latest YoY
+4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.0%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y)
+2.6%
Revenue +6.7%/yr
FY21 $1.1B
FY22 $1.2B
FY23 $1.3B
FY24 $1.3B
FY25 $1.4B
Net income −8.6%/yr
FY21 $103M
FY22 $78.8M
FY23 $70.7M
FY24 $61.0M
FY25 $72.1M

GIC screens 25% overvalued. Compare with W.W. Grainger, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Global Industrial Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GIC

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Industrial Distribution · 104 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −25% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.3% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 4.02× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.89× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 16.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.1× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.09× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 19
FUTURE 46 · sector 19
PAST 97 · sector 35
HEALTH 100 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 67 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW $1,376 $625.61 -55%
Fastenal Company FAST $45.49 $20.64 -55%
Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG $232.02 $151.92 -35%
WESCO International, Inc WCC $326.71 $213.01 -35%
Watsco, Inc WSO $385.16 $268.10 -30%
Toromont Industries Ltd TIH C$232.22 C$127.90 -45%
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT $329.35 $191.65 -42%
Finning International Inc FTT C$102.50 C$76.38 -25%
Addtech AB ADDTB kr 329.20 kr 156.35 -53%
Core & Main, Inc CNM $44.66 $49.47 +11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Global Industrial Company (GIC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $29.28 versus a price of $39.13, about −25% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GIC?
Our model-based fair value for Global Industrial Company is $29.28 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $39.13.
What is the quality score of GIC?
Global Industrial Company has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Global Industrial Company (GIC)?
Global Industrial Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GIC?
The net profit margin of Global Industrial Company is about 5.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Global Industrial Company pay a dividend?
Global Industrial Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.33% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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