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Genie Energy Ltd (GNE) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $369M

GE Genie Energy Ltd logo Genie Energy Ltd GNE · US
Price$14.55
Fair Value$17.40
Upside+19.6%
Quality71/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 3.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.17% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: High Range $13.05 – $21.75 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $18.19 to $17.40 (−4.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 20% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from $13.05 (bear) to $21.75 (bull), base $17.40. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 71/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$29.18 $4.22 Fair Value $17.40 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.22 – $29.18 · fair‑value band $13.05 – $21.75 · the $14.55 price screens below the $17.40 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Genie Energy Ltd (GNE) currently trades at $14.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.40, implying the stock looks roughly 19.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Genie Energy Ltd generated revenue of $507M at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue grew 4.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $195M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $13.05 (bear case) to $21.75 (bull case); at $14.55, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 20%, GNE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $22.62 $28.51 $35.96 80
Residual Income $8.26 $8.90 $10.09 76
Rev-Margin DCF $20.79 $27.86 $36.13 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $22.56 $29.41 $38.69 38
Owner Earnings $14.39 $17.41 $21.50 31
5Y Revenue Exit $20.79 $27.77 $36.62 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $19.32 $25.01 $31.53 41
5Y P/E Exit $20.72 $27.65 $34.89 38
10Y Revenue Exit $21.03 $27.24 $35.50 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $20.49 $25.48 $31.91 37
10Y P/E Exit $21.31 $27.16 $34.28 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $6.57 $21.57 $28.84 54
Lynch FV $4.85 $6.92 $9.00 50
PEG = 1.0 $4.85 $6.92 $9.00 46
EPV $16.08 $17.19 $18.12 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.51 $4.52 $6.23 70
DDM Multi-Stage $2.51 $4.00 $4.83 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $13.05 $17.40 $21.75 63
P/S Multiple $12.33 $16.44 $20.55 58
P/B Multiple $12.33 $16.44 $20.55 55
EV/EBIT $23.14 $28.20 $33.27 53
EV/EBITDA $18.37 $21.85 $25.33 54
EV/Revenue $20.23 $25.50 $30.77 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.05 $6.77 $10.11 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $22.62 $28.51 $35.96 80
Rev-Margin DCF $20.79 $27.86 $36.13 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $8.26 $8.90 $10.09 76
ROIC Compounder $16.48 $18.10 $19.75 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $11.20 $16.00 $20.80 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($27.86) versus Dividend Discount ($4.00). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $507M
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.0%
Net margin 3.2%
Return on equity 9.3%
Free cash flow $38.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 18.2
More key figures
Operating margin 1.3%
EPS (TTM) $0.7700
Dividend yield 2.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -73.1%
Net cash $195M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Genie Energy Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of energy services in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Genie Retail Energy and Genie Renewables.

Full company description

Genie Energy Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of energy services in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Genie Retail Energy and Genie Renewables. It resells electricity and natural gas to residential and small business customers in the Eastern and Midwestern United States and Texas; and develops, constructs, and operates utility-scale solar energy projects. The company also distributes solar panels; offers energy procurement and advisory services to industrial, commercial, and municipal customers; and markets solar and alternative products and services. Genie Energy Ltd. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Newark, New Jersey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Genie Energy Ltd reported revenue of $502M in FY2025 versus $323M in FY2021, a compound +11.6%/yr. Reported net income was $24.0M in FY2025, compounding −4.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$502M
Latest YoY
+18.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+16.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.1%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y)
+4.1%
Revenue +11.6%/yr
FY21 $323M
FY22 $316M
FY23 $429M
FY24 $425M
FY25 $502M
Net income −4.8%/yr
FY21 $29.2M
FY22 $87.8M
FY23 $19.5M
FY24 $12.6M
FY25 $24.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Genie Energy Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GNE

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 154 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +20% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.47× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.73× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 9.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 59 · sector 7
FUTURE 20 · sector 32
PAST 37 · sector 39
HEALTH 99 · sector 54
DIVIDEND 43 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $88.80 $32.94 -63%
The Southern Company SO $95.61 $61.06 -36%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $126.11 $97.11 -23%
National Grid plc NGG 61,175 ARS 44,377 ARS -27%
American Electric Power Company AEP $132.50 $79.33 -40%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $70.08 $46.92 -33%
NTPC Limited NTPC ₹341.85 ₹377.16 +10%
CEZ, a. s. CEZ 232.40 PLN 159.33 PLN -31%
Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID ₹283.55 ₹252.77 -11%
China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 ¥8.91 ¥7.69 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Genie Energy Ltd (GNE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.40 versus a price of $14.55, about +20% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GNE?
Our model-based fair value for Genie Energy Ltd is $17.40 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $14.55.
What is the quality score of GNE?
Genie Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
Genie Energy Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $507M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GNE?
The net profit margin of Genie Energy Ltd is about 3.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Genie Energy Ltd pay a dividend?
Genie Energy Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.17% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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