GLP J-REIT (GLPJF) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $4.0B
Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 26, 2026, revised from $539.61 to $530.91 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026.
A solid business, but screening 36% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($762.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($369.31 to $762.54) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
38‑month range $713.88 – $975.25 · fair‑value band $369.31 – $762.54 · the $824.70 price screens above the $530.91 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
Analysis
GLP J-REIT (GLPJF) currently trades at $824.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $530.91, implying the stock looks roughly 35.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, GLP J-REIT generated revenue of $54.8B at a net margin of 56.5%. Revenue declined 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.9%. Net debt stands at $358B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $369.31 (bear case) to $762.54 (bull case); at $824.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -36%, GLPJF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($105,555) versus Asset-Based ($63,120). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GLP J-REIT is a real estate investment corporation (J-REIT) specializing in logistics facilities, and it primarily invests in modern logistics facilities. GLP J-REIT was founded in accordance with the Act on Investment Trusts and Investment Corporations with GLP Japan Advisors Inc. (hereinafter the Asset Manager) as the founder.
Full company description
GLP J-REIT is a real estate investment corporation (J-REIT) specializing in logistics facilities, and it primarily invests in modern logistics facilities. GLP J-REIT was founded in accordance with the Act on Investment Trusts and Investment Corporations with GLP Japan Advisors Inc. (hereinafter the Asset Manager) as the founder. It has its units listed on the Real Estate Investment Trust Market of the Tokyo Stock Exchange since December 21, 2012. Investing in highly functional modern logistics facilities and taking advantage of the wealth of experience and management resources with GLP Japan Inc. (Note) as the sponsor, GLP J-REIT aims to earn stable income and achieve steady growth in assets under management over the medium and long terms. Since the inception of its operation as a listed J-REIT with 30 properties (total acquisition price of 208,731 million yen) in January 2013, GLP J-REIT has been steadily expanding its assets through the continuous acquisitions of properties. As of the end of the current fiscal period, GLP J-REIT owns 85 properties (total acquisition price of 869,529 million yen). Effective March 1, 2025, GLP Japan Inc. became part of Ares Management Corporation. GLP J-REIT was established on September 16, 2011 and incorporated in Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GLP J-REIT reported revenue of $59.6B in FY2025 versus $45.8B in FY2021, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was $31.1B in FY2025, compounding +8.2%/yr from FY2021.
GLPJF screens 36% overvalued. Compare with Prologis, Inc →
Peer Group
REIT - Industrial · 63 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prologis, Inc PLD | $143.42 | $61.28 | -57% |
| Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA | $322.48 | $172.80 | -46% |
| Extra Space Storage Inc EXR | $147.71 | $78.38 | -47% |
| EastGroup Properties, Inc EGP | $213.10 | $81.41 | -62% |
| Lineage, Inc LINE | $41.42 | $47.91 | +16% |
| CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U | 2.51 SGD | 2.00 SGD | -20% |
| CubeSmart CUBE | $42.09 | $25.06 | -40% |
| First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR | $66.99 | $21.48 | -68% |
| Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR | $39.00 | $21.35 | -45% |
| STAG Industrial, Inc STAG | $41.11 | $24.31 | -41% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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