Genie Energy Ltd (GNE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Genie Energy Ltd stock $17.46, price $17.72, that is 1.5% below the price, quality 72 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.22 – $29.18 · fair‑value band $13.10 – $21.83 · the $17.72 price screens above the $17.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Genie Energy Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of energy services in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Genie Retail Energy and Genie Renewables.
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It resells electricity and natural gas to residential and small business customers in the Eastern and Midwestern United States and Texas; and develops, constructs, and operates utility-scale solar energy projects.
The company also distributes solar panels; offers energy procurement and advisory services to industrial, commercial, and municipal customers; and markets solar and alternative products and services. Genie Energy Ltd. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Newark, New Jersey.
Stock analysis
Genie Energy Ltd (GNE) currently trades at $17.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.46, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 1.5%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $30.63 per share, and 16 of the 26 models we run sit above the $17.72 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $4.97, and 10 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $13.10 (bear) to $21.83 (bull), the price of $17.72 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Genie Energy Ltd reported revenue of $502M in FY2025 versus $323M in FY2021, a compound +11.6%/yr. Reported net income was $24.0M in FY2025, compounding −4.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $463M Small · P/E ratio 13.5 · P/S ratio 0.94 · EPS (TTM) $1.31 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 5.9% · Return on equity 14.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.6% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −1%, GNE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$13.10Fair Value $17.46Bull$21.83
Price $17.72 · Downside -1.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.8633 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
SaleAvi GoldinCFO12,000 shares at $14.61$175,320Nov 18, 2025
Plus 4 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.74/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.1% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+8.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 7%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−9.7%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.8% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 156 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−1.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)14.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)5.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)10.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−8.0% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)13.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.85× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)0.94× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)12.1× · Cheaper than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Genie Energy Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GNE
Frequently asked questions
Is Genie Energy Ltd (GNE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.46 versus a price of $17.72, about 1% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GNE?
Our model-based fair value for Genie Energy Ltd is $17.46 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $17.72.
What is the quality score of GNE?
Genie Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $17.46 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $13.10, optimistic scenario $21.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Genie Energy Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $17.46, about 1% lower versus a price of $17.72 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $13.10, optimistic scenario $21.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
Genie Energy Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $492M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Genie Energy Ltd pay a dividend?
Genie Energy Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.69% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Genie Energy Ltd pays a dividend of $0.3 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 14, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2014. The payout ratio is 22.9% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 5.14 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Genie Energy Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -9.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.1 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GNE use?
Our models discount Genie Energy Ltd at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.30, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Genie Energy Ltd that is -9.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Genie Energy Ltd (GNE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Genie Energy Ltd grew +7.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -9.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Genie Energy Ltd (-9.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.23 %: that much free cash flow Genie Energy Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Genie Energy Ltd it is $17.46 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $17.72. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Genie Energy Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, GNE trades above its calculated fair value: price $17.72, fair value $17.46, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GNE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($17.72); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($17.46). For Genie Energy Ltd the two are $0.2600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Genie Energy Ltd worth?
The market values Genie Energy Ltd at about $463M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $17.72; our models calculate a fair value of $17.46 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GNE?
Our models span a range for Genie Energy Ltd: cautious scenario $13.10, base $17.46, optimistic $21.83 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $17.72). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GNE?
Genie Energy Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.5 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $17.46 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2019 to 2025), reported earnings, 6 of the years ex one-offs: 15.3. Other multiples: P/B 1.9, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 9.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Genie Energy Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 14.8%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 72/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GNE from its 52-week high?
Genie Energy Ltd trades at $17.72, at its 52-week high of $17.72 and 37% above the low of $12.98 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $17.46 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Genie Energy Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, American Electric Power Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Genie Energy Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $17.72, calculated fair value $17.46 (−1%), Quality Score 72/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GNE calculated?
We run Genie Energy Ltd through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $17.46 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Genie Energy Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $17.72. Our model-based fair value is $17.46, about 1% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Genie Energy Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Genie Energy Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
The market capitalisation of Genie Energy Ltd is $463M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Genie Energy Ltd is 0.94 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
Earnings per share at Genie Energy Ltd are $1.31 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
The dividend yield of Genie Energy Ltd is 1.7% (payout 22.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
The net margin of Genie Energy Ltd is 5.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Genie Energy Ltd is 14.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Genie Energy Ltd is 10.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
The operating margin of Genie Energy Ltd is 10.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
Revenue at Genie Energy Ltd is growing −8.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)?
Earnings per share at Genie Energy Ltd are growing +51.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Genie Energy Ltd (GNE) hold?
Genie Energy Ltd holds more cash than debt, $195M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 7, 2026