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Grupo Industrial Saltillo, S.A. (GISSAA) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · MX · Market cap 3.7B MXN

GI Grupo Industrial Saltillo, S.A. GISSAA · MX
Price12.00 MXN
Fair Value3.58 MXN
Upside-70.2%
Quality49/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -1.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: High Range 1.98 MXN – 3.58 MXN Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 1.79 MXN to 3.58 MXN (+100.0%) since Jul 16, 2026.

Below-average quality, and screening another 70% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.58 MXN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (1.98 MXN to 3.58 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

29.02 MXN 9.52 MXN Fair Value 3.58 MXN May 2020 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 9.52 MXN – 29.02 MXN · fair‑value band 1.98 MXN – 3.58 MXN · the 12.00 MXN price screens above the 3.58 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Grupo Industrial Saltillo, S.A. (GISSAA) currently trades at 12.00 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.58 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 70.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Grupo Industrial Saltillo, S.A. generated revenue of 1.0B MXN at a net margin of -1.0%. Revenue grew 7.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.8%. Net debt stands at 218M MXN. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.98 MXN (bear case) to 3.58 MXN (bull case); at 12.00 MXN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -70%, GISSAA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (0.0200 MXN to 3.69 MXN). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.4100 MXN 0.7600 MXN 1.35 MXN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.0200 MXN 0.2000 MXN 74
Gordon GGM 0.7600 MXN 0.8300 MXN 0.9300 MXN 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.3700 MXN 0.7300 MXN 1.40 MXN 38
Owner Earnings 0.2300 MXN 31
5Y Revenue Exit 0.1500 MXN 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 1.43 MXN 2.68 MXN 4.34 MXN 41
10Y Revenue Exit 0.0600 MXN 0.1600 MXN 0.2600 MXN 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.9900 MXN 1.79 MXN 2.66 MXN 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.7600 MXN 0.8300 MXN 0.9300 MXN 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.7600 MXN 0.9400 MXN 1.18 MXN 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 2.61 MXN 3.69 MXN 4.78 MXN 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.8700 MXN 1.17 MXN 1.74 MXN 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.4100 MXN 0.7600 MXN 1.35 MXN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.0200 MXN 0.2000 MXN 74

Widest divergence: Multiples (3.69 MXN) versus Growth DCF (0.0200 MXN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.0B MXN
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.2%
Net margin -1.0%
Return on equity -1.8%
Free cash flow 33.2M MXN FY2025
Operating margin 2.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.4400 MXN
EPS growth (YoY) +1,087%
Net debt 218M MXN FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 24
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Grupo Industrial Saltillo, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, sale, and marketing of auto parts and housewares in Mexico, the United States, other Latin American countries, Countries in the European zone, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Auto Parts and Home.

Full company description

Grupo Industrial Saltillo, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, sale, and marketing of auto parts and housewares in Mexico, the United States, other Latin American countries, Countries in the European zone, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Auto Parts and Home. The company offers gray and ductile iron, and aluminum components, as well as brakes, engines, and chassis for automotive industry. It also provides kitchen and tableware items, such as vitrified steel, and aluminum. In addition, the company engages in manufacture and sale of ceramic coatings. It sells its products under the Draxton and Cinsa brands. Grupo Industrial Saltillo, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1928 and is based in Saltillo, Mexico.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Grupo Industrial Saltillo, S.A. reported revenue of 994M MXN in FY2025 versus 997M MXN in FY2021, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was −13.7M MXN in FY2025.

Growth Quality 37/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
994M MXN
Latest YoY
−1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.0%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.6%
Revenue −0.1%/yr
FY21 997M MXN
FY22 969M MXN
FY23 1.0B MXN
FY24 1.0B MXN
FY25 994M MXN
Net income
FY21 18.6M MXN
FY22 38.8M MXN
FY23 17.3M MXN
FY24 −4.7M MXN
FY25 −13.7M MXN

GISSAA screens 70% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupo Industrial Saltillo, S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GISSAA

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 641 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −70% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.52× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.40× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.21× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 6.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 17
FUTURE 36 · sector 24
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 74 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 482,000 KRW 678,420 KRW +41%
Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Grupo Industrial Saltillo, S.A. (GISSAA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.58 MXN versus a price of 12.00 MXN, about −70% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GISSAA?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo Industrial Saltillo, S.A. is 3.58 MXN (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 12.00 MXN.
What is the quality score of GISSAA?
Grupo Industrial Saltillo, S.A. has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Grupo Industrial Saltillo, S.A. (GISSAA)?
Grupo Industrial Saltillo, S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0B MXN (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GISSAA?
The net profit margin of Grupo Industrial Saltillo, S.A. is about -1.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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