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GIPTA Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TR · Market cap 8.1B TRY

G GIPTA GIPTA · IS
Price67.65 TRY
Fair Value33.91 TRY
Upside-49.9%
Quality41/100
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Healthy Growth
Loss-making · -12.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.47% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: High Range 25.44 TRY – 42.39 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +6.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 50% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (42.39 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

152.66 TRY 24.36 TRY Fair Value 33.91 TRY Sep 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

35‑month range 24.36 TRY – 152.66 TRY · fair‑value band 25.44 TRY – 42.39 TRY · the 67.65 TRY price screens above the 33.91 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

GIPTA (GIPTA) currently trades at 67.65 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 33.91 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 49.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, GIPTA generated revenue of 2.3B TRY at a net margin of -12.2%. Revenue declined 28.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.1%. Net debt stands at 14.0M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 25.44 TRY (bear case) to 42.39 TRY (bull case); at 67.65 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at -50%, GIPTA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 31.29 TRY 49.13 TRY 77.86 TRY 80
Residual Income 20.10 TRY 21.07 TRY 21.91 TRY 76
Rev-Margin DCF 41.11 TRY 67.26 TRY 121.77 TRY 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 32.57 TRY 43.92 TRY 79.29 TRY 38
Owner Earnings 37.56 TRY 69.19 TRY 133.17 TRY 31
5Y Revenue Exit 38.17 TRY 60.30 TRY 106.83 TRY 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 40.61 TRY 65.22 TRY 113.56 TRY 41
5Y P/E Exit 36.34 TRY 68.01 TRY 111.34 TRY 38
10Y Revenue Exit 35.75 TRY 70.59 TRY 94.60 TRY 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 38.62 TRY 75.71 TRY 141.62 TRY 37
10Y P/E Exit 35.57 TRY 66.73 TRY 118.33 TRY 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 11.53 TRY 80.42 TRY 112.85 TRY 54
Lynch FV 41.55 TRY 59.35 TRY 77.16 TRY 50
PEG = 1.0 41.55 TRY 59.35 TRY 77.16 TRY 46
EPV 32.11 TRY 35.36 TRY 38.16 TRY 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 10.45 TRY 20.82 TRY 31.53 TRY 70
DDM Multi-Stage 10.45 TRY 18.00 TRY 21.98 TRY 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 25.44 TRY 33.91 TRY 42.39 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 21.62 TRY 28.83 TRY 36.03 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 21.62 TRY 28.83 TRY 36.03 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 50.21 TRY 63.09 TRY 75.98 TRY 53
EV/EBITDA 42.76 TRY 53.17 TRY 63.57 TRY 54
EV/Revenue 37.61 TRY 48.77 TRY 59.94 TRY 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 12.57 TRY 16.84 TRY 25.13 TRY 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 31.29 TRY 49.13 TRY 77.86 TRY 80
Rev-Margin DCF 41.11 TRY 67.26 TRY 121.77 TRY 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 20.10 TRY 21.07 TRY 21.91 TRY 76
ROIC Compounder 38.70 TRY 51.26 TRY 60.31 TRY 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 53.53 TRY 76.48 TRY 99.42 TRY 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (76.48 TRY) versus Asset-Based (16.84 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.3B TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) -28.0%
Net margin -12.2%
Return on equity -8.1%
Free cash flow 174M TRY FY2025
P/E ratio 3.7
More key figures
Operating margin 11.8%
EPS (TTM) 16.63 TRY
Dividend yield 2.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +4.2%
Net debt 14.0M TRY FY2020

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Gipta Ofis Kirtasiye ve Promosyon Ürünleri Imalat Sanayi A.S. manufactures and sells paper products in Turkey and internationally. The company offers stationary, planners, notebook, notepads, agendas, calendars, office and kids, gift box and bag, and promotional products. It also exports its products to Europe, the Balkans, and the Middle East.

Full company description

Gipta Ofis Kirtasiye ve Promosyon Ürünleri Imalat Sanayi A.S. manufactures and sells paper products in Turkey and internationally. The company offers stationary, planners, notebook, notepads, agendas, calendars, office and kids, gift box and bag, and promotional products. It also exports its products to Europe, the Balkans, and the Middle East. Gipta Ofis Kirtasiye ve Promosyon Ürünleri Imalat Sanayi A.S. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Ankara, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

GIPTA reported revenue of 2.3B TRY in FY2025 versus 153M TRY in FY2021, a compound +96.0%/yr. Reported net income was 224M TRY in FY2025, compounding +96.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.3B TRY
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+161.2%
Revenue +96.0%/yr
FY21 153M TRY
FY22 1.3B TRY
FY23 1.9B TRY
FY24 2.7B TRY
FY25 2.3B TRY
Net income +96.5%/yr
FY21 15.0M TRY
FY22 2.3M TRY
FY23 199M TRY
FY24 238M TRY
FY25 224M TRY

GIPTA screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Casey's General Stores, Inc →

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DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
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GIPTA · Fair Value
33.91 TRY −50%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GIPTA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GIPTA

Peer Group

Specialty Retail · 221 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −50% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -28% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.08× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 31
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 27
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 49 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $827.04 $405.44 -51%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $222.84 $164.16 -26%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $479.57 $488.39 +2%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $208.89 $181.10 -13%
Best Buy Co BBY $83.98 $109.12 +30%
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥52.90 ¥40.40 -24%
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $31.01 $35.52 +15%
Murphy USA Inc MUSA $618.57 $423.35 -32%
Five Below, Inc FIVE $197.71 $117.29 -41%
Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 110.50 TWD 80.98 TWD -27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is GIPTA overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 33.91 TRY versus a price of 67.65 TRY, about −50% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GIPTA?
Our model-based fair value for GIPTA is 33.91 TRY (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 67.65 TRY.
What is the quality score of GIPTA?
GIPTA has a Quality Score of 41/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of GIPTA?
GIPTA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.3B TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GIPTA?
The net profit margin of GIPTA is about -12.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does GIPTA pay a dividend?
GIPTA currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.47% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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