GMA7 Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · PH · Market cap 17.0B PHP
Fair value as of: Jul 10, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 10, 2026, revised from 9.54 PHP to 9.86 PHP (+3.4%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −10.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 125% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (7.15 PHP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 3.78 PHP – 10.60 PHP · fair‑value band 7.15 PHP – 12.47 PHP · the 4.39 PHP price screens below the 9.86 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.
Analysis
GMA7 (GMA7) currently trades at 4.39 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.86 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 124.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 15.2. Fundamentals as of Jul 10, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 7.15 PHP (bear case) to 12.47 PHP (bull case); at 4.39 PHP, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 125%, GMA7 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (9.86 PHP) versus Asset-Based (2.48 PHP). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
GMA7 reported revenue of 17.6B PHP in FY2024 versus 19.3B PHP in FY2020, a compound −2.4%/yr. Reported net income was 2.1B PHP in FY2024, compounding −23.3%/yr from FY2020.
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Peer Group
Communication Services · 1202 stocks
How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Media & Publishing” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)
Valuation Multiples vs Communication Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Media & Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 10, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Megacable Holdings MEGACPO | 62.14 MXN | 72.22 MXN | +16% |
| GTNA GTNA | $7.48 | $9.04 | +21% |
| SM Culture & Contents Co 048550 | 1,509 KRW | 1,113 KRW | -26% |
| ABS ABS | 3.14 PHP | 3.07 PHP | -2% |
| Showbox Corp 086980 | 1,996 KRW | 3,511 KRW | +76% |
| DIGITAL CHOSUN Inc 033130 | 1,965 KRW | 2,439 KRW | +24% |
| SM Life Design Group 063440 | 1,136 KRW | 2,085 KRW | +84% |
| PLI PLI | 6.70 PLN | 1.88 PLN | -72% |
| MB MB | 0.2070 PHP | 0.0400 PHP | -81% |
| eMnet Inc 123570 | 1,667 KRW | 1,497 KRW | -10% |
Compare GMA7 with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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