GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (GINISILK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 9, 2026: fair value of GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ ₹41.42, price ₹61.58, upside -32.7%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹31.44 – ₹161.00 · fair‑value band ₹29.79 – ₹52.63 · the ₹61.58 price screens above the ₹41.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Follow GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Gini Silk Mills Limited manufactures and sells shirting and suiting products under the GINI brand in India and internationally. The company offers cotton blend fabric, printed cotton fabric, linen, bamboo, lyocell, viscose, polyester cotton, and polyester fabrics. The company was founded in 1963 and is based in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (GINISILK) currently trades at ₹61.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹41.42, 32.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of ₹64.30 per share, and 4 of the 20 models we run sit above the ₹61.58 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹9.13, and 16 of the 20 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹29.79 (bear) to ₹52.63 (bull), the price of ₹61.58 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ reported revenue of ₹390M in FY2026 versus ₹309M in FY2022, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹15.9M in FY2026, compounding +43.1%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap ₹344M (≈ $3.6M) · P/E ratio 15.5 · P/S ratio 0.63 · EPS (TTM) ₹3.97 · Net margin 4.1% · Return on equity 3.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.1% · Operating margin −5.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −33%, GINISILK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹29.79Fair Value ₹41.42Bull ₹52.63
Price ₹61.58 · Upside -32.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹2.12 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF₹32.97₹45.70₹62.7679
Growth DCF₹33.91₹45.82₹61.1877
Owner Earnings₹53.61₹74.34₹102.1575
All 20 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF₹32.97₹45.70₹62.7679
Owner Earnings₹53.61₹74.34₹102.1575
5Y Revenue Exit₹27.75₹40.09₹55.0171
5Y EBITDA Exit₹23.15₹32.02₹41.6074
5Y P/E Exit₹37.93₹57.94₹77.5869
10Y Revenue Exit₹28.80₹39.93₹53.1865
10Y EBITDA Exit₹26.70₹34.63₹43.7568
10Y P/E Exit₹35.69₹51.64₹69.0662
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd₹19.28₹41.42₹52.6364
PEG = 1.0₹6.39₹9.13₹11.8755
Multiples
P/E Multiple₹46.79₹62.38₹77.9863
P/S Multiple₹36.15₹48.20₹60.2658
P/B Multiple₹36.15₹48.20₹60.2655
EV/EBITDA₹19.62₹26.09₹32.5667
EV/Revenue₹26.28₹37.46₹48.6353
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)₹46.32₹62.07₹92.6454
Growth DCF
Growth DCF₹33.91₹45.82₹61.1877
Rev-Margin DCF₹27.75₹40.59₹54.1671
Economic Profit
Residual Income₹66.51₹64.30₹64.5868
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E₹34.45₹49.22₹63.9865
P/S and P/B multiple show the same value here: both are capped by the same earnings anchor (earnings per share times 17), because margin and return on equity do not support the sector multiple.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+7.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−15% → −1%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.8% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 336 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−32.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3.1% · Below median
Return on assets−0.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)5.7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)−5.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1.0% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)15.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.66× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)0.88× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF21.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA43.4× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 35
PAST (return on equity)13· sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 37
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (GINISILK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹41.42 versus a price of ₹61.58, about −33% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GINISILK?
Our model-based fair value for GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ is ₹41.42 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹61.58.
What is the quality score of GINISILK?
GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (GINISILK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹41.42 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹29.79, optimistic scenario ₹52.63. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹41.42, about −33% upside versus a price of ₹61.58 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹29.79, optimistic scenario ₹52.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (GINISILK)?
GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹390M (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (GINISILK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ would have to grow free cash flow by +15.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.4 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GINISILK use?
Our models discount GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.38, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ that is +15.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (GINISILK) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ grew +18.4 % a year. The price currently implies +15.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (GINISILK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +6.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (+15.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (GINISILK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.65 %: that much free cash flow GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (GINISILK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ it is ₹41.42 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ₹61.58. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, GINISILK trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹61.58, fair value ₹41.42, a gap of about −33% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GINISILK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹61.58); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹41.42). For GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ the two are ₹20.16 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ worth?
The market values GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ at about ₹344M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ₹61.58; our models calculate a fair value of ₹41.42 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GINISILK?
Our models span a range for GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$: cautious scenario ₹29.79, base ₹41.42, optimistic ₹52.63 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ₹61.58). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GINISILK?
GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.5 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹41.42 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2019 to 2026), reported earnings: 15.6. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 43.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (GINISILK)?
Balance-sheet figures for GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 3.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GINISILK from its 52-week high?
GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ trades at ₹61.58, about 17% below its 52-week high of ₹73.80 and 39% above the low of ₹44.20 (as of Oct 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹41.42 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tongkun Group, Shenzhou International Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, Far Eastern New Century Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ₹61.58, calculated fair value ₹41.42 (−33%), Quality Score 59/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GINISILK calculated?
We run GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹41.42, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (GINISILK)?
The closing price on Oct 9, 2026 was ₹61.58. Our model-based fair value is ₹41.42, about −33% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹52.63). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$
How large is the market capitalisation of GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (GINISILK)?
The market capitalisation of GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ is ₹344M (≈ $3.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (GINISILK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ is 0.63 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (GINISILK)?
Earnings per share at GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ are ₹3.97 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (GINISILK)?
The net margin of GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ is 4.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (GINISILK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (GINISILK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ is 0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (GINISILK)?
The operating margin of GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ is −5.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (GINISILK)?
Revenue at GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ is growing −1.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (GINISILK)?
Earnings per share at GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ are growing +452% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ (GINISILK) carry?
The net debt of GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ is ₹31.4M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 2.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ in the live analysis
One click puts GINI SILK MILLS LTD.-$ on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener.
