Genie Energy Ltd (GNE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Genie Energy Ltd $17.40, price $15.84, upside +9.9%, quality 71 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.22 – $29.18 · fair‑value band $13.05 – $21.75 · the $15.84 price screens below the $17.40 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Genie Energy Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of energy services in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Genie Retail Energy and Genie Renewables.
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Genie Energy Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of energy services in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Genie Retail Energy and Genie Renewables. It resells electricity and natural gas to residential and small business customers in the Eastern and Midwestern United States and Texas; and develops, constructs, and operates utility-scale solar energy projects. The company also distributes solar panels; offers energy procurement and advisory services to industrial, commercial, and municipal customers; and markets solar and alternative products and services. Genie Energy Ltd. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Newark, New Jersey.
Stock analysis
Genie Energy Ltd (GNE) currently trades at $15.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.40, implying the stock looks roughly 9.0% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $27.95 per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the $15.84 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $4.00, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $13.05 (bear) to $21.75 (bull), the price of $15.84 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Genie Energy Ltd reported revenue of $502M in FY2025 versus $323M in FY2021, a compound +11.6%/yr. Reported net income was $24.0M in FY2025, compounding −4.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $418M · P/E ratio 18.2 · P/S ratio 0.87 · EPS (TTM) $0.7700 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 4.8% · Return on equity 9.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 10%, GNE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $13.05Fair Value $17.40Bull $21.75
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.3438 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.69/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.1% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+7.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.9%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 7%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−13.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −15.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 157 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+10% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Below median
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Genie Energy Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GNE
Frequently asked questions
Is Genie Energy Ltd (GNE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.40 versus a price of $15.84, about +10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GNE?
Our model-based fair value for Genie Energy Ltd is $17.40 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $15.84.
What is the quality score of GNE?
Genie Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $17.40 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $13.05, optimistic scenario $21.75. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Genie Energy Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $17.40, about +10% upside versus a price of $15.84 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $13.05, optimistic scenario $21.75. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
Genie Energy Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $507M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Genie Energy Ltd pay a dividend?
Genie Energy Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.89% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Genie Energy Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -13.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.1 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GNE use?
Our models discount Genie Energy Ltd at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.18, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Genie Energy Ltd that is -13.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Genie Energy Ltd (GNE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Genie Energy Ltd grew +7.1 % a year. The price currently implies -13.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Genie Energy Ltd (-13.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.13 %: that much free cash flow Genie Energy Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Genie Energy Ltd it is $17.40 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $15.84. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Genie Energy Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, GNE trades below its calculated fair value: price $15.84, fair value $17.40, a gap of about +10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GNE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($15.84); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($17.40). For Genie Energy Ltd the two are $1.56 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Genie Energy Ltd worth?
The market values Genie Energy Ltd at about $418M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $15.84; our models calculate a fair value of $17.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GNE?
Our models span a range for Genie Energy Ltd: cautious scenario $13.05, base $17.40, optimistic $21.75 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $15.84). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GNE?
Genie Energy Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $17.40 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 11.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Genie Energy Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 9.3%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 71/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GNE from its 52-week high?
Genie Energy Ltd trades at $15.84, about 3% below its 52-week high of $16.37 and 22% above the low of $12.98 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $17.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Genie Energy Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, American Electric Power Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Genie Energy Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $15.84, calculated fair value $17.40 (+10%), Quality Score 71/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GNE calculated?
We run Genie Energy Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $17.40, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Genie Energy Ltd currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $15.84. Our model-based fair value is $17.40, about +10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Genie Energy Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Genie Energy Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
The market capitalisation of Genie Energy Ltd is $418M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Genie Energy Ltd is 0.87 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
Earnings per share at Genie Energy Ltd are $0.7700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
The dividend yield of Genie Energy Ltd is 1.9% (payout 39.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
The net margin of Genie Energy Ltd is 4.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Genie Energy Ltd is 9.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Genie Energy Ltd is 10.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
The operating margin of Genie Energy Ltd is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
Revenue at Genie Energy Ltd is growing +4.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
Earnings per share at Genie Energy Ltd are growing −73.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Genie Energy Ltd (GNE) hold?
Genie Energy Ltd holds more cash than debt, $195M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026