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GLP J-REIT (GLPJF) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $4.0B

GJ GLP J-REIT logo GLP J-REIT GLPJF · US
Price$824.70
Fair Value$530.91
Upside-35.6%
Quality64/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 56.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
5.16% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/11)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range $369.31 – $762.54 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 26, 2026, revised from $539.61 to $530.91 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026.

A solid business, but screening 36% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($762.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($369.31 to $762.54) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$975.25 $713.88 Fair Value $530.91 Jun 2023 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

38‑month range $713.88 – $975.25 · fair‑value band $369.31 – $762.54 · the $824.70 price screens above the $530.91 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

GLP J-REIT (GLPJF) currently trades at $824.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $530.91, implying the stock looks roughly 35.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, GLP J-REIT generated revenue of $54.8B at a net margin of 56.5%. Revenue declined 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.9%. Net debt stands at $358B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $369.31 (bear case) to $762.54 (bull case); at $824.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -36%, GLPJF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $43,667 $105,555 $198,460 80
Residual Income $74,931 $78,152 $81,626 61
P/S Multiple $60,543 $80,724 $100,905 58
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $42,931 $106,856 $204,347 38
5Y Revenue Exit $11,055 $51,385 $102,613 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $39,333 $105,859 $184,663 41
10Y Revenue Exit $19,886 $59,716 $113,478 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $39,556 $97,283 $176,398 37
Multiples
P/S Multiple $60,543 $80,724 $100,905 58
P/B Multiple $82,671 $110,228 $137,785 55
EV/EBIT $52,673 $91,850 $131,027 53
EV/EBITDA $49,061 $87,034 $125,007 54
EV/Revenue $22,075 $48,155 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $47,105 $63,120 $94,209 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $43,667 $105,555 $198,460 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income $74,931 $78,152 $81,626 61

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($105,555) versus Asset-Based ($63,120). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $54.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.2%
Net margin 56.5%
Return on equity 6.9%
Free cash flow $46.2B FY2025
P/E ratio 20.4
More key figures
Operating margin 56.3%
EPS (TTM) $40.33
Dividend yield 5.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +17.1%
Net debt $358B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 91
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

GLP J-REIT is a real estate investment corporation (J-REIT) specializing in logistics facilities, and it primarily invests in modern logistics facilities. GLP J-REIT was founded in accordance with the Act on Investment Trusts and Investment Corporations with GLP Japan Advisors Inc. (hereinafter the Asset Manager) as the founder.

Full company description

GLP J-REIT is a real estate investment corporation (J-REIT) specializing in logistics facilities, and it primarily invests in modern logistics facilities. GLP J-REIT was founded in accordance with the Act on Investment Trusts and Investment Corporations with GLP Japan Advisors Inc. (hereinafter the Asset Manager) as the founder. It has its units listed on the Real Estate Investment Trust Market of the Tokyo Stock Exchange since December 21, 2012. Investing in highly functional modern logistics facilities and taking advantage of the wealth of experience and management resources with GLP Japan Inc. (Note) as the sponsor, GLP J-REIT aims to earn stable income and achieve steady growth in assets under management over the medium and long terms. Since the inception of its operation as a listed J-REIT with 30 properties (total acquisition price of 208,731 million yen) in January 2013, GLP J-REIT has been steadily expanding its assets through the continuous acquisitions of properties. As of the end of the current fiscal period, GLP J-REIT owns 85 properties (total acquisition price of 869,529 million yen). Effective March 1, 2025, GLP Japan Inc. became part of Ares Management Corporation. GLP J-REIT was established on September 16, 2011 and incorporated in Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

GLP J-REIT reported revenue of $59.6B in FY2025 versus $45.8B in FY2021, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was $31.1B in FY2025, compounding +8.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$59.6B
Latest YoY
+11.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.0%
Revenue +6.8%/yr
FY21 $45.8B
FY22 $49.7B
FY23 $54.3B
FY24 $53.3B
FY25 $59.6B
Net income +8.2%/yr
FY21 $22.7B
FY22 $25.0B
FY23 $27.2B
FY24 $26.7B
FY25 $31.1B

GLPJF screens 36% overvalued. Compare with Prologis, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GLP J-REIT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GLPJF

Peer Group

REIT - Industrial · 63 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −36% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 56% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 56% · Below median
Revenue growth -1% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.77× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.4× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 5
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 27 · sector 27
HEALTH 61 · sector 76
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Prologis, Inc PLD $143.42 $61.28 -57%
Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA $322.48 $172.80 -46%
Extra Space Storage Inc EXR $147.71 $78.38 -47%
EastGroup Properties, Inc EGP $213.10 $81.41 -62%
Lineage, Inc LINE $41.42 $47.91 +16%
CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U 2.51 SGD 2.00 SGD -20%
CubeSmart CUBE $42.09 $25.06 -40%
First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR $66.99 $21.48 -68%
Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR $39.00 $21.35 -45%
STAG Industrial, Inc STAG $41.11 $24.31 -41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is GLP J-REIT (GLPJF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $530.91 versus a price of $824.70, about −36% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GLPJF?
Our model-based fair value for GLP J-REIT is $530.91 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $824.70.
What is the quality score of GLPJF?
GLP J-REIT has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of GLP J-REIT (GLPJF)?
GLP J-REIT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $54.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GLPJF?
The net profit margin of GLP J-REIT is about 56.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 56.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does GLP J-REIT pay a dividend?
GLP J-REIT currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.16% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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