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Grupo Gigante, S. A. B. de C. V., (GIGANTE) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · MX · Market cap 30.0B MXN

GG Grupo Gigante, S. A. B. de C. V., GIGANTE · MX
Price30.20 MXN
Fair Value42.88 MXN
Upside+42.0%
Quality58/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.36% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: High Range 29.93 MXN – 53.60 MXN Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −5.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 42% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from 29.93 MXN (bear) to 53.60 MXN (bull), base 42.88 MXN. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 58/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

31.86 MXN 17.53 MXN Fair Value 42.88 MXN Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 17.53 MXN – 31.86 MXN · fair‑value band 29.93 MXN – 53.60 MXN · the 30.20 MXN price screens below the 42.88 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Grupo Gigante, S. A. B. de C. V., (GIGANTE) currently trades at 30.20 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 42.88 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 42.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Grupo Gigante, S. A. B. de C. V., generated revenue of 36.0B MXN at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue grew 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. Net debt stands at 5.4B MXN. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 29.93 MXN (bear case) to 53.60 MXN (bull case); at 30.20 MXN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at 42%, GIGANTE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 33.54 MXN 49.31 MXN 71.20 MXN 80
Residual Income 23.09 MXN 24.31 MXN 26.32 MXN 76
Rev-Margin DCF 29.93 MXN 47.89 MXN 67.66 MXN 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 32.64 MXN 49.91 MXN 75.11 MXN 38
Owner Earnings 24.71 MXN 38.15 MXN 57.78 MXN 31
5Y Revenue Exit 29.93 MXN 47.60 MXN 69.57 MXN 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 40.56 MXN 66.86 MXN 96.69 MXN 41
5Y P/E Exit 27.83 MXN 43.81 MXN 59.91 MXN 38
10Y Revenue Exit 29.62 MXN 45.74 MXN 66.15 MXN 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 37.29 MXN 58.87 MXN 86.23 MXN 37
10Y P/E Exit 29.28 MXN 43.15 MXN 59.00 MXN 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 13.89 MXN 36.26 MXN 47.30 MXN 54
PEG = 1.0 6.90 MXN 9.86 MXN 12.82 MXN 46
EPV 27.94 MXN 33.12 MXN 37.66 MXN 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 2.30 MXN 4.62 MXN 7.57 MXN 70
DDM Multi-Stage 2.30 MXN 3.53 MXN 4.86 MXN 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 32.16 MXN 42.88 MXN 53.60 MXN 63
P/S Multiple 26.04 MXN 34.71 MXN 43.39 MXN 58
P/B Multiple 26.04 MXN 34.71 MXN 43.39 MXN 55
EV/EBIT 43.74 MXN 59.37 MXN 75.01 MXN 53
EV/EBITDA 51.52 MXN 69.75 MXN 87.98 MXN 54
EV/Revenue 30.31 MXN 44.66 MXN 59.01 MXN 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 14.23 MXN 19.07 MXN 28.46 MXN 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 33.54 MXN 49.31 MXN 71.20 MXN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 29.93 MXN 47.89 MXN 67.66 MXN 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 23.09 MXN 24.31 MXN 26.32 MXN 76
ROIC Compounder 27.94 MXN 35.08 MXN 43.91 MXN 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 25.11 MXN 35.88 MXN 46.64 MXN 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (47.89 MXN) versus Dividend Discount (3.53 MXN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 36.0B MXN
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.2%
Net margin 5.6%
Return on equity 7.5%
Free cash flow 3.3B MXN FY2025
P/E ratio 15.9
More key figures
Operating margin 8.6%
EPS (TTM) 2.03 MXN
EPS growth (YoY) -1.8%
Net debt 5.4B MXN FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 49
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Grupo Gigante, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, operates convenience stores and restaurants in Mexico, Central America, and Chile. The company operates through Convenience Stores, Prisa Distribution, Restaurants, Real Estate, and Other segments.

Full company description

Grupo Gigante, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, operates convenience stores and restaurants in Mexico, Central America, and Chile. The company operates through Convenience Stores, Prisa Distribution, Restaurants, Real Estate, and Other segments. It also operates stationery stores; and office supplies stores, including furniture and electronic products. In addition, the company distributes and provides inventory management services for office products; manages and operates parking lots parking lots; and sells merchandise, as well as engages in the real estate activities. Grupo Gigante, S. A. B. de C. V. was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Grupo Gigante, S. A. B. de C. V., reported revenue of 35.9B MXN in FY2025 versus 28.2B MXN in FY2021, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was 2.0B MXN in FY2025, compounding +3.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 74/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
35.9B MXN
Latest YoY
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+1.2%
Revenue +6.3%/yr
FY21 28.2B MXN
FY22 31.8B MXN
FY23 33.5B MXN
FY24 35.2B MXN
FY25 35.9B MXN
Net income +3.3%/yr
FY21 1.8B MXN
FY22 1.9B MXN
FY23 1.9B MXN
FY24 1.6B MXN
FY25 2.0B MXN

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupo Gigante, S. A. B. de C. V., Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GIGANTE

Peer Group

Specialty Retail · 221 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +42% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.25× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.06× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.84× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 89 · sector 31
FUTURE 1 · sector 23
PAST 30 · sector 27
HEALTH 88 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 27 · sector 51

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $827.04 $405.44 -51%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $222.84 $164.16 -26%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $479.57 $488.39 +2%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $208.89 $181.10 -13%
Best Buy Co BBY $83.98 $109.12 +30%
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥52.90 ¥40.40 -24%
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $31.01 $35.52 +15%
Murphy USA Inc MUSA $618.57 $423.35 -32%
Five Below, Inc FIVE $197.71 $117.29 -41%
Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 110.50 TWD 80.98 TWD -27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Grupo Gigante, S. A. B. de C. V., (GIGANTE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 42.88 MXN versus a price of 30.20 MXN, about +42% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GIGANTE?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo Gigante, S. A. B. de C. V., is 42.88 MXN (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 30.20 MXN.
What is the quality score of GIGANTE?
Grupo Gigante, S. A. B. de C. V., has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Grupo Gigante, S. A. B. de C. V., (GIGANTE)?
Grupo Gigante, S. A. B. de C. V., reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 36.0B MXN (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GIGANTE?
The net profit margin of Grupo Gigante, S. A. B. de C. V., is about 5.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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