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Genius Group (GNS) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $34.6M

GG Genius Group logo Genius Group GNS · US
Price$0.1585
Fair Value$0.3060
Upside+93.1%
Quality10/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 5/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.2295 – $0.4590 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 10 days ago

Share price −15.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 93% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (10/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.2295). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.2295 to $0.4590) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

$305.00 $0.1480 Fair Value $0.3060 Apr 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

52‑month range $0.1480 – $305.00 · fair‑value band $0.2295 – $0.4590 · the $0.1585 price screens below the $0.3060 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Genius Group (GNS) currently trades at $0.1585, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3060, implying the stock looks roughly 93.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 10/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $8.4M. Revenue declined 44.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -63.6%. Net debt stands at $25.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.2295 (bear case) to $0.4590 (bull case); at $0.1585, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at 93%, GNS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.2700 $0.3600 $0.5400 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.2700 $0.3600 $0.5400 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $8.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) -44.3%
Return on equity -63.6%
Free cash flow −$15.2M FY2025
Operating margin -320%
EPS (TTM) $-0.5500
More key figures
Net debt $25.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 10/100

Of which business quality 16 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 9
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Genius Group Limited provides entrepreneur education system business development tools and management consultancy services to entrepreneurs. It operates through Central, Academy, School, and Resorts segments. The company develops entrepreneurial education curriculum with various tools for student learning and faculty earning.

Full company description

Genius Group Limited provides entrepreneur education system business development tools and management consultancy services to entrepreneurs. It operates through Central, Academy, School, and Resorts segments. The company develops entrepreneurial education curriculum with various tools for student learning and faculty earning. It also provides corporate oversight, group management, treasury, financing activities, and intercompany support functions; digital entrepreneur education, property investment education, memberships, certifications, and business development tools; early childhood, primary, and middle school education delivered through education angels; and hospitality operations, including safari lodges, villa accommodations, and café operations. In addition, the company engages in resorts, cafes, tertiary education, film production, early childhood education, investment education, education, and management business. The company operates in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North Asia, the Asia Pacific, Australia, North America, and South America. Genius Group Limited was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Genius Group reported revenue of $8.4M in FY2025 versus $12.8M in FY2021, a compound −10.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$55.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 9/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$8.4M
Latest YoY
+6.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−22.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.2%
Revenue −10.0%/yr
FY21 $12.8M
FY22 $18.2M
FY23 $23.1M
FY24 $7.9M
FY25 $8.4M
Net income
FY21 −$4.5M
FY22 −$55.3M
FY23 −$5.7M
FY24 −$24.9M
FY25 −$55.3M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Genius Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GNS

Peer Group

Education & Training Services · 148 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 16 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +93% · Top 25%
Return on assets -14% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth -44% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.11× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.39× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.13× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 24
PAST 0 · sector 18
HEALTH 95 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN 966.48 MXN 897.37 MXN -7%
TAL Education Group TAL $10.24 $15.60 +52%
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $36.45 $41.45 +14%
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹131.59 ₹14.81 -89%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $149.00 $152.01 +2%
Covista Inc CVSA $116.22 $135.45 +17%
Stride, Inc LRN $83.39 $139.45 +67%
Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI $40.33 $21.35 -47%
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $31.66 $41.45 +31%
Strategic Education, Inc STRA $84.18 $105.48 +25%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Genius Group (GNS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3060 versus a price of $0.1585, about +93% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GNS?
Our model-based fair value for Genius Group is $0.3060 (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.1585.
What is the quality score of GNS?
Genius Group has a Quality Score of 10/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Genius Group (GNS)?
Genius Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $8.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GNS?
The net profit margin of Genius Group is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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