Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (GISSAA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V MXN 14.36, price MXN 12.94, upside +11.0%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 9.52 MXN – 29.02 MXN · fair‑value band 14.36 MXN – 24.18 MXN · the 12.94 MXN price screens below the 14.36 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Grupo Industrial Saltillo, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, sale, and marketing of auto parts and housewares in Mexico, the United States, other Latin American countries, Countries in the European zone, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Auto Parts and Home.
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Grupo Industrial Saltillo, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, sale, and marketing of auto parts and housewares in Mexico, the United States, other Latin American countries, Countries in the European zone, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Auto Parts and Home. The company offers gray and ductile iron, and aluminum components, as well as brakes, engines, and chassis for automotive industry. It also provides kitchen and tableware items, such as vitrified steel, and aluminum. In addition, the company engages in manufacture and sale of ceramic coatings. It sells its products under the Draxton and Cinsa brands. Grupo Industrial Saltillo, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1928 and is based in Saltillo, Mexico.
Stock analysis
Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (GISSAA) currently trades at 12.94 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 14.36 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 9.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 16 models at a data quality of 90/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 14.36 MXN (bear) to 24.18 MXN (bull), the price of 12.94 MXN sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V reported revenue of $994M in FY2025 versus $997M in FY2021, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$13.7M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 3.9B MXN (≈ $225M) · P/S ratio 3.61 · EPS (TTM) −0.4400 MXN · Net margin −1.4% · Return on equity −1.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4% · Operating margin 2.8% · Revenue (TTM) 1.0B MXN.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 11%, GISSAA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (0.0600 MXN to 3.69 MXN). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 14.36 MXNFair Value 14.36 MXNBull 24.18 MXN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.37/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −21.6% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.6% (2020) → 0.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+62.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Mexico: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +56.9% a year for the price.
Compare Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 692 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside+11% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.52× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GISSAA
Frequently asked questions
Is Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (GISSAA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 14.36 MXN versus a price of 12.94 MXN, about +11% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GISSAA?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V is 14.36 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 12.94 MXN.
What is the quality score of GISSAA?
Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (GISSAA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 14.36 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario 14.36 MXN, optimistic scenario 24.18 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 14.36 MXN, about +11% upside versus a price of 12.94 MXN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 14.36 MXN, optimistic scenario 24.18 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (GISSAA)?
Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0B MXN (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (GISSAA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V would have to grow free cash flow by +62.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GISSAA use?
Our models discount Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V at 15.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Mexico. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V that is +62.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (GISSAA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V grew +6.0 % a year. The price currently implies +62.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (GISSAA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (+62.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (GISSAA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.84 %: that much free cash flow Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (GISSAA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V it is 14.36 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 12.94 MXN. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GISSAA trades below its calculated fair value: price 12.94 MXN, fair value 14.36 MXN, a gap of about +11% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GISSAA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (12.94 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (14.36 MXN). For Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V the two are 1.42 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V worth?
The market values Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V at about 3.9B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 12.94 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 14.36 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GISSAA?
Our models span a range for Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V: cautious scenario 14.36 MXN, base 14.36 MXN, optimistic 24.18 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 12.94 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (GISSAA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −1.8%, debt of 0.52 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GISSAA from its 52-week high?
Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V trades at 12.94 MXN, about 8% below its 52-week high of 14.11 MXN and 18% above the low of 10.92 MXN (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 14.36 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 12.94 MXN, calculated fair value 14.36 MXN (+11%), Quality Score 49/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GISSAA calculated?
We run Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 14.36 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V currently trades 11 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (GISSAA)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 12.94 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 14.36 MXN, about +11% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (14.36 MXN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V
How large is the market capitalisation of Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (GISSAA)?
The market capitalisation of Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V is 3.9B MXN (≈ $225M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (GISSAA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V is 3.61 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (GISSAA)?
Earnings per share at Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V are −0.4400 MXN. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (GISSAA)?
The net margin of Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V is −1.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (GISSAA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V is −1.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (GISSAA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V is 1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (GISSAA)?
The operating margin of Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V is 2.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (GISSAA)?
Revenue at Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V is growing +7.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (GISSAA)?
Earnings per share at Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V are growing +10.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V (GISSAA) carry?
The net debt of Grupo Industrial Saltillo S.A.B. de C.V is 218M MXN (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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