Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V MXN 42.88, price MXN 31.50, upside +36.1%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 17.53 MXN – 31.86 MXN · fair‑value band 32.16 MXN – 53.60 MXN · the 31.50 MXN price screens below the 42.88 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Grupo Gigante, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, operates convenience stores and restaurants in Mexico, Central America, and Chile. The company operates through Convenience Stores, Prisa Distribution, Restaurants, Real Estate, and Other segments.
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Grupo Gigante, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, operates convenience stores and restaurants in Mexico, Central America, and Chile. The company operates through Convenience Stores, Prisa Distribution, Restaurants, Real Estate, and Other segments. It also operates stationery stores; and office supplies stores, including furniture and electronic products. In addition, the company distributes and provides inventory management services for office products; manages and operates parking lots parking lots; and sells merchandise, as well as engages in the real estate activities. Grupo Gigante, S. A. B. de C. V. was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
Stock analysis
Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE) currently trades at 31.50 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 42.88 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 26.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 57.25 MXN per share, and 20 of the 25 models we run sit above the 31.50 MXN price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 19.07 MXN, and 5 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 32.16 MXN (bear) to 53.60 MXN (bull), the price of 31.50 MXN sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V reported revenue of 35.9B MXN in FY2025 versus 28.2B MXN in FY2021, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was 2.0B MXN in FY2025, compounding +3.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 31.3B MXN (≈ $1.8B) · P/E ratio 15.5 · P/S ratio 0.88 · EPS (TTM) 2.03 MXN · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 5.6% · Return on equity 7.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 36%, GIGANTE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 32.16 MXNFair Value 42.88 MXNBull 53.60 MXN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.19 MXN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.74/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.1% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MXN ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+12.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−2% → 10%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Mexico: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.5% a year for the price.
Compare Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Retail · 226 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside+36% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.25× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GIGANTE
Frequently asked questions
Is Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 42.88 MXN versus a price of 31.50 MXN, about +36% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GIGANTE?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V is 42.88 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 31.50 MXN.
What is the quality score of GIGANTE?
Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 42.88 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 32.16 MXN, optimistic scenario 53.60 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 42.88 MXN, about +36% upside versus a price of 31.50 MXN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 32.16 MXN, optimistic scenario 53.60 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE)?
Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 36.0B MXN (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V pay a dividend?
Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.30% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V would have to grow free cash flow by +2.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GIGANTE use?
Our models discount Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), country premium for Mexico. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V that is +2.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V grew +7.0 % a year. The price currently implies +2.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (+2.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.43 %: that much free cash flow Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V it is 42.88 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 31.50 MXN. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GIGANTE trades below its calculated fair value: price 31.50 MXN, fair value 42.88 MXN, a gap of about +36% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GIGANTE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (31.50 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (42.88 MXN). For Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V the two are 11.38 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V worth?
The market values Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V at about 31.3B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 31.50 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 42.88 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GIGANTE?
Our models span a range for Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V: cautious scenario 32.16 MXN, base 42.88 MXN, optimistic 53.60 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 31.50 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GIGANTE?
Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 42.88 MXN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 10.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.5%, debt of 0.25 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GIGANTE from its 52-week high?
Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V trades at 31.50 MXN, about 1% below its 52-week high of 31.86 MXN and 7% above the low of 29.40 MXN (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 42.88 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc, Casey's General Stores, Inc, Williams-Sonoma, Inc, Ulta Beauty, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 31.50 MXN, calculated fair value 42.88 MXN (+36%), Quality Score 58/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GIGANTE calculated?
We run Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 42.88 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V currently trades 36 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was 31.50 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 42.88 MXN, about +36% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (32.16 MXN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V
How large is the market capitalisation of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE)?
The market capitalisation of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V is 31.3B MXN (≈ $1.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V is 0.88 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE)?
Earnings per share at Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V are 2.03 MXN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE)?
The dividend yield of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V is 1.3% (payout 20.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE)?
The net margin of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V is 5.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V is 5.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE)?
The operating margin of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V is 8.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE)?
Revenue at Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V is growing +0.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE)?
Earnings per share at Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V are growing −1.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V (GIGANTE) carry?
The net debt of Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V is 5.4B MXN (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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